Kayla Thornton over 8.5 points
She has cleared 8.5 in 69 of 206 games — 33.5%. That rate needs +198 to break even and books have been paying -110.
01
Distribution
206 games · hover a bucket0–2.5 points · 56 games · 27.2% · under56
2.5–5 points · 34 games · 16.5% · under34
5–7.5 points · 41 games · 19.9% · under41
7.5–10 points · 15 games · 7.3% · under15
10–12.5 points · 26 games · 12.6% · over26
12.5–15 points · 7 games · 3.4% · over7
15–17.5 points · 12 games · 5.8% · over12
17.5–20 points · 5 games · 2.4% · over5
20–22.5 points · 9 games · 4.4% · over9
27.5–30 points · 1 game · 0.5% · over1
8.5
UNDER · 137OVER · 69 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 8.5 · hover a bar2026-06-17 · DAL · 8 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-06-19 · MIN · 3 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-06-21 · LVA · 2 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-06-24 · ATL · 17 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-06-26 · ATL · 0 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · NYL · 11 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-07-04 · ATL · 2 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-07-06 · WAS · 2 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-07-08 · TOR · 15 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-10 · CON · 2 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-07-15 · IND · 11 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-07-18 · WAS · 11 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-07-20 · WAS · 15 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-29 · PHO · 6 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · TOR · 3 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-04 · TOR · 20 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-08-07 · DAL · 11 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · LAS · 11 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-12 · CHI · 3 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-17 · DAL · 7 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-19 · MIN · 5 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-08-21 · CHI · 0 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-08-24 · MIN · 0 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-08-26 · CON · 0 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-08-27 · NYL · 3 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · POR · 17 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-09-18 · POR · 13 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-09-19 · SEA · 0 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · POR · 11 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-09-24 · LAS · 3 points · −5.5 vs line
8.5
2026-06-17— 5-game mean2026-09-24 · newest
03
Recent form
30.0%3/10 · last 10
2026-08-19 · 5 points · UNDER
5
2026-08-21 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-08-24 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-08-26 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-08-27 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-08-30 · 17 points · OVER
17
2026-09-18 · 13 points · OVER
13
2026-09-19 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-09-22 · 11 points · OVER
11
2026-09-24 · 3 points · UNDER
3
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 15 postings8.5-110
best offered8.5+119
worst offered8.5-119
our break-even8.5+198
Median -110 across 15 postings over 8 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 206 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 8.5
2026-09-24LASAWAY24.8MIN3POINTS2 · 0 · 0-3UNDER
- FG
- 0-3
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 34.7
- USG%
- 9.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 5
2026-09-22PORAWAY26.3MIN11POINTS7 · 1 · 4-8OVER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 61.9
- USG%
- 20.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 19
2026-09-19SEAHOME30.3MIN0POINTS6 · 0 · 0-6UNDER
- FG
- 0-6
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 9.4
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 6
2026-09-18PORHOME24.7MIN13POINTS4 · 1 · 4-10OVER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 3-8
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 57.4
- USG%
- 22.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 18
2026-08-30PORAWAY25.1MIN17POINTS2 · 2 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 87.1
- USG%
- 19.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +24
- PRA
- 21
2026-08-27NYLAWAY17.7MIN3POINTS2 · 0 · 1-4UNDER
- FG
- 1-4
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 37.5
- USG%
- 11.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 5
2026-08-26CONAWAY20.4MIN0POINTS4 · 0 · 0-1UNDER
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 2.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 4
2026-08-24MINAWAY7.9MIN0POINTS1 · 0 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 12.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 1
2026-08-21CHIAWAY19.1MIN0POINTS2 · 0 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 4.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 2
2026-08-19MINHOME19.0MIN5POINTS0 · 0 · 2-8UNDER
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 31.3
- USG%
- 18.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -17
- PRA
- 5
2026-08-17DALHOME32.9MIN7POINTS3 · 1 · 2-8UNDER
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 39.4
- USG%
- 12.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 11
2026-08-12CHIHOME19.4MIN3POINTS1 · 0 · 1-4UNDER
- FG
- 1-4
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 33.8
- USG%
- 10.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 4
2026-08-09LASAWAY27.9MIN11POINTS7 · 1 · 4-10OVER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 1-7
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 50.6
- USG%
- 23.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 19
2026-08-07DALAWAY27.4MIN11POINTS10 · 3 · 4-9OVER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/8
- TS%
- 61.1
- USG%
- 18.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 24
2026-08-04TORHOME28.3MIN20POINTS2 · 1 · 6-10OVER
- FG
- 6-10
- 3PT
- 4-7
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 85.0
- USG%
- 18.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 23
2026-08-02TORHOME11.3MIN3POINTS1 · 0 · 1-1UNDER
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 150.0
- USG%
- 4.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 4
2026-07-29PHOAWAY24.8MIN6POINTS8 · 2 · 2-7UNDER
- FG
- 2-7
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 4/4
- TS%
- 42.9
- USG%
- 12.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 16
2026-07-20WASHOME28.8MIN15POINTS3 · 0 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 4-7
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 88.9
- USG%
- 15.4
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -16
- PRA
- 18
2026-07-18WASHOME27.3MIN11POINTS4 · 1 · 3-6OVER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 79.9
- USG%
- 13.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 16
2026-07-15INDAWAY31.0MIN11POINTS8 · 1 · 3-8OVER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 2/6
- TS%
- 59.0
- USG%
- 16.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +21
- PRA
- 20
2026-07-10CONAWAY13.0MIN2POINTS4 · 0 · 1-4UNDER
- FG
- 1-4
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 25.0
- USG%
- 22.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 6
2026-07-08TORAWAY25.1MIN15POINTS9 · 0 · 4-6OVER
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 4/5
- TS%
- 96.6
- USG%
- 18.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 24
2026-07-06WASAWAY14.9MIN2POINTS0 · 1 · 0-7UNDER
- FG
- 0-7
- 3PT
- 0-6
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 12.7
- USG%
- 26.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 3
2026-07-04ATLAWAY23.5MIN2POINTS4 · 1 · 1-7UNDER
- FG
- 1-7
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 14.3
- USG%
- 13.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 7
2026-06-28NYLHOME26.1MIN11POINTS4 · 0 · 4-7OVER
- FG
- 4-7
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 73.9
- USG%
- 17.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 15
showing 25 of 206 — every rate above is computed over all 206