Karlie Samuelson against the Atlanta Dream

Averaged 4.2 points, 2.3 rebounds and 1.7 assists in 13 games against the Atlanta Dream.

Every stat, vs baseline

hover a row for the gap against its noise

STAT

VS DREAM

FORM

DIFF

← below baseline · above →

VERDICT

points

4.2

6.4

−2.3

gap is 2.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.1

MEASURED

rebounds

2.3

2.2

+0.1

gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0

NOT MEASURABLE

assists

1.7

1.4

+0.3

gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8

NOT MEASURABLE

threes

0.8

1.3

−0.4

gap is 1.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5

DIRECTIONAL

steals

0.3

0.8

−0.5

gap is 2.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4

DIRECTIONAL

blocks

0.0

0.1

−0.1

gap is 3.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.1

NOT MEASURABLE

turnovers

0.7

0.6

0.0

gap is 0.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5

NOT MEASURABLE

pts+reb+ast

8.2

10.0

−1.9

gap is 1.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.6

DIRECTIONAL

pts+reb

6.5

8.6

−2.1

gap is 1.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.4

DIRECTIONAL

pts+ast

5.8

7.8

−2.0

gap is 1.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.1

DIRECTIONAL

reb+ast

4.0

3.6

+0.4

gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.6

NOT MEASURABLE

steals+blocks

0.3

0.9

−0.6

gap is 2.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4

MEASURED

field goals made

1.3

2.0

−0.7

gap is 2.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7

DIRECTIONAL

field goal attempts

4.2

4.9

−0.7

gap is 1.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0

DIRECTIONAL

three-point attempts

2.9

3.4

−0.5

gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0

NOT MEASURABLE

free throws made

0.7

1.1

−0.4

gap is 1.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7

DIRECTIONAL

free throw attempts

0.8

1.2

−0.5

gap is 1.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7

DIRECTIONAL

offensive rebounds

0.2

0.4

−0.2

gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.3

NOT MEASURABLE

defensive rebounds

2.1

1.8

+0.3

gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0

NOT MEASURABLE

fouls

2.0

1.8

+0.2

gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0

NOT MEASURABLE

usage 12.7 vs 12.7true shooting 40.1 vs 51.4minutes 18.9 vs 20.8

Baseline: form going into each game (the average of the previous 10), measured on 98 other games since 2023-05-25.

The 13 games

points · her form 6.4 · hover a bar

2022-05-29 · ATL · 3 points · −3.4 vs her form

2023-07-02 · ATL · 6 points · −0.4 vs her form

2023-07-05 · ATL · 5 points · −1.4 vs her form

2023-08-12 · ATL · 9 points · +2.6 vs her form

2023-08-25 · ATL · 2 points · −4.4 vs her form

2024-05-29 · ATL · 7 points · +0.6 vs her form

2024-06-11 · ATL · 5 points · −1.4 vs her form

2024-09-13 · ATL · 3 points · −3.4 vs her form

2024-09-15 · ATL · 8 points · +1.6 vs her form

2025-06-27 · ATL · 6 points · −0.4 vs her form

2026-05-29 · ATL · 0 points · −6.4 vs her form

2026-07-11 · ATL · 0 points · −6.4 vs her form

2026-08-28 · ATL · 0 points · −6.4 vs her form

6.4

2022-05-29— 5-game mean2026-08-28 · newest

Why — minutes or rate

−0.60 minutes−1.65 rate = −2.25 total

Production, not playing time: similar minutes, 0.09 fewer points per minute.

True shooting 40.1% vs 51.4% (-11.3)

The matchup

concedes −20suppresses +2

Consistent with the matchup: the opponent suppresses scoring (+0.70 SD from league average).

Game log

all 13 · click a row for the box score

DATE

OPP

H/A

MIN

POINTS

REB · AST · FG

VS 6.4

2026-08-28

ATL

AWAY

8.9MIN

0POINTS

2 · 0 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-1
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 10.9
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +10
PRA: 2

2026-07-11

ATL

AWAY

8.2MIN

0POINTS

0 · 0 · 0-0

BELOW

FG: 0-0
3PT: 0-0
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 5.8
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -6
PRA: 0

2026-05-29

ATL

HOME

19.0MIN

0POINTS

3 · 1 · 0-2

BELOW

FG: 0-2
3PT: 0-2
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 0.0
USG%: 7.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -15
PRA: 4

2025-06-27

ATL

AWAY

15.3MIN

6POINTS

1 · 0 · 2-4

BELOW

FG: 2-4
3PT: 2-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/0
TS%: 75.0
USG%: 12.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +9
PRA: 7

2024-09-15

ATL

HOME

20.5MIN

8POINTS

2 · 3 · 2-3

ABOVE

FG: 2-3
3PT: 2-2
FT: 2-3
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 92.6
USG%: 16.1
STL: 2
BLK: 0
TOV: 2
PF: 2
+/−: +8
PRA: 13

2024-09-13

ATL

AWAY

18.2MIN

3POINTS

0 · 1 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/0
TS%: 37.5
USG%: 13.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -4
PRA: 4

2024-06-11

ATL

AWAY

24.5MIN

5POINTS

6 · 4 · 2-8

BELOW

FG: 2-8
3PT: 1-4
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/6
TS%: 31.3
USG%: 16.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 1
+/−: +13
PRA: 15

2024-05-29

ATL

HOME

31.2MIN

7POINTS

3 · 3 · 3-10

ABOVE

FG: 3-10
3PT: 1-7
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 1/2
TS%: 35.0
USG%: 15.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 2
+/−: -10
PRA: 13

2023-08-25

ATL

AWAY

29.8MIN

2POINTS

4 · 4 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 0-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/4
TS%: 25.0
USG%: 8.2
STL: 1
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 3
+/−: +5
PRA: 10

2023-08-12

ATL

HOME

25.5MIN

9POINTS

2 · 1 · 3-5

ABOVE

FG: 3-5
3PT: 1-2
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/2
TS%: 76.5
USG%: 10.7
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 5
+/−: +7
PRA: 12

2023-07-05

ATL

HOME

14.4MIN

5POINTS

1 · 2 · 1-4

BELOW

FG: 1-4
3PT: 1-3
FT: 2-2
OREB/DREB: 0/1
TS%: 51.2
USG%: 15.3
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 0
PF: 0
+/−: -12
PRA: 8

2023-07-02

ATL

AWAY

19.5MIN

6POINTS

3 · 2 · 1-5

BELOW

FG: 1-5
3PT: 1-4
FT: 3-3
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 47.5
USG%: 16.1
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 5
+/−: -3
PRA: 11

2022-05-29

ATL

AWAY

10.2MIN

3POINTS

3 · 1 · 1-3

BELOW

FG: 1-3
3PT: 1-3
FT: 0-0
OREB/DREB: 0/3
TS%: 50.0
USG%: 17.2
STL: 0
BLK: 0
TOV: 1
PF: 1
+/−: -3
PRA: 7

every game on file — nothing hidden