Marina Mabrey over 20.5 points
She has cleared 20.5 in 46 of 192 games — 24.0%. That rate needs +317 to break even and books have been paying -116.
—
Tonight
THU · SEP 24Out She is Out tonight (Right Adductor). Every rate below comes from games she played — tonight starts with whether she plays.
TOR @ CON7:00 PM ETnot in the projected lineup
OutAneesah MorrowLeft Knee
OutBrittney SykesLeft Foot
OutTemi FagbenlePersonal Reasons
QuestionableMaria CondeBack
WITHOUT MORROW26 games · 29.3 min · 20.3 points · 12/26 over 20.5with her (n=6): 30.5 min · 23.2 points · 67%with her →
WITHOUT SYKES16 games · 31.1 min · 23.5 points · 9/16 over 20.5with her (n=16): 28.0 min · 18.2 points · 44%with her →
WITHOUT FAGBENLE17 games · 29.2 min · 17.8 points · 6/17 over 20.5with her (n=15): 29.9 min · 24.3 points · 67%with her →
Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.
01
Distribution
192 games · hover a bucket0–5 points · 9 games · 4.7% · under9
5–10 points · 40 games · 20.8% · under40
10–15 points · 42 games · 21.9% · under42
15–20 points · 48 games · 25.0% · under48
20–25 points · 31 games · 16.1% · