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Jihyun Park in blowouts

36 of 36 games carry a scoreline to bucket. A wide margin is NOT a fade signal. Served overs in games decided by 10+ were the best rows on the board.

WHAT MARGIN AND TOTAL MEAN HERE

margin and total are the REALISED final scoreline, not the pre-tip market spread and total — this service holds no market lines. Mostly the same games; not the same number.

01

games decided by 10+

|final margin| >= 10
15 of these · baseline 21 (in closer games)DIRECTIONAL

in blowouts (2.9 pts) against in closer games (1.7), +1.2, t = 1.06, directional (this sample resolves gaps above 2.3). A wide margin is NOT a fade signal. Served overs in games decided by 10+ were the best rows on the board. (served overs in |spread| >= 10 hit 65.9% for +18.4% ROI (n=129); gating those games out would have deleted 28 units from a 49-unit season)

STAT
BLOWOUTS
OTHER
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
2.9
1.7
+1.2
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.3
DIRECTIONAL
rebounds
1.3
0.8
+0.5
gap is 1.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
DIRECTIONAL
assists
0.6
0.5
+0.1
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
threes
0.2
0.3
−0.1
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.3
NOT MEASURABLE
steals
0.5
0.3
+0.2
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
blocks
0.1
0.0
+0.1
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.1
NOT MEASURABLE
turnovers
0.4
0.2
+0.2
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
DIRECTIONAL
pts+reb+ast
4.9
3.0
+1.8
gap is 1.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.9
DIRECTIONAL
pts+reb
4.3
2.5
+1.7
gap is 1.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.6
DIRECTIONAL
pts+ast
3.5
2.2
+1.3
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.5
DIRECTIONAL
reb+ast
1.9
1.3
+0.6
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.1
DIRECTIONAL
steals+blocks
0.6
0.3
+0.3
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
DIRECTIONAL
defensive rebounds
0.9
0.6
+0.4
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
DIRECTIONAL
field goal attempts
2.6
1.5
+1.1
gap is 1.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.4
DIRECTIONAL
field goals made
1.1
0.6
+0.4
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
NOT MEASURABLE
free throw attempts
0.9
0.5
+0.4
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
free throws made
0.6
0.2
+0.4
gap is 1.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
DIRECTIONAL
offensive rebounds
0.4
0.2
+0.2
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
NOT MEASURABLE
fouls
1.1
1.1
0.0
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
three-point attempts
1.1
0.9
+0.3
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
NOT MEASURABLE
THE LEAGUE-LEVEL RESULT

A wide margin is NOT a fade signal. Served overs in games decided by 10+ were the best rows on the board.

served overs in |spread| >= 10 hit 65.9% for +18.4% ROI (n=129); gating those games out would have deleted 28 units from a 49-unit season

project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26
THIS CUT, MEASURED

A wide margin is NOT a fade signal. Served overs in games decided by 10+ were the best rows on the board.

served overs in |spread| >= 10 hit 65.9% for +18.4% ROI (n=129); gating those games out would have deleted 28 units from a 49-unit season

project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Read that the way round it is written. The instinct is to fade an over in a blowout; the ledger says the opposite, and gating those picks out would have cost more than half the season's profit. Nothing on this page removes a pick.

02

high-scoring games

combined score >= 189 (this player's own top tercile)
13 of these · baseline 23 (other games)NOT MEASURABLE

high-scoring games (2.6 pts) against other games (2.0), +0.6, t = 0.50, not_measurable (this sample resolves gaps above 2.4).

