DIME
WNBANBAEuroLeagueEuro
points estimatesat home

Liatu King in blowouts

26 of 26 games carry a scoreline to bucket. A wide margin is NOT a fade signal. Served overs in games decided by 10+ were the best rows on the board.

WHAT MARGIN AND TOTAL MEAN HERE

margin and total are the REALISED final scoreline, not the pre-tip market spread and total — this service holds no market lines. Mostly the same games; not the same number.

01

games decided by 10+

|final margin| >= 10
17 of these · baseline 9 (in closer games)DIRECTIONAL

in blowouts (3.6 pts) against in closer games (2.1), +1.5, t = 1.38, directional (this sample resolves gaps above 2.1). A wide margin is NOT a fade signal. Served overs in games decided by 10+ were the best rows on the board. (served overs in |spread| >= 10 hit 65.9% for +18.4% ROI (n=129); gating those games out would have deleted 28 units from a 49-unit season)

STAT
BLOWOUTS
OTHER
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
3.6
2.1
+1.5
gap is 1.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.1
DIRECTIONAL
rebounds
2.6
1.4
+1.1
gap is 1.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.3
DIRECTIONAL
assists
0.2
0.2
0.0
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
NOT MEASURABLE
threes
0.2
0.0
+0.2
gap is 1.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.2
DIRECTIONAL
steals
0.4
0.1
+0.3
gap is 1.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
DIRECTIONAL
blocks
0.2
0.0
+0.2
gap is 1.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
DIRECTIONAL
turnovers
0.7
0.4
+0.3
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb+ast
6.4
3.8
+2.6
gap is 1.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.0
DIRECTIONAL
pts+reb
6.2
3.6
+2.6
gap is 1.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.8
DIRECTIONAL
pts+ast
3.8
2.3
+1.5
gap is 1.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.2
DIRECTIONAL
reb+ast
2.8
1.7
+1.2
gap is 1.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.4
DIRECTIONAL
steals+blocks
0.6
0.1
+0.5
gap is 1.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
DIRECTIONAL
defensive rebounds
1.6
0.7
+1.0
gap is 2.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
MEASURED
field goal attempts
2.8
1.2
+1.5
gap is 2.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.2
MEASURED
field goals made
1.2
0.9
+0.3
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
free throw attempts
1.4
0.8
+0.6
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.3
NOT MEASURABLE
free throws made
0.9
0.3
+0.6
gap is 1.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
DIRECTIONAL
offensive rebounds
0.9
0.8
+0.2
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
fouls
1.0
1.3
−0.3
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
NOT MEASURABLE
three-point attempts
0.8
0.2
+0.6
gap is 2.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
MEASURED
THE LEAGUE-LEVEL RESULT

A wide margin is NOT a fade signal. Served overs in games decided by 10+ were the best rows on the board.

served overs in |spread| >= 10 hit 65.9% for +18.4% ROI (n=129); gating those games out would have deleted 28 units from a 49-unit season

project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26
THIS CUT, MEASURED

A wide margin is NOT a fade signal. Served overs in games decided by 10+ were the best rows on the board.

served overs in |spread| >= 10 hit 65.9% for +18.4% ROI (n=129); gating those games out would have deleted 28 units from a 49-unit season

project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Read that the way round it is written. The instinct is to fade an over in a blowout; the ledger says the opposite, and gating those picks out would have cost more than half the season's profit. Nothing on this page removes a pick.

02

high-scoring games

combined score >= 177 (this player's own top tercile)
10 of these · baseline 16 (other games)NOT MEASURABLE

high-scoring games (2.9 pts) against other games (3.2), -0.3, t = -0.25, not_measurable (this sample resolves gaps above 2.2).

