Kamilla Cardoso over 16.5 points
She has cleared 16.5 in 26 of 114 games — 22.8%. That rate needs +338 to break even and books have been paying +113.
—
Tonight
THU · SEP 24CHI @ WAS7:30 PM ETprojected starter · 25 projected minutes
OutAicha CoulibalyRight Knee
OutAzura StevensRight Knee
OutDiJonai CarringtonLeft Foot
OutNatasha CloudLeft Knee
OutSkylar DigginsRight Knee
AT 22+ MINUTES · 202637 games · 27.2 min · 15.1 points · 11/37 over 16.5 (30%)
Tonight's projection is 25 minutes. This is her season at that workload.
WITHOUT COULIBALY12 games · 28.0 min · 15.6 points · 5/12 over 16.5with her (n=30): 25.7 min · 14.3 points · 23%with her →
WITHOUT STEVENS11 games · 25.6 min · 15.0 points · 4/11 over 16.5with her (n=31): 26.7 min · 14.5 points · 26%with her →
WITHOUT CARRINGTON31 games · 26.3 min · 13.8 points · 7/31 over 16.5with her (n=11): 26.7 min · 17.1 points · 45%with her →
Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.
01
Distribution
114 games · hover a bucket0–2.5 points · 4 games · 3.5% · under4
2.5–5 points · 2 games · 1.8% · under2
5–7.5 points · 11 games · 9.6% · under11
7.5–10 points · 15 games · 13.2% · under15
10–12.5 points · 29 games · 25.4% · under29
12.5–15 points · 12 games · 10.5% · under12
15–17.5 points · 20 games · 17.5% · under20
17.5–20 points · 5 games · 4.4% · over5
20–22.5 points · 7 games · 6.1% · over7
22.5–25 points · 5 games · 4.4% · over5
25–27.5 points · 3 games · 2.6% · over3
30–32.5 points · 1 game · 0.9% · over1
16.5
UNDER · 88OVER · 26 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 16.5 · hover a bar2026-06-11 · IND · 10 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-06-17 · NYL · 10 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-06-20 · DAL · 26 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-06-22 · CON · 16 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-06-24 · POR · 13 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-06-26 · POR · 30 points · +13.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · LVA · 24 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-07-03 · LVA · 16 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-07 · PHO · 9 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-07-10 · LAS · 15 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · DAL · 12 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-07-17 · LAS · 13 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-07-19 · ATL · 15 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · NYL · 10 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-07-30 · CON · 26 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-08-01 · LVA · 8 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-08-03 · PHO · 16 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · LAS · 15 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-08 · IND · 14 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-10 · SEA · 15 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-12 · GSV · 20 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-16 · SEA · 22 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-08-18 · NYL · 17 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-21 · GSV · 14 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · IND · 11 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-25 · CON · 24 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-08-29 · NYL · 9 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · WAS · 10 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-09-19 · ATL · 11 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · TOR · 17 points · +0.5 vs line
16.5
2026-06-11— 5-game mean2026-09-22 · newest
03
Recent form
50.0%5/10 · last 10
2026-08-12 · 20 points · OVER
20
2026-08-16 · 22 points · OVER
22
2026-08-18 · 17 points · OVER
17
2026-08-21 · 14 points · UNDER
14
2026-08-23 · 11 points · UNDER
11
2026-08-25 · 24 points · OVER
24
2026-08-29 · 9 points · UNDER
9
2026-09-17 · 10 points · UNDER
10
2026-09-19 · 11 points · UNDER
11
2026-09-22 · 17 points · OVER
17
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 1 postings16.5+113
best offered16.5+113
worst offered16.5+113
our break-even16.5+338
Median +113 across 1 postings over 1 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 114 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 16.5
2026-09-22TORHOME25.9MIN17POINTS7 · 2 · 8-11OVER
- FG
- 8-11
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 3/4
- TS%
- 71.5
- USG%
- 21.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 26
2026-09-19ATLAWAY18.8MIN11POINTS6 · 2 · 5-7UNDER
- FG
- 5-7
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 73.9
- USG%
- 24.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 19
2026-09-17WASHOME23.1MIN10POINTS7 · 2 · 5-11UNDER
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 45.5
