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Julie Allemand over 5.5 points

She has cleared 5.5 in 32 of 99 games — 32.3%. That rate needs +209 to break even and books have been paying -127.

—

Tonight

THU · SEP 24
TOR @ CON7:00 PM ETprojected starter · 25 projected minutes
OutAneesah MorrowLeft Knee
OutBrittney SykesLeft Foot
OutMarina MabreyRight Adductor
OutTemi FagbenlePersonal Reasons
QuestionableMaria CondeBack
AT 22+ MINUTES · 202628 games · 30.2 min · 6.6 points · 14/28 over 5.5 (50%)

Tonight's projection is 25 minutes. This is her season at that workload.

WITHOUT MORROW26 games · 28.1 min · 6.3 points · 13/26 over 5.5with her (n=6): 29.8 min · 5.7 points · 33%with her →
WITHOUT SYKES21 games · 29.7 min · 6.6 points · 10/21 over 5.5with her (n=11): 25.8 min · 5.5 points · 45%with her →
WITHOUT MABREY8 games · 27.8 min · 6.1 points · 3/8 over 5.5with her (n=24): 28.6 min · 6.3 points · 50%with her →

Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.

01

Distribution

99 games · hover a bucket
UNDER · 67OVER · 32  ·  filled bars clear the line
02

Recent games

points · line 5.5 · hover a bar
2026-05-15— 5-game mean2026-09-22 · newest
03

Recent form

40.0%4/10 · last 10
2026-08-02 · 11 points · OVER
11
2026-08-04 · 7 points · OVER
7
2026-08-06 · 11 points · OVER
11
2026-08-10 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-08-19 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-08-21 · 5 points · UNDER
5
2026-08-23 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-09-18 · 5 points · UNDER
5
2026-09-20 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-09-22 · 6 points · OVER
6

A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.

04

Market history

median · 15 postings5.5-127
best offered5.5-106
worst offered5.5-133
our break-even5.5+209

Median -127 across 15 postings over 4 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.