STAT
HIGH TOTAL
OTHER
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
2.6
2.0
+0.6
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.4
NOT MEASURABLE
rebounds
1.7
0.7
+1.0
gap is 2.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
MEASURED
assists
0.9
0.3
+0.6
gap is 1.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
DIRECTIONAL
threes
0.3
0.2
+0.1
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
NOT MEASURABLE
steals
0.6
0.3
+0.3
gap is 1.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
DIRECTIONAL
blocks
0.1
0.0
+0.1
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.2
DIRECTIONAL
turnovers
0.2
0.3
−0.1
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.3
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb+ast
5.2
3.0
+2.2
gap is 1.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.2
DIRECTIONAL
pts+reb
4.3
2.7
+1.7
gap is 1.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.8
DIRECTIONAL
pts+ast
3.5
2.3
+1.2
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.9
NOT MEASURABLE
reb+ast
2.6
1.0
+1.6
gap is 2.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.1
MEASURED
steals+blocks
0.7
0.3
+0.4
gap is 1.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
DIRECTIONAL
defensive rebounds
1.2
0.5
+0.7
gap is 1.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
DIRECTIONAL
field goal attempts
2.1
1.9
+0.2
gap is 0.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.6
NOT MEASURABLE
field goals made
0.9
0.7
+0.2
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0
NOT MEASURABLE
free throw attempts
0.8
0.5
+0.3
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
NOT MEASURABLE
free throws made
0.5
0.3
+0.2
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
offensive rebounds
0.5
0.2
+0.4
gap is 1.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
DIRECTIONAL
fouls
1.0
1.2
−0.2
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
three-point attempts
1.1
0.9
+0.2
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0
NOT MEASURABLE
03

low-scoring games

combined score <= 171 (this player's own bottom tercile)
14 of these · baseline 22 (other games)MEASURED

low-scoring games (0.9 pts) against other games (3.1), -2.2, t = -2.42, measured (this sample resolves gaps above 1.8).

STAT
LOW TOTALS
OTHER
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
0.9
3.1
−2.2
gap is 2.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.8
MEASURED
rebounds
0.6
1.3
−0.7
gap is 2.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
MEASURED
assists
0.4
0.6
−0.2
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
threes
0.1
0.4
−0.3
gap is 1.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.3
DIRECTIONAL
steals
0.2
0.5
−0.3
gap is 1.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
DIRECTIONAL
blocks
0.0
0.0
0.0
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.1
NOT MEASURABLE
turnovers
0.2
0.3
−0.1
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.3
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb+ast
1.9
5.0
−3.2
gap is 2.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.4
MEASURED
pts+reb
1.4
4.4
−3.0
gap is 2.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.1
MEASURED
pts+ast
1.3
3.7
−2.4
gap is 2.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.1
MEASURED
reb+ast
1.0
2.0
−1.0
gap is 1.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0
DIRECTIONAL
steals+blocks
0.2
0.6
−0.4
gap is 1.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
DIRECTIONAL
defensive rebounds
0.4
0.9
−0.5
gap is 1.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
DIRECTIONAL
field goal attempts
1.6
2.2
−0.7
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.3
DIRECTIONAL
field goals made
0.4
1.1
−0.7
gap is 2.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
DIRECTIONAL
free throw attempts
0.1
1.0
−0.8
gap is 2.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
MEASURED
free throws made
0.1
0.5
−0.5
gap is 2.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
MEASURED
offensive rebounds
0.1
0.4
−0.3
gap is 1.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.3
DIRECTIONAL
fouls
1.0
1.2
−0.2
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
three-point attempts
0.8
1.1
−0.3
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
04

