DIME
WNBANBAEuroLeagueEuro
points estimatesat home

Kyara Linskens in blowouts

23 of 23 games carry a scoreline to bucket. A wide margin is NOT a fade signal. Served overs in games decided by 10+ were the best rows on the board.

WHAT MARGIN AND TOTAL MEAN HERE

margin and total are the REALISED final scoreline, not the pre-tip market spread and total — this service holds no market lines. Mostly the same games; not the same number.

01

games decided by 10+

|final margin| >= 10
13 of these · baseline 10 (in closer games)DIRECTIONAL

in blowouts (2.1 pts) against in closer games (3.4), -1.3, t = -1.10, directional (this sample resolves gaps above 2.4). A wide margin is NOT a fade signal. Served overs in games decided by 10+ were the best rows on the board. (served overs in |spread| >= 10 hit 65.9% for +18.4% ROI (n=129); gating those games out would have deleted 28 units from a 49-unit season)

STAT
BLOWOUTS
OTHER
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
2.1
3.4
−1.3
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.4
DIRECTIONAL
rebounds
2.2
2.3
−0.1
gap is 0.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.6
NOT MEASURABLE
assists
0.4
0.8
−0.4
gap is 1.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
DIRECTIONAL
threes
0.3
0.3
0.0
gap is 0.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
steals
0.6
0.3
+0.3
gap is 1.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
DIRECTIONAL
blocks
0.9
0.5
+0.4
gap is 1.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
DIRECTIONAL
turnovers
0.6
0.5
+0.1
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb+ast
4.6
6.5
−1.9
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.5
DIRECTIONAL
pts+reb
4.2
5.7
−1.5
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.3
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+ast
2.5
4.2
−1.7
gap is 1.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.4
DIRECTIONAL
reb+ast
2.5
3.1
−0.6
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.0
NOT MEASURABLE
steals+blocks
1.5
0.8
+0.7
gap is 1.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
DIRECTIONAL
defensive rebounds
1.8
1.4
+0.4
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.4
NOT MEASURABLE
field goal attempts
2.6
2.9
−0.3
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.3
NOT MEASURABLE
field goals made
0.8
1.0
−0.2
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
free throw attempts
0.3
1.3
−1.0
gap is 1.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.3
DIRECTIONAL
free throws made
0.1
1.1
−1.0
gap is 2.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0
MEASURED
offensive rebounds
0.4
0.9
−0.5
gap is 1.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
DIRECTIONAL
fouls
1.2
2.1
−0.9
gap is 2.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
MEASURED
three-point attempts
1.2
1.2
0.0
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
NOT MEASURABLE
THE LEAGUE-LEVEL RESULT

A wide margin is NOT a fade signal. Served overs in games decided by 10+ were the best rows on the board.

served overs in |spread| >= 10 hit 65.9% for +18.4% ROI (n=129); gating those games out would have deleted 28 units from a 49-unit season

project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26
THIS CUT, MEASURED

A wide margin is NOT a fade signal. Served overs in games decided by 10+ were the best rows on the board.

served overs in |spread| >= 10 hit 65.9% for +18.4% ROI (n=129); gating those games out would have deleted 28 units from a 49-unit season

project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Read that the way round it is written. The instinct is to fade an over in a blowout; the ledger says the opposite, and gating those picks out would have cost more than half the season's profit. Nothing on this page removes a pick.

02

high-scoring games

combined score >= 169 (this player's own top tercile)
8 of these · baseline 15 (other games)DIRECTIONAL

high-scoring games (3.5 pts) against other games (2.2), +1.3, t = 1.10, directional (this sample resolves gaps above 2.3).

