Kelsey Mitchell over 20.5 points
She has cleared 20.5 in 108 of 213 games — 50.7%. That rate needs -103 to break even and books have been paying -127.
01
Distribution
213 games · hover a bucket0–5 points · 2 games · 0.9% · under2
5–10 points · 12 games · 5.6% · under12
10–15 points · 30 games · 14.1% · under30
15–20 points · 49 games · 23.0% · under49
20–25 points · 61 games · 28.6% · under61
25–30 points · 40 games · 18.8% · over40
30–35 points · 13 games · 6.1% · over13
35–40 points · 6 games · 2.8% · over6
20.5
UNDER · 105OVER · 108 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 20.5 · hover a bar2026-06-24 · PHO · 30 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-06-27 · LAS · 26 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-07-05 · LVA · 27 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-08 · LAS · 29 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-07-09 · PHO · 29 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · LVA · 27 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-15 · GSV · 20 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-17 · SEA · 30 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-07-18 · NYL · 33 points · +12.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · CON · 23 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-07-28 · SEA · 28 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-07-31 · POR · 26 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · MIN · 37 points · +16.5 vs line
2026-08-06 · LVA · 28 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-08-08 · CHI · 27 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-08-11 · NYL · 28 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-08-14 · DAL · 23 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-16 · ATL · 20 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-18 · TOR · 29 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-08-20 · DAL · 37 points · +16.5 vs line
2026-08-22 · NYL · 25 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · CHI · 30 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-08-28 · CON · 34 points · +13.5 vs line
2026-09-18 · TOR · 33 points · +12.5 vs line
2026-09-20 · WAS · 22 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · MIN · 20 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-09-24 · MIN · 10 points · −10.5 vs line
2026-09-27 · LVA · 12 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-09-29 · LVA · 26 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-10-01 · LVA · 23 points · +2.5 vs line
20.5
2026-06-24— 5-game mean2026-10-01 · newest
03
Recent form
70.0%7/10 · last 10
2026-08-22 · 25 points · OVER
25
2026-08-23 · 30 points · OVER
30
2026-08-28 · 34 points · OVER
34
2026-09-18 · 33 points · OVER
33
2026-09-20 · 22 points · OVER
22
2026-09-22 · 20 points · UNDER
20
2026-09-24 · 10 points · UNDER
10
2026-09-27 · 12 points · UNDER
12
2026-09-29 · 26 points · OVER
26
2026-10-01 · 23 points · OVER
23
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 22 postings20.5-127
best offered20.5-127
worst offered20.5-127
our break-even20.5-103
Median -127 across 22 postings over 1 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 213 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 20.5
2026-10-01PLAYOFF R1 G3LVAAWAY36.2MIN23POINTS2 · 2 · 7-23OVER
- FG
- 7-23
- 3PT
- 3-11
- FT
- 6-8
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 43.4
- USG%
- 32.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 27
2026-09-29PLAYOFF R1 G2LVAHOME34.3MIN26POINTS1 · 0 · 7-16OVER
- FG
- 7-16
- 3PT
- 3-4
- FT
- 9-11
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 62.4
- USG%
- 26.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 27
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1LVAAWAY30.4MIN12POINTS0 · 3 · 4-16UNDER
- FG
- 4-16
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 34.6
- USG%
- 30.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -16
- PRA
- 15
2026-09-24MINAWAY21.6MIN10POINTS2 · 1 · 3-12UNDER
- FG
- 3-12
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/0
- TS%
- 38.8
- USG%
- 24.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -36
- PRA
- 13
2026-09-22MINHOME27.0MIN20POINTS3 · 4 · 6-13UNDER
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 2-7
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 63.9
