Kayla Thornton over 8.5 points
She has cleared 8.5 in 73 of 217 games — 33.6%. That rate needs +197 to break even and books have been paying -102.
01
Distribution
217 games · hover a bucket0–2.5 points · 60 games · 27.6% · under60
2.5–5 points · 36 games · 16.6% · under36
5–7.5 points · 41 games · 18.9% · under41
7.5–10 points · 16 games · 7.4% · under16
10–12.5 points · 27 games · 12.4% · over27
12.5–15 points · 8 games · 3.7% · over8
15–17.5 points · 13 games · 6.0% · over13
17.5–20 points · 6 games · 2.8% · over6
20–22.5 points · 9 games · 4.1% · over9
27.5–30 points · 1 game · 0.5% · over1
8.5
UNDER · 144OVER · 73 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 8.5 · hover a bar2026-07-18 · WAS · 11 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-07-20 · WAS · 15 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-29 · PHO · 6 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · TOR · 3 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-04 · TOR · 20 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-08-07 · DAL · 11 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · LAS · 11 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-12 · CHI · 3 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-17 · DAL · 7 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-19 · MIN · 5 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-08-21 · CHI · 0 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-08-24 · MIN · 0 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-08-26 · CON · 0 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-08-27 · NYL · 3 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · POR · 17 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-09-18 · POR · 13 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-09-19 · SEA · 0 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · POR · 11 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-09-24 · LAS · 3 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-09-27 · DAL · 10 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-09-30 · DAL · 13 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-10-02 · DAL · 0 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-10-04 · LVA · 8 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-10-07 · LVA · 16 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-10-09 · LVA · 18 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-10-17 · ATL · 0 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-10-19 · ATL · 2 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-10-21 · ATL · 0 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-10-24 · ATL · 3 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-10-26 · ATL · 3 points · −5.5 vs line
8.5
2026-07-18— 5-game mean2026-10-26 · newest
03
Recent form
30.0%3/10 · last 10
2026-09-30 · 13 points · OVER
13
2026-10-02 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-10-04 · 8 points · UNDER
8
2026-10-07 · 16 points · OVER
16
2026-10-09 · 18 points · OVER
18
2026-10-17 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-10-19 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-10-21 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-10-24 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-10-26 · 3 points · UNDER
3
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 25 postings8.5-102
best offered8.5+119
worst offered8.5-119
our break-even8.5+197
Median -102 across 25 postings over 11 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 217 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 8.5
2026-10-26PLAYOFF R3 G5ATLHOME11.4MIN3POINTS3 · 0 · 1-3UNDER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 14.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 6
2026-10-24PLAYOFF R3 G4ATLAWAY17.3MIN3POINTS3 · 0 · 1-2UNDER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 75.0
- USG%
- 5.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 6
2026-10-21PLAYOFF R3 G3ATLAWAY13.3MIN0POINTS5 · 0 · 0-1UNDER
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 6.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 5
2026-10-19PLAYOFF R3 G2ATLHOME18.7MIN2POINTS2 · 0 · 1-3UNDER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 33.3
- USG%
- 7.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 4
2026-10-17PLAYOFF R3 G1ATLHOME7.2MIN0POINTS3 · 1 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 12.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -15
- PRA
- 4
2026-10-09PLAYOFF R2 G3LVAAWAY32.8MIN18POINTS9 · 0 · 5-12OVER
- FG
- 5-12
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 6-7
- OREB/DREB
- 4/5
- TS%
- 59.7
- USG%
- 22.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 27
2026-10-07PLAYOFF R2 G2LVAHOME30.3MIN16POINTS3 · 0 · 3-7OVER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 7-7
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 79.4
- USG%
- 17.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 19
2026-10-04PLAYOFF R2 G1LVAHOME34.0MIN8POINTS11 · 1 · 3-9UNDER
- FG
- 3-9
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 5/6
- TS%
- 40.5
- USG%
- 13.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 20
2026-10-02PLAYOFF R1 G3DALHOME13.7MIN0POINTS0 · 1 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 6.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 1
2026-09-30PLAYOFF R1 G2DALAWAY31.0MIN13POINTS6 · 0 · 4-8OVER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 3-4
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 73.2
- USG%
- 15.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 19
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1DALHOME18.6MIN10POINTS5 · 1 · 4-6OVER
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 83.3
- USG%
- 15.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 16
2026-09-24LASAWAY24.8MIN3POINTS2 · 0 · 0-3UNDER
- FG
- 0-3
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 34.7
- USG%
- 9.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 5
2026-09-22PORAWAY26.3MIN11POINTS7 · 1 · 4-8OVER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 61.9
- USG%
- 20.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 19
2026-09-19SEAHOME30.3MIN0POINTS6 · 0 · 0-6UNDER
- FG
- 0-6
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 9.4
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 6
2026-09-18PORHOME24.7MIN13POINTS4 · 1 · 4-10OVER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 3-8
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 57.4
- USG%
- 22.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 18
2026-08-30PORAWAY25.1MIN17POINTS2 · 2 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 87.1
- USG%
- 19.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +24
- PRA
- 21
2026-08-27NYLAWAY17.7MIN3POINTS2 · 0 · 1-4UNDER
- FG
- 1-4
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 37.5
- USG%
- 11.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 5
2026-08-26CONAWAY20.4MIN0POINTS4 · 0 · 0-1UNDER
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 2.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 4
2026-08-24MINAWAY7.9MIN0POINTS1 · 0 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 12.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 1
2026-08-21CHIAWAY19.1MIN0POINTS2 · 0 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 4.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 2
2026-08-19MINHOME19.0MIN5POINTS0 · 0 · 2-8UNDER
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 31.3
- USG%
- 18.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -17
- PRA
- 5
2026-08-17DALHOME32.9MIN7POINTS3 · 1 · 2-8UNDER
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 39.4
- USG%
- 12.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 11
2026-08-12CHIHOME19.4MIN3POINTS1 · 0 · 1-4UNDER
- FG
- 1-4
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 33.8
- USG%
- 10.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 4
2026-08-09LASAWAY27.9MIN11POINTS7 · 1 · 4-10OVER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 1-7
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 50.6
- USG%
- 23.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 19
2026-08-07DALAWAY27.4MIN11POINTS10 · 3 · 4-9OVER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/8
- TS%
- 61.1
- USG%
- 18.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 24
showing 25 of 217 — every rate above is computed over all 217