STAT
HIGH TOTAL
OTHER
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
3.5
2.2
+1.3
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.3
DIRECTIONAL
rebounds
3.1
1.7
+1.4
gap is 1.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.9
DIRECTIONAL
assists
0.9
0.4
+0.5
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
DIRECTIONAL
threes
0.5
0.2
+0.3
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
DIRECTIONAL
steals
0.6
0.4
+0.2
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
blocks
0.8
0.7
0.0
gap is 0.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
turnovers
0.4
0.7
−0.3
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb+ast
7.5
4.3
+3.2
gap is 1.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.7
DIRECTIONAL
pts+reb
6.6
3.9
+2.7
gap is 1.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.4
DIRECTIONAL
pts+ast
4.4
2.6
+1.8
gap is 1.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.5
DIRECTIONAL
reb+ast
4.0
2.1
+1.9
gap is 1.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.5
DIRECTIONAL
steals+blocks
1.4
1.1
+0.2
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.1
NOT MEASURABLE
defensive rebounds
2.1
1.3
+0.8
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.9
NOT MEASURABLE
field goal attempts
2.9
2.7
+0.2
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.5
NOT MEASURABLE
field goals made
1.0
0.9
+0.1
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
NOT MEASURABLE
free throw attempts
1.3
0.5
+0.8
gap is 1.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.6
NOT MEASURABLE
free throws made
1.0
0.3
+0.7
gap is 1.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.1
DIRECTIONAL
offensive rebounds
1.0
0.4
+0.6
gap is 1.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
DIRECTIONAL
fouls
2.0
1.4
+0.6
gap is 1.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
DIRECTIONAL
three-point attempts
1.5
1.0
+0.5
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
DIRECTIONAL
03

low-scoring games

combined score <= 158 (this player's own bottom tercile)
8 of these · baseline 15 (other games)MEASURED

low-scoring games (1.1 pts) against other games (3.5), -2.3, t = -2.51, measured (this sample resolves gaps above 1.8).

STAT
LOW TOTALS
OTHER
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
1.1
3.5
−2.3
gap is 2.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.8
MEASURED
rebounds
1.4
2.7
−1.3
gap is 1.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.8
DIRECTIONAL
assists
0.6
0.5
+0.1
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
threes
0.1
0.4
−0.3
gap is 1.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
NOT MEASURABLE
steals
0.4
0.5
−0.2
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
blocks
0.6
0.8
−0.2
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
turnovers
0.5
0.6
−0.1
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb+ast
3.1
6.7
−3.5
gap is 2.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.2
MEASURED
pts+reb
2.5
6.1
−3.6
gap is 2.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.9
MEASURED
pts+ast
1.8
4.0
−2.3
gap is 2.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.0
MEASURED
reb+ast
2.0
3.2
−1.2
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.1
DIRECTIONAL
steals+blocks
1.0
1.3
−0.3
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
defensive rebounds
1.1
1.9
−0.7
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.5
NOT MEASURABLE
field goal attempts
2.3
3.0
−0.8
gap is 1.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.2
DIRECTIONAL
field goals made
0.5
1.1
−0.6
gap is 1.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
DIRECTIONAL
free throw attempts
0.3
1.0
−0.8
gap is 1.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0
DIRECTIONAL
free throws made
0.0
0.8
−0.8
gap is 2.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
MEASURED
offensive rebounds
0.3
0.8
−0.6
gap is 2.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
DIRECTIONAL
fouls
1.6
1.6
0.0
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
NOT MEASURABLE
three-point attempts
0.8
1.4
−0.6
gap is 1.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
DIRECTIONAL
04