STAT
HIGH TOTAL
OTHER
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
2.9
3.2
−0.3
gap is 0.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.2
NOT MEASURABLE
rebounds
1.4
2.7
−1.3
gap is 2.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.2
MEASURED
assists
0.1
0.3
−0.2
gap is 1.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
NOT MEASURABLE
threes
0.2
0.1
+0.1
gap is 0.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.3
NOT MEASURABLE
steals
0.2
0.4
−0.2
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
blocks
0.0
0.3
−0.3
gap is 1.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
DIRECTIONAL
turnovers
0.7
0.6
+0.1
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb+ast
4.4
6.2
−1.8
gap is 1.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 3.0
DIRECTIONAL
pts+reb
4.3
5.9
−1.6
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.9
DIRECTIONAL
pts+ast
3.0
3.5
−0.5
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.3
NOT MEASURABLE
reb+ast
1.5
3.0
−1.5
gap is 2.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.3
MEASURED
steals+blocks
0.2
0.6
−0.4
gap is 1.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
DIRECTIONAL
defensive rebounds
0.9
1.6
−0.7
gap is 1.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
DIRECTIONAL
field goal attempts
1.4
2.8
−1.4
gap is 2.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.2
MEASURED
field goals made
1.0
1.2
−0.2
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
free throw attempts
1.2
1.1
+0.1
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.4
NOT MEASURABLE
free throws made
0.7
0.8
−0.1
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.0
NOT MEASURABLE
offensive rebounds
0.5
1.1
−0.6
gap is 2.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
DIRECTIONAL
fouls
1.1
1.1
0.0
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.8
NOT MEASURABLE
three-point attempts
0.4
0.8
−0.4
gap is 1.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
DIRECTIONAL
03

low-scoring games

combined score <= 169 (this player's own bottom tercile)
9 of these · baseline 17 (other games)DIRECTIONAL

low-scoring games (2.0 pts) against other games (3.6), -1.6, t = -1.58, directional (this sample resolves gaps above 2.0).

STAT
LOW TOTALS
OTHER
DIFF
← below baseline · above →
VERDICT
points
2.0
3.6
−1.6
gap is 1.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.0
DIRECTIONAL
rebounds
2.6
2.0
+0.6
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.4
NOT MEASURABLE
assists
0.2
0.2
0.0
gap is 0.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.4
NOT MEASURABLE
threes
0.0
0.2
−0.2
gap is 1.9× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.2
NOT MEASURABLE
steals
0.2
0.4
−0.1
gap is 0.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.5
NOT MEASURABLE
blocks
0.4
0.0
+0.4
gap is 1.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
DIRECTIONAL
turnovers
0.9
0.5
+0.4
gap is 1.3× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
DIRECTIONAL
pts+reb+ast
4.8
5.9
−1.1
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.8
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+reb
4.6
5.6
−1.1
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.7
NOT MEASURABLE
pts+ast
2.2
3.9
−1.7
gap is 1.5× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 2.2
DIRECTIONAL
reb+ast
2.8
2.2
+0.5
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.4
NOT MEASURABLE
steals+blocks
0.7
0.4
+0.3
gap is 0.7× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
NOT MEASURABLE
defensive rebounds
1.4
1.2
+0.2
gap is 0.4× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.1
NOT MEASURABLE
field goal attempts
2.3
2.2
+0.2
gap is 0.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.4
NOT MEASURABLE
field goals made
0.7
1.4
−0.7
gap is 2.0× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.7
DIRECTIONAL
free throw attempts
0.9
1.3
−0.4
gap is 0.6× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.3
NOT MEASURABLE
free throws made
0.7
0.8
−0.1
gap is 0.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 1.1
NOT MEASURABLE
offensive rebounds
1.1
0.8
+0.3
gap is 1.2× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
DIRECTIONAL
fouls
1.4
0.9
+0.5
gap is 1.1× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.9
DIRECTIONAL
three-point attempts
0.8
0.5
+0.2
gap is 0.8× its noise · smallest gap this sample can see: 0.6
NOT MEASURABLE
04