- USG%
- 26.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 27
2026-09-20WASHOME34.8MIN22POINTS0 · 2 · 8-20OVER
- FG
- 8-20
- 3PT
- 3-10
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 51.6
- USG%
- 29.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 24
2026-09-18TORAWAY33.5MIN33POINTS2 · 2 · 12-17OVER
- FG
- 12-17
- 3PT
- 7-11
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 92.3
- USG%
- 26.4
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 37
2026-08-28CONHOME31.2MIN34POINTS3 · 4 · 12-19OVER
- FG
- 12-19
- 3PT
- 4-9
- FT
- 6-10
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 72.6
- USG%
- 33.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 41
2026-08-23CHIAWAY35.3MIN30POINTS2 · 4 · 10-19OVER
- FG
- 10-19
- 3PT
- 6-9
- FT
- 4-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 70.8
- USG%
- 25.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +28
- PRA
- 36
2026-08-22NYLAWAY32.7MIN25POINTS0 · 4 · 9-15OVER
- FG
- 9-15
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 4-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 70.9
- USG%
- 30.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 29
2026-08-20DALAWAY34.7MIN37POINTS1 · 5 · 9-18OVER
- FG
- 9-18
- 3PT
- 4-7
- FT
- 15-15
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 75.2
- USG%
- 34.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 43
2026-08-18TORAWAY24.4MIN29POINTS3 · 2 · 11-16OVER
- FG
- 11-16
- 3PT
- 4-6
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 83.7
- USG%
- 34.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +20
- PRA
- 34
2026-08-16ATLAWAY35.9MIN20POINTS1 · 1 · 9-22UNDER
- FG
- 9-22
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 45.5
- USG%
- 28.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 22
2026-08-14DALHOME35.9MIN23POINTS2 · 2 · 9-21OVER
- FG
- 9-21
- 3PT
- 1-7
- FT
- 4-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 49.6
- USG%
- 30.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 27
2026-08-11NYLHOME31.2MIN28POINTS3 · 3 · 11-16OVER
- FG
- 11-16
- 3PT
- 4-4
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 80.8
- USG%
- 28.0
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 34
2026-08-08CHIAWAY36.1MIN27POINTS5 · 2 · 11-22OVER
- FG
- 11-22
- 3PT
- 3-9
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 59.0
- USG%
- 31.3
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 34
2026-08-06LVAHOME39.1MIN28POINTS0 · 4 · 10-18OVER
- FG
- 10-18
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 6-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 65.1
- USG%
- 27.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 32
2026-08-02MINAWAY35.2MIN37POINTS1 · 3 · 14-21OVER
- FG
- 14-21
- 3PT
- 6-8
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 81.3
- USG%
- 31.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 41
2026-07-31PORAWAY35.7MIN26POINTS0 · 2 · 9-21OVER
- FG
- 9-21
- 3PT
- 4-12
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 57.1
- USG%
- 28.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 28
2026-07-28SEAAWAY34.7MIN28POINTS2 · 2 · 9-18OVER
- FG
- 9-18
- 3PT
- 4-7
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 67.8
- USG%
- 30.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 32
2026-07-22CONHOME26.4MIN23POINTS4 · 2 · 9-16OVER
- FG
- 9-16
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 66.4
- USG%
- 26.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +27
- PRA
- 29
2026-07-18NYLHOME29.6MIN33POINTS0 · 1 · 10-14OVER
- FG
- 10-14
- 3PT
- 4-6
- FT
- 9-13
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 83.7
- USG%
- 31.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 34
2026-07-17SEAHOME33.7MIN30POINTS1 · 0 · 13-25OVER
- FG
- 13-25
- 3PT
- 3-8
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 59.0
- USG%
- 32.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 31
2026-07-15GSVHOME35.3MIN20POINTS1 · 4 · 7-16UNDER
- FG
- 7-16
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 57.7
- USG%
- 24.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 25
2026-07-12LVAAWAY30.5MIN27POINTS3 · 3 · 8-16OVER
- FG
- 8-16
- 3PT
- 3-8
- FT
- 8-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 69.2
- USG%
- 33.1
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +19
- PRA
- 33
showing 25 of 213 — every rate above is computed over all 213