Li Yueru over 7.5 points
She has cleared 7.5 in 20 of 118 games — 16.9%. That rate needs +490 to break even, and no book in our ledger has priced it.
—
Tonight
SUN · SEP 27DAL @ GSV9:00 PM ETbench · 5 projected minutes
OutAlanna SmithLeft Leg
AT 10+ MINUTES · 202614 games · 16.6 min · 5.0 points · 2/14 over 7.5 (14%)
Tonight's projection is 5 minutes. This is her season at that workload.
WITHOUT SMITH11 games · 12.0 min · 4.0 points · 1/11 over 7.5with her (n=22): 9.5 min · 3.0 points · 5%with her →
Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.
01
Distribution
118 games · hover a bucket0–2 points · 25 games · 21.2% · under25
2–4 points · 33 games · 28.0% · under33
4–6 points · 26 games · 22.0% · under26
6–8 points · 14 games · 11.9% · under14
8–10 points · 6 games · 5.1% · over6
10–12 points · 7 games · 5.9% · over7
12–14 points · 1 game · 0.8% · over1
14–16 points · 1 game · 0.8% · over1
16–18 points · 1 game · 0.8% · over1
18–20 points · 3 games · 2.5% · over3
20–22 points · 1 game · 0.8% · over1
7.5
UNDER · 98OVER · 20 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 7.5 · hover a bar2026-05-22 · ATL · 0 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-05-24 · NYL · 0 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-06-01 · SEA · 2 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-06-09 · MIN · 2 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-06-11 · PHO · 3 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-06-15 · LVA · 0 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-06-20 · CHI · 5 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-06-22 · SEA · 10 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-06-25 · LVA · 5 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · MIN · 0 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-07-02 · CON · 5 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-05 · TOR · 0 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · CHI · 10 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-07-19 · LAS · 4 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-07-20 · NYL · 7 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · POR · 4 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-07-29 · ATL · 1 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-07-31 · WAS · 0 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · CON · 6 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · WAS · 0 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-08-07 · GSV · 7 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · MIN · 4 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-08-14 · IND · 0 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · SEA · 6 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-25 · POR · 2 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · CON · 3 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · LAS · 4 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-09-19 · PHO · 4 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-09-21 · PHO · 5 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-09-23 · SEA · 0 points · −7.5 vs line
7.5
2026-05-22— 5-game mean2026-09-23 · newest
03
Recent form
0.0%0/10 · last 10
2026-08-07 · 7 points · UNDER
7
2026-08-09 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-08-14 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-08-23 · 6 points · UNDER
6
2026-08-25 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-08-30 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-09-17 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-09-19 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-09-21 · 5 points · UNDER
5
2026-09-23 · 0 points · UNDER
0
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
No book in our ledger has priced this exact line. Our books publish eight WNBA markets, so a threshold outside those has a rate but no price to check it against.
05
Game log
25 of 118 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 7.5
2026-09-23SEAAWAY7.4MIN0POINTS2 · 1 · 0-1UNDER
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 18.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 3
2026-09-21PHOAWAY11.4MIN5POINTS3 · 1 · 2-3UNDER
- FG
- 2-3
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 72.7
- USG%
- 13.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 9
2026-09-19PHOHOME11.8MIN4POINTS6 · 0 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 53.2
- USG%
- 14.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 10
2026-09-17LASHOME12.2MIN4POINTS6 · 0 · 2-5UNDER
- FG
- 2-5
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 40.0
- USG%
- 16.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 10
2026-08-30CONHOME13.5MIN3POINTS2 · 1 · 0-1UNDER
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 54.3
- USG%
- 19.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 6
2026-08-25PORHOME2.3MIN2POINTS0 · 0 · 1-1UNDER
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 100.0
- USG%
- 19.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 2
2026-08-23SEAHOME12.0MIN6POINTS4 · 0 · 1-3UNDER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 63.0
- USG%
- 26.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 10
2026-08-14INDAWAY4.2MIN0POINTS0 · 0 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 21.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 0
2026-08-09MINAWAY27.2MIN4POINTS6 · 0 · 1-3UNDER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 51.5
- USG%
- 6.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 10
2026-08-07GSVHOME8.0MIN7POINTS3 · 0 · 2-3UNDER
- FG
- 2-3
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 81.0
- USG%
- 29.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 10
2026-08-05WASAWAY6.6MIN0POINTS0 · 0 · 0-3UNDER
- FG
- 0-3
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 21.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 0
2026-08-02CONHOME9.3MIN6POINTS1 · 0 · 2-4UNDER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 61.5
- USG%
- 28.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 7
2026-07-31WASAWAY14.9MIN0POINTS3 · 2 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 6.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 5
2026-07-29ATLHOME23.7MIN1POINTS2 · 1 · 0-3UNDER
- FG
- 0-3
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 12.9
- USG%
- 12.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 4
2026-07-22PORAWAY5.4MIN4POINTS2 · 0 · 1-2UNDER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 60.2
- USG%
- 25.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 6
2026-07-20NYLHOME16.1MIN7POINTS0 · 1 · 3-4UNDER
- FG
- 3-4
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 0-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 71.7
- USG%
- 18.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 8
2026-07-19LASHOME13.3MIN4POINTS4 · 0 · 1-1UNDER
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 86.2
- USG%
- 10.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 8
2026-07-12CHIHOME23.2MIN10POINTS10 · 0 · 4-6OVER
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 2/8
- TS%
- 77.6
- USG%
- 12.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 20
2026-07-05TORAWAY4.4MIN0POINTS0 · 0 · 0-0UNDER
- FG
- 0-0
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 19.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 0
2026-07-02CONAWAY9.5MIN5POINTS2 · 0 · 1-1UNDER
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 133.0
- USG%
- 8.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 7
2026-06-28MINHOME5.4MIN0POINTS4 · 0 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 23.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 4
2026-06-25LVAAWAY7.3MIN5POINTS1 · 1 · 2-4UNDER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 56.3
- USG%
- 27.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 7
2026-06-22SEAAWAY18.5MIN10POINTS3 · 2 · 4-6OVER
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 3/0
- TS%
- 83.3
- USG%
- 14.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 15
2026-06-20CHIHOME14.9MIN5POINTS6 · 1 · 1-2UNDER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 66.5
- USG%
- 13.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 12
2026-06-15LVAHOME4.0MIN0POINTS4 · 1 · 0-3UNDER
- FG
- 0-3
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 34.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 5
showing 25 of 118 — every rate above is computed over all 118