Game log

all 26 · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 2.1
2026-09-24
IND
HOME
8.9MIN
2POINTS
1 · 0 · 1-5
BELOW
FG
1-5
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/0
TS%
20.0
USG%
24.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-11
PRA
3
2026-09-22
IND
AWAY
20.1MIN
12POINTS
4 · 2 · 4-8
ABOVE
FG
4-8
3PT
0-2
FT
4-5
OREB/DREB
2/2
TS%
58.8
USG%
21.4
STL
3
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+1
PRA
18
2026-09-20
CON
AWAY
1.3MIN
2POINTS
0 · 0 · 1-1
BELOW
FG
1-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
100.0
USG%
32.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
0
PRA
2
2026-08-30
ATL
AWAY
0.9MIN
2POINTS
0 · 0 · 1-1
BELOW
FG
1-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
100.0
USG%
50.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+2
PRA
2
2026-07-15
LAS
HOME
2.7MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-5
PRA
0
2026-07-03
NYL
AWAY
7.0MIN
6POINTS
2 · 0 · 3-3
ABOVE
FG
3-3
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
100.0
USG%
17.7
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+4
PRA
8
2026-06-28
DAL
AWAY
6.3MIN
0POINTS
2 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
7.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-9
PRA
2
2026-06-13
LVA
AWAY
9.3MIN
4POINTS
4 · 0 · 1-2
ABOVE
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
2-4
OREB/DREB
2/2
TS%
53.2
USG%
17.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
2
+/−
-4
PRA
8
2026-05-29
CHI
AWAY
9.6MIN
2POINTS
3 · 0 · 1-4
BELOW
FG
1-4
3PT
0-2
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
25.0
USG%
22.4
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-1
PRA
5
2026-05-27
ATL
HOME
8.9MIN
3POINTS
1 · 0 · 1-1
ABOVE
FG
1-1
3PT
1-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
150.0
USG%
5.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-1
PRA
4
2026-05-23
CHI
AWAY
10.3MIN
0POINTS
4 · 0 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-2
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
0.0
USG%
14.7
STL
1
BLK
3
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
-6
PRA
4
2026-05-21
TOR
HOME
19.3MIN
9POINTS
7 · 0 · 3-5
ABOVE
FG
3-5
3PT
1-2
FT
2-4
OREB/DREB
2/5
TS%
66.6
USG%
17.4
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
+9
PRA
16
2025-07-07
PHO
AWAY
12.0MIN
2POINTS
4 · 0 · 1-3
BELOW
FG
1-3
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
2/2
TS%
33.3
USG%
10.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-3
PRA
6
2025-07-03
PHO
HOME
4.0MIN
0POINTS
0 · 0 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
0.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-8
PRA
0
2025-06-26
IND
AWAY
10.5MIN
4POINTS
4 · 0 · 1-2
ABOVE
FG
1-2
3PT
0-0
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
2/2
TS%
69.4
USG%
16.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
1
+/−
-8
PRA
8
2025-06-24
CHI
AWAY
4.3MIN
0POINTS
2 · 1 · 0-0
BELOW
FG
0-0
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
10.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
0
+/−
+2
PRA
3
2025-06-21
MIN
AWAY
9.4MIN
2POINTS
2 · 0 · 1-3
BELOW
FG
1-3
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
33.3
USG%
14.7
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+11
PRA
4
2025-06-17
SEA
HOME
10.2MIN
6POINTS
0 · 1 · 1-2
ABOVE
FG
1-2
3PT
0-1
FT
4-4
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
79.8
USG%
15.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
+1
PRA
7
2025-06-14
MIN
AWAY
16.4MIN
3POINTS
2 · 0 · 0-3
ABOVE
FG
0-3
3PT
0-1
FT
3-4
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
31.5
USG%
21.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
2
+/−
-8
PRA
5
2025-06-11
LVA
AWAY
7.2MIN
5POINTS
1 · 0 · 2-2
ABOVE
FG
2-2
3PT
0-0
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
86.8
USG%
25.4
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
+9
PRA
6
2025-06-06
DAL
AWAY
2.7MIN
0POINTS
1 · 0 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
0.0
USG%
17.4
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
1
+/−
-8
PRA
1
2025-05-30
LVA
AWAY
14.4MIN
6POINTS
2 · 0 · 2-2
ABOVE
FG
2-2
3PT
1-1
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
104.2
USG%
14.7
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
1
+/−
-1
PRA
8
2025-05-27
ATL
HOME
6.6MIN
4POINTS
1 · 0 · 2-3
ABOVE
FG
2-3
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
66.7
USG%
20.8
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
0
+/−
0
PRA
5
2025-05-25
CHI
HOME
13.6MIN
2POINTS
5 · 0 · 1-3
BELOW
FG
1-3
3PT
0-1
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/4
TS%
33.3
USG%
13.5
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
+4
PRA
7
2025-05-23
GSV
HOME
11.2MIN
0POINTS
2 · 1 · 0-1
BELOW
FG
0-1
3PT
0-0
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
2/0
TS%
0.0
USG%
12.1
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
0
+/−
-9
PRA
3
2025-05-21
PHO
AWAY
13.4MIN
4POINTS
3 · 1 · 2-2
ABOVE
FG
2-2
3PT
0-0
FT
0-1
OREB/DREB
2/1
TS%
82.0
USG%
7.6
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
0
PF
3
+/−
+4
PRA
8
every game on file — nothing hidden