Game log

all 23 · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 3.4
2026-08-25
WAS
HOME
15.2MIN
2POINTS
1 · 0 · 1-3
BELOW
FG
1-3
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
33.3
USG%
12.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-8
PRA
3
2026-08-09
WAS
AWAY
17.4MIN
3POINTS
8 · 2 · 1-3
BELOW
FG
1-3
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/8
TS%
50.0
USG%
7.8
STL
1
BLK
3
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-5
PRA
13
2026-08-07
CON
AWAY
3.7MIN
0POINTS
0 · 1 · 0-2
BELOW
FG
0-2
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
24.4
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
+2
PRA
1
2026-07-07
CHI
HOME
8.4MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-2
BELOW
FG
0-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
16.9
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-2
PRA
1
2026-07-02
SEA
HOME
6.7MIN
0POINTS
0 · 1 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
6.5
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+2
PRA
1
2026-06-27
TOR
AWAY
13.7MIN
4POINTS
4 · 3 · 0-2
ABOVE
FG
0-2
3PT
0-0
FT
4-6
OREB/DREB
2/2
TS%
43.1
USG%
18.8
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
+4
PRA
11
2026-06-22
IND
AWAY
14.3MIN
4POINTS
4 · 0 · 2-5
ABOVE
FG
2-5
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
40.0
USG%
22.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
-10
PRA
8
2026-06-20
SEA
HOME
13.0MIN
3POINTS
2 · 0 · 1-5
BELOW
FG
1-5
3PT
0-2
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
25.5
USG%
24.0
STL
0
BLK
2
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
-9
PRA
5
2026-06-17
LVA
HOME
5.1MIN
3POINTS
2 · 0 · 1-2
BELOW
FG
1-2
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
75.0
USG%
28.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
-2
PRA
5
2026-06-05
POR
AWAY
5.9MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-3
BELOW
FG
0-3
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
24.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-4
PRA
1
2026-06-01
MIN
HOME
19.5MIN
7POINTS
3 · 0 · 3-7
ABOVE
FG
3-7
3PT
1-3
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
50.0
USG%
16.0
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-14
PRA
10
2026-05-29
NYL
AWAY
12.3MIN
4POINTS
0 · 1 · 2-4
ABOVE
FG
2-4
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
50.0
USG%
16.1
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
+4
PRA
5
2026-05-27
NYL
AWAY
12.4MIN
3POINTS
6 · 1 · 1-3
BELOW
FG
1-3
3PT
1-2
FT
0-2
OREB/DREB
1/5
TS%
38.7
USG%
22.4
STL
0
BLK
2
TOV
2
PF
2
+/−
-5
PRA
10
2026-05-24
ATL
AWAY
12.3MIN
10POINTS
2 · 0 · 3-4
ABOVE
FG
3-4
3PT
1-2
FT
3-3
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
94.0
USG%
23.0
STL
1
BLK
2
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
+5
PRA
12
2026-05-19
TOR
HOME
3.3MIN
2POINTS
2 · 0 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-0
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
2/0
TS%
53.2
USG%
25.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-5
PRA
4
2026-05-15
CHI
HOME
7.9MIN
0POINTS
3 · 1 · 0-2
BELOW
FG
0-2
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
0.0
USG%
16.0
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-8
PRA
4
2026-05-12
MIN
HOME
12.3MIN
8POINTS
4 · 1 · 2-3
ABOVE
FG
2-3
3PT
2-3
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
2/2
TS%
103.1
USG%
13.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
+1
PRA
13
2026-05-10
GSV
AWAY
4.5MIN
2POINTS
0 · 0 · 1-2
BELOW
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
50.0
USG%
22.4
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-6
PRA
2
2026-05-09
LVA
AWAY
14.3MIN
2POINTS
2 · 1 · 1-4
BELOW
FG
1-4
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
25.0
USG%
12.4
STL
2
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+5
PRA
5
2025-06-07
LVA
HOME
1.3MIN
2POINTS
2 · 0 · 1-1
BELOW
FG
1-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
100.0
USG%
33.8
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
0
PRA
4
2025-05-27
NYL
AWAY
8.6MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
10.3
STL
0
BLK
2
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-8
PRA
1
2025-05-23
LAS
AWAY
13.2MIN
2POINTS
3 · 1 · 1-3
BELOW
FG
1-3
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
33.3
USG%
10.2
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
+15
PRA
6
2025-05-16
LAS
HOME
3.7MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
12.2
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
0
PRA
0
every game on file — nothing hidden