Kelsey Plum over 15.5 points
She has cleared 15.5 in 146 of 199 games — 73.4%. That rate needs -276 to break even and books have been paying -105.
01
Distribution
199 games · hover a bucket0–5 points · 3 games · 1.5% · under3
5–10 points · 12 games · 6.0% · under12
10–15 points · 28 games · 14.1% · under28
15–20 points · 62 games · 31.2% · under62
20–25 points · 55 games · 27.6% · over55
25–30 points · 31 games · 15.6% · over31
30–35 points · 4 games · 2.0% · over4
35–40 points · 2 games · 1.0% · over2
40–45 points · 2 games · 1.0% · over2
15.5
UNDER · 53OVER · 146 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 15.5 · hover a bar2025-08-12 · NYL · 26 points · +10.5 vs line
2025-08-15 · DAL · 28 points · +12.5 vs line
2025-08-17 · WAS · 25 points · +9.5 vs line
2025-08-20 · DAL · 20 points · +4.5 vs line
2025-08-26 · PHO · 20 points · +4.5 vs line
2025-08-29 · IND · 12 points · −3.5 vs line
2025-08-31 · WAS · 18 points · +2.5 vs line
2025-09-01 · SEA · 14 points · −1.5 vs line
2025-09-03 · ATL · 18 points · +2.5 vs line
2025-09-05 · ATL · 20 points · +4.5 vs line
2025-09-07 · DAL · 12 points · −3.5 vs line
2025-09-09 · PHO · 17 points · +1.5 vs line
2025-09-11 · LVA · 15 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-05-10 · LVA · 27 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-05-13 · IND · 25 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-05-15 · TOR · 27 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-05-17 · TOR · 28 points · +12.5 vs line
2026-05-21 · PHO · 16 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-05-23 · LVA · 38 points · +22.5 vs line
2026-06-05 · DAL · 27 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-06-07 · POR · 16 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-06-10 · SEA · 19 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-06-13 · PHO · 43 points · +27.5 vs line
2026-06-15 · GSV · 9 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-06-21 · NYL · 12 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-08-03 · CHI · 20 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · ATL · 19 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-07 · CON · 25 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · WAS · 5 points · −10.5 vs line
2026-08-25 · WAS · 10 points · −5.5 vs line
15.5
2025-08-12— 5-game mean2026-08-25 · newest
03
Recent form
60.0%6/10 · last 10
2026-06-07 · 16 points · OVER
16
2026-06-10 · 19 points · OVER
19
2026-06-13 · 43 points · OVER
43
2026-06-15 · 9 points · UNDER
9
2026-06-21 · 12 points · UNDER
12
2026-08-03 · 20 points · OVER
20
2026-08-05 · 19 points · OVER
19
2026-08-07 · 25 points · OVER
25
2026-08-09 · 5 points · UNDER
5
2026-08-25 · 10 points · UNDER
10
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 22 postings15.5-105
best offered15.5-103
worst offered15.5-118
our break-even15.5-276
Median -105 across 22 postings over 4 games. That price clears what her rate needs.