Game log

all 36 · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 1.7
2026-09-24
GSV
HOME
6.1MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+1
PRA
0
2026-09-22
LVA
AWAY
13.3MIN
5POINTS
3 · 2 · 2-4
ABOVE
FG
2-4
3PT
0-2
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
51.2
USG%
17.3
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-1
PRA
10
2026-09-20
POR
HOME
11.2MIN
2POINTS
1 · 2 · 1-1
ABOVE
FG
1-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
100.0
USG%
7.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
-5
PRA
5
2026-08-24
ATL
HOME
7.0MIN
0POINTS
0 · 1 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
6.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-6
PRA
1
2026-08-22
CON
HOME
4.1MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
11.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+4
PRA
0
2026-08-20
ATL
HOME
12.4MIN
2POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-0
ABOVE
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
2-4
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
56.8
USG%
6.2
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-4
PRA
3
2026-08-18
CON
AWAY
12.4MIN
0POINTS
3 · 0 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
0.0
USG%
7.2
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
+9
PRA
3
2026-08-15
WAS
AWAY
9.4MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
5.2
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-8
PRA
0
2026-08-13
NYL
AWAY
9.5MIN
3POINTS
0 · 1 · 1-2
ABOVE
FG
1-2
3PT
1-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
75.0
USG%
9.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+13
PRA
4
2026-08-11
PHO
HOME
5.3MIN
5POINTS
1 · 0 · 2-3
ABOVE
FG
2-3
3PT
1-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
83.3
USG%
22.4
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
+9
PRA
6
2026-08-09
GSV
HOME
5.2MIN
0POINTS
0 · 1 · 0-3
BELOW
FG
0-3
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
27.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+2
PRA
1
2026-08-06
MIN
AWAY
5.1MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+4
PRA
0
2026-08-05
CHI
AWAY
15.4MIN
7POINTS
1 · 0 · 2-4
ABOVE
FG
2-4
3PT
2-3
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
71.7
USG%
14.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+3
PRA
8
2026-08-02
POR
AWAY
18.2MIN
12POINTS
2 · 4 · 5-7
ABOVE
FG
5-7
3PT
2-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
85.7
USG%
18.7
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
-1
PRA
18
2026-07-28
NYL
HOME
5.9MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+9
PRA
0
2026-07-22
PHO
HOME
6.3MIN
2POINTS
0 · 1 · 1-2
ABOVE
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
50.0
USG%
19.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-6
PRA
3
2026-07-19
DAL
AWAY
14.9MIN
4POINTS
1 · 0 · 2-5
ABOVE
FG
2-5
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
40.0
USG%
15.7
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-8
PRA
5
2026-07-17
CHI
AWAY
8.4MIN
2POINTS
1 · 0 · 1-1
ABOVE
FG
1-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
100.0
USG%
10.4
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
-9
PRA
3
2026-07-15
MIN
AWAY
8.0MIN
1POINTS
2 · 1 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
26.6
USG%
10.4
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-1
PRA
4
2026-07-13
ATL
AWAY
8.2MIN
0POINTS
3 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-2
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
0.0
USG%
4.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-5
PRA
3
2026-07-10
CHI
HOME
7.7MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
5.5
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-1
PRA
1
2026-07-08
IND
HOME
10.3MIN
3POINTS
4 · 1 · 0-2
ABOVE
FG
0-2
3PT
0-0
FT
3-4
OREB/DREB
2/2
TS%
39.9
USG%
14.8
STL
3
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+8
PRA
8
2026-07-06
SEA
HOME
10.4MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-4
BELOW
FG
0-4
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
20.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-5
PRA
1
2026-06-27
IND
AWAY
24.0MIN
8POINTS
4 · 1 · 3-6
ABOVE
FG
3-6
3PT
1-3
FT
1-1
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
62.1
USG%
11.3
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-11
PRA
13
2026-06-25
TOR
AWAY
19.0MIN
5POINTS
2 · 1 · 2-6
ABOVE
FG
2-6
3PT
1-5
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
41.7
USG%
15.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-11
PRA
8
2026-06-21
NYL
HOME
3.5MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+6
PRA
1
2026-06-17
MIN
HOME
22.0MIN
13POINTS
0 · 0 · 5-7
ABOVE
FG
5-7
3PT
1-2
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
82.5
USG%
19.5
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
-10
PRA
13
2026-06-15
GSV
AWAY
4.1MIN
2POINTS
1 · 0 · 1-2
ABOVE
FG
1-2
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
50.0
USG%
23.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
-2
PRA
3
2026-06-13
PHO
AWAY
3.6MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-3
PRA
1
2026-06-10
SEA
AWAY
1.9MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
22.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+1
PRA
0
2026-06-02
LVA
HOME
4.0MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-6
PRA
0
2026-05-29
WAS
AWAY
6.0MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-2
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
13.6
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
+5
PRA
0
2026-05-23
LVA
AWAY
7.1MIN
0POINTS
1 · 1 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
6.2
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
0
PRA
2
2026-05-21
PHO
AWAY
10.9MIN
2POINTS
1 · 1 · 0-0
ABOVE
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
113.6
USG%
3.6
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
+9
PRA
4
2026-05-17
TOR
HOME
7.6MIN
2POINTS
1 · 2 · 1-3
ABOVE
FG
1-3
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
33.3
USG%
17.5
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
-12
PRA
5
2026-05-10
LVA
HOME
1.9MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
20.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+1
PRA
0
every game on file — nothing hidden