Katie Lou Samuelson over 4.5 points
She has cleared 4.5 in 56 of 102 games — 54.9%. That rate needs -122 to break even, and no book in our ledger has priced it.
01
Distribution
102 games · hover a bucket0–2 points · 14 games · 13.7% · under14
2–4 points · 27 games · 26.5% · under27
4–6 points · 13 games · 12.7% · under13
6–8 points · 11 games · 10.8% · over11
8–10 points · 13 games · 12.7% · over13
10–12 points · 9 games · 8.8% · over9
12–14 points · 9 games · 8.8% · over9
14–16 points · 2 games · 2.0% · over2
16–18 points · 3 games · 2.9% · over3
18–20 points · 1 game · 1.0% · over1
4.5
UNDER · 46OVER · 56 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 4.5 · hover a bar2026-05-30 · TOR · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-06-01 · DAL · 6 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-06-03 · PHO · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-06-06 · MIN · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-06-08 · LVA · 7 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-06-10 · LAS · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-06-12 · GSV · 8 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-06-17 · POR · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-06-20 · PHO · 7 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-06-22 · DAL · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-06-25 · NYL · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-06-27 · ATL · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-02 · PHO · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-07-04 · POR · 5 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-06 · LAS · 9 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-07-09 · ATL · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · WAS · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-07-15 · CHI · 11 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-17 · IND · 8 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-07-20 · MIN · 7 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · MIN · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-07-28 · IND · 5 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-31 · ATL · 8 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-03 · NYL · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · NYL · 4 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-14 · POR · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-16 · CHI · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · DAL · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-26 · TOR · 8 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · LAS · 4 points · −0.5 vs line
4.5
2026-05-30— 5-game mean2026-08-30 · newest
03
Recent form
30.0%3/10 · last 10
2026-07-22 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-07-28 · 5 points · OVER
5
2026-07-31 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-08-03 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-08-05 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-08-14 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-08-16 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-08-23 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-08-26 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-08-30 · 4 points · UNDER
4
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
No book in our ledger has priced this exact line. Our books publish eight WNBA markets, so a threshold outside those has a rate but no price to check it against.
05
Game log
25 of 102 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 4.5
2026-08-30LASHOME16.8MIN4POINTS0 · 2 · 1-4UNDER
- FG
- 1-4
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 41.0
- USG%
- 11.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 6
2026-08-26TORHOME25.2MIN8POINTS6 · 3 · 3-7OVER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 53.8
- USG%
- 12.2
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 17
2026-08-23DALAWAY13.5MIN3POINTS3 · 0 · 1-6UNDER
- FG
- 1-6
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 25.0
- USG%
- 22.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 6
2026-08-16CHIHOME12.3MIN2POINTS0 · 1 · 1-2UNDER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 9.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 3
2026-08-14PORHOME11.7MIN3POINTS1 · 0 · 1-3UNDER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 13.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -16
- PRA
- 4
2026-08-05NYLAWAY9.3MIN4POINTS2 · 0 · 2-4UNDER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 22.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 6
2026-08-03NYLAWAY14.5MIN2POINTS1 · 1 · 1-5UNDER
- FG
- 1-5
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 20.0
- USG%
- 16.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 4
2026-07-31ATLAWAY16.3MIN8POINTS0 · 0 · 2-4OVER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 82.0
- USG%
- 14.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 8
2026-07-28INDHOME11.8MIN5POINTS5 · 1 · 2-5OVER
- FG
- 2-5
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 17.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 11
2026-07-22MINHOME13.3MIN3POINTS4 · 1 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 39.9
- USG%
- 14.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 8
2026-07-20MINHOME14.6MIN7POINTS2 · 0 · 2-4OVER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 78.8
- USG%
- 12.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 9
2026-07-17INDAWAY18.6MIN8POINTS1 · 0 · 3-4OVER
- FG
- 3-4
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 90.1
- USG%
- 11.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 9
2026-07-15CHIAWAY20.4MIN11POINTS3 · 0 · 4-4OVER
- FG
- 4-4
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 103.4
- USG%
- 10.0
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 14
2026-07-12WASAWAY11.6MIN3POINTS0 · 0 · 1-2UNDER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 75.0
- USG%
- 10.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 3
2026-07-09ATLAWAY12.1MIN3POINTS0 · 0 · 1-1UNDER
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 104.2
- USG%
- 5.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 3
2026-07-06LASAWAY15.5MIN9POINTS5 · 0 · 3-4OVER
- FG
- 3-4
- 3PT
- 3-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 112.5
- USG%
- 11.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 14
2026-07-04PORHOME17.5MIN5POINTS1 · 0 · 1-3OVER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 64.4
- USG%
- 9.5
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 6
2026-07-02PHOAWAY8.4MIN0POINTS2 · 0 · 0-1UNDER
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 5.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -15
- PRA
- 2
2026-06-27ATLHOME17.2MIN2POINTS2 · 3 · 0-4UNDER
- FG
- 0-4
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 20.5
- USG%
- 12.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 7
2026-06-25NYLHOME13.2MIN2POINTS5 · 2 · 1-1UNDER
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 100.0
- USG%
- 6.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 9
2026-06-22DALHOME20.8MIN3POINTS2 · 1 · 1-2UNDER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 75.0
- USG%
- 4.3
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 6
2026-06-20PHOAWAY26.6MIN7POINTS5 · 3 · 3-8OVER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 43.8
- USG%
- 13.8
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 15
2026-06-17PORAWAY11.4MIN0POINTS1 · 1 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 8.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 2
2026-06-12GSVHOME11.9MIN8POINTS1 · 0 · 2-2OVER
- FG
- 2-2
- 3PT
- 2-2
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 138.9
- USG%
- 11.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 9
2026-06-10LASHOME9.4MIN3POINTS0 · 0 · 1-3UNDER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 24.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 3
showing 25 of 102 — every rate above is computed over all 102