05
Game log
25 of 199 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 15.5
2026-08-25WASHOME16.6MIN10POINTS0 · 1 · 4-12UNDER
- FG
- 4-12
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 40.2
- USG%
- 37.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -18
- PRA
- 11
2026-08-09WASAWAY14.2MIN5POINTS3 · 2 · 2-7UNDER
- FG
- 2-7
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 0-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 33.6
- USG%
- 33.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -19
- PRA
- 10
2026-08-07CONAWAY27.8MIN25POINTS0 · 3 · 9-16OVER
- FG
- 9-16
- 3PT
- 3-7
- FT
- 4-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 67.1
- USG%
- 35.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 28
2026-08-05ATLAWAY26.4MIN19POINTS5 · 4 · 6-10OVER
- FG
- 6-10
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 75.2
- USG%
- 24.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 28
2026-08-03CHIAWAY20.5MIN20POINTS1 · 4 · 6-10OVER
- FG
- 6-10
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 82.0
- USG%
- 32.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 25
2026-06-21NYLHOME35.9MIN12POINTS3 · 7 · 5-14UNDER
- FG
- 5-14
- 3PT
- 1-7
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 41.6
- USG%
- 18.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 22
2026-06-15GSVAWAY29.3MIN9POINTS1 · 1 · 3-10UNDER
- FG
- 3-10
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 39.8
- USG%
- 21.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 6
- +/−
- -22
- PRA
- 11
2026-06-13PHOAWAY36.9MIN43POINTS2 · 7 · 14-26OVER
- FG
- 14-26
- 3PT
- 5-11
- FT
- 10-12
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 68.7
- USG%
- 44.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 52
2026-06-10SEAAWAY33.1MIN19POINTS1 · 11 · 6-17OVER
- FG
- 6-17
- 3PT
- 2-9
- FT
- 5-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 46.3
- USG%
- 29.9
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 31
2026-06-07PORHOME34.7MIN16POINTS6 · 7 · 5-10OVER
- FG
- 5-10
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 65.6
- USG%
- 15.7
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 29
2026-06-05DALHOME32.7MIN27POINTS2 · 6 · 10-16OVER
- FG
- 10-16
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 6-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 69.2
- USG%
- 32.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 35
2026-05-23LVAAWAY37.0MIN38POINTS4 · 9 · 12-17OVER
- FG
- 12-17
- 3PT
- 6-7
- FT
- 8-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 92.6
- USG%
- 28.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 51
2026-05-21PHOAWAY33.7MIN16POINTS1 · 7 · 6-14OVER
- FG
- 6-14
- 3PT
- 4-10
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 57.1
- USG%
- 23.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 24
2026-05-17TORHOME36.3MIN28POINTS1 · 7 · 9-14OVER
- FG
- 9-14
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 9-11
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 74.3
- USG%
- 26.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 36
2026-05-15TORHOME32.7MIN27POINTS0 · 9 · 10-16OVER
- FG
- 10-16
- 3PT
- 4-8
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 76.0
- USG%
- 29.2
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 36
2026-05-13INDHOME36.7MIN25POINTS1 · 4 · 9-16OVER
- FG
- 9-16
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 6-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 64.0
- USG%
- 30.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 30
2026-05-10LVAHOME34.8MIN27POINTS4 · 2 · 10-18OVER
- FG
- 10-18
- 3PT
- 4-8
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 68.3
- USG%
- 25.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -25
- PRA
- 33
2025-09-11LVAHOME34.1MIN15POINTS4 · 8 · 5-14UNDER
- FG
- 5-14
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 47.6
- USG%
- 26.7
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -24
- PRA
- 27
2025-09-09PHOAWAY32.7MIN17POINTS1 · 5 · 6-15OVER
- FG
- 6-15
- 3PT
- 4-8
- FT
- 1-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 52.1
- USG%
- 23.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 23
2025-09-07DALHOME24.2MIN12POINTS1 · 2 · 4-14UNDER
- FG
- 4-14
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 40.3
- USG%
- 26.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 15
2025-09-05ATLAWAY36.8MIN20POINTS1 · 3 · 6-15OVER
- FG
- 6-15
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 56.7
- USG%
- 26.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 24
2025-09-03ATLAWAY33.0MIN18POINTS3 · 7 · 5-11OVER
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 7-7
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 63.9
- USG%
- 19.2
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 28
2025-09-01SEAAWAY35.5MIN14POINTS3 · 7 · 5-18UNDER
- FG
- 5-18
- 3PT
- 1-7
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 36.2
- USG%
- 29.4
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 24
2025-08-31WASHOME33.3MIN18POINTS4 · 7 · 4-9OVER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 7-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 71.9
- USG%
- 20.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +22
- PRA
- 29
2025-08-29INDHOME33.8MIN12POINTS3 · 3 · 5-10UNDER
- FG
- 5-10
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 57.5
- USG%
- 22.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 18
showing 25 of 199 — every rate above is computed over all 199