- USG%
- 28.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 6
- +/−
- -20
- PRA
- 19
2026-08-29NYLAWAY20.1MIN9POINTS4 · 3 · 3-6UNDER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 58.0
- USG%
- 20.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 16
2026-08-25CONAWAY28.7MIN24POINTS13 · 1 · 7-12OVER
- FG
- 7-12
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 10-10
- OREB/DREB
- 5/8
- TS%
- 73.2
- USG%
- 27.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 38
2026-08-23INDHOME24.2MIN11POINTS6 · 1 · 2-9UNDER
- FG
- 2-9
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 7-7
- OREB/DREB
- 3/3
- TS%
- 45.5
- USG%
- 23.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -31
- PRA
- 18
2026-08-21GSVHOME35.2MIN14POINTS10 · 4 · 4-12UNDER
- FG
- 4-12
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 6-11
- OREB/DREB
- 2/8
- TS%
- 41.6
- USG%
- 25.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 28
2026-08-18NYLHOME31.7MIN17POINTS12 · 4 · 6-12OVER
- FG
- 6-12
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 5-7
- OREB/DREB
- 6/6
- TS%
- 56.4
- USG%
- 19.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 33
2026-08-16SEAAWAY30.2MIN22POINTS12 · 2 · 7-15OVER
- FG
- 7-15
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 8-11
- OREB/DREB
- 5/7
- TS%
- 55.4
- USG%
- 29.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 36
2026-08-12GSVAWAY22.2MIN20POINTS6 · 1 · 7-13OVER
- FG
- 7-13
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 6-8
- OREB/DREB
- 3/3
- TS%
- 60.5
- USG%
- 34.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 27
2026-08-10SEAAWAY26.9MIN15POINTS13 · 0 · 7-12UNDER
- FG
- 7-12
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 7/6
- TS%
- 58.2
- USG%
- 28.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 28
2026-08-08INDHOME26.2MIN14POINTS9 · 2 · 6-13UNDER
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/7
- TS%
- 47.4
- USG%
- 27.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 25
2026-08-05LASHOME29.4MIN15POINTS7 · 3 · 4-9UNDER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 7-9
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 57.9
- USG%
- 25.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 25
2026-08-03PHOHOME27.7MIN16POINTS13 · 5 · 8-15UNDER
- FG
- 8-15
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 5/8
- TS%
- 53.3
- USG%
- 22.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -16
- PRA
- 34
2026-08-01LVAHOME25.8MIN8POINTS12 · 2 · 4-11UNDER
- FG
- 4-11
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-1
- OREB/DREB
- 4/8
- TS%
- 35.0
- USG%
- 22.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 22
2026-07-30CONHOME20.9MIN26POINTS6 · 1 · 8-12OVER
- FG
- 8-12
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 10-11
- OREB/DREB
- 3/3
- TS%
- 77.2
- USG%
- 35.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 33
2026-07-22NYLAWAY24.7MIN10POINTS5 · 5 · 5-11UNDER
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 45.5
- USG%
- 21.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 20
2026-07-19ATLAWAY24.3MIN15POINTS4 · 2 · 6-9UNDER
- FG
- 6-9
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 67.0
- USG%
- 23.0
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 21
2026-07-17LASHOME24.3MIN13POINTS11 · 3 · 6-8UNDER
- FG
- 6-8
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 3/8
- TS%
- 73.2
- USG%
- 18.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 27
2026-07-12DALAWAY29.4MIN12POINTS13 · 2 · 6-12UNDER
- FG
- 6-12
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/11
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 20.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 27
2026-07-10LASAWAY27.6MIN15POINTS8 · 2 · 6-9UNDER
- FG
- 6-9
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/7
- TS%
- 72.7
- USG%
- 15.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 25
2026-07-07PHOAWAY27.6MIN9POINTS4 · 4 · 4-7UNDER
- FG
- 4-7
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 54.1
- USG%
- 15.4
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 4
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 17
2026-07-03LVAAWAY27.0MIN16POINTS10 · 4 · 4-11UNDER
- FG
- 4-11
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 8-8
- OREB/DREB
- 4/6
- TS%
- 55.1
- USG%
- 33.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 30
2026-06-28LVAHOME29.9MIN24POINTS8 · 1 · 10-15OVER
- FG
- 10-15
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 3/5
- TS%
- 71.6
- USG%
- 23.3
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 33
2026-06-26PORHOME23.7MIN30POINTS8 · 1 · 13-13OVER
- FG
- 13-13
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 4-6
- OREB/DREB
- 3/5
- TS%
- 95.9
- USG%
- 33.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 39
showing 25 of 114 — every rate above is computed over all 114