05

Game log

25 of 99 · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 5.5
2026-09-22
CHI
AWAY
23.3MIN
6POINTS
2 · 5 · 2-3
OVER
FG
2-3
3PT
2-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
100.0
USG%
8.9
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
0
+/−
-8
PRA
13
2026-09-20
NYL
HOME
26.3MIN
4POINTS
5 · 4 · 2-4
UNDER
FG
2-4
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/4
TS%
50.0
USG%
8.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
-24
PRA
13
2026-09-18
IND
HOME
28.7MIN
5POINTS
4 · 5 · 2-4
UNDER
FG
2-4
3PT
1-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
62.5
USG%
7.6
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
4
+/−
-4
PRA
14
2026-08-23
LVA
HOME
14.7MIN
3POINTS
1 · 2 · 1-3
UNDER
FG
1-3
3PT
1-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
50.0
USG%
15.8
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
0
+/−
-6
PRA
6
2026-08-21
POR
HOME
30.9MIN
5POINTS
5 · 6 · 1-4
UNDER
FG
1-4
3PT
1-4
FT
2-3
OREB/DREB
1/4
TS%
47.0
USG%
10.8
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
-4
PRA
16
2026-08-19
WAS
AWAY
25.6MIN
4POINTS
3 · 4 · 1-3
UNDER
FG
1-3
3PT
1-3
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
51.5
USG%
11.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
-20
PRA
11
2026-08-10
ATL
AWAY
25.9MIN
3POINTS
2 · 2 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
1-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
75.0
USG%
8.7
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
3
+/−
-16
PRA
7
2026-08-06
POR
AWAY
31.7MIN
11POINTS
5 · 12 · 4-5
OVER
FG
4-5
3PT
3-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/4
TS%
110.0
USG%
8.9
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
-16
PRA
28
2026-08-04
GSV
AWAY
30.5MIN
7POINTS
1 · 8 · 3-5
OVER
FG
3-5
3PT
1-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
70.0
USG%
8.1
STL
4
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
+3
PRA
16
2026-08-02
GSV
AWAY
33.9MIN
11POINTS
3 · 6 · 4-6
OVER
FG
4-6
3PT
3-5
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
91.7
USG%
9.5
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-9
PRA
20
2026-07-30
MIN
HOME
22.5MIN
0POINTS
2 · 6 · 0-2
UNDER
FG
0-2
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
0.0
USG%
8.0
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
2
PF
0
+/−
-12
PRA
8
2026-07-28
MIN
AWAY
31.9MIN
10POINTS
0 · 7 · 4-5
OVER
FG
4-5
3PT
2-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
100.0
USG%
9.2
STL
2
BLK
1
TOV
2
PF
0
+/−
-12
PRA
17
2026-07-20
LVA
HOME
30.6MIN
3POINTS
5 · 4 · 1-2
UNDER
FG
1-2
3PT
1-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/5
TS%
75.0
USG%
5.6
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
-13
PRA
12
2026-07-17
ATL
HOME
31.5MIN
9POINTS
5 · 6 · 3-5
OVER
FG
3-5
3PT
3-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/5
TS%
90.0
USG%
11.7
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
3
PF
3
+/−
-9
PRA
20
2026-07-14
WAS
HOME
33.4MIN
15POINTS
5 · 2 · 6-10
OVER
FG
6-10
3PT
3-6
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
2/3
TS%
75.0
USG%
18.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
1
+/−
-20
PRA
22
2026-07-12
NYL
HOME
34.1MIN
4POINTS
5 · 10 · 2-4
UNDER
FG
2-4
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/5
TS%
50.0
USG%
6.0
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-3
PRA
19
2026-07-10
DAL
HOME
34.0MIN
3POINTS
5 · 8 · 1-3
UNDER
FG
1-3
3PT
1-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/5
TS%
50.0
USG%
10.0
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
1
+/−
-13
PRA
16
2026-07-08
GSV
HOME
35.9MIN
9POINTS
3 · 7 · 4-7
OVER
FG
4-7
3PT
1-4
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
64.3
USG%
12.3
STL
3
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
4
+/−
-12
PRA
19
2026-06-27
PHO
HOME
38.6MIN
11POINTS
7 · 10 · 4-6
OVER
FG
4-6
3PT
3-5
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/7
TS%
91.7
USG%
9.8
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
2
PF
0
+/−
-8
PRA
28
2026-06-25
LAS
HOME
29.9MIN
13POINTS
6 · 14 · 4-4
OVER
FG
4-4
3PT
3-3
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/6
TS%
133.2
USG%
6.3
STL
3
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+31
PRA
33
2026-06-22
ATL
AWAY
27.7MIN
4POINTS
2 · 3 · 1-3
UNDER
FG
1-3
3PT
1-2
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
51.5
USG%
9.3
STL
2
BLK
1
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
-14
PRA
9
2026-06-19
CON
AWAY
34.0MIN
4POINTS
0 · 9 · 2-5
UNDER
FG
2-5
3PT
0-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
40.0
USG%
11.2
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
1
+/−
+12
PRA
13
2026-06-16
IND
AWAY
10.8MIN
0POINTS
0 · 1 · 0-2
UNDER
FG
0-2
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
7.8
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
-3
PRA
1
2026-06-14
ATL
HOME
34.1MIN
13POINTS
3 · 6 · 5-8
OVER
FG
5-8
3PT
3-5
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
81.3
USG%
10.8
STL
2
BLK
2
TOV
0
PF
4
+/−
-24
PRA
22
2026-06-12
WAS
AWAY
26.3MIN
9POINTS
2 · 3 · 4-5
OVER
FG
4-5
3PT
1-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
90.0
USG%
12.0
STL
3
BLK
1
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
+15
PRA
14
showing 25 of 99 — every rate above is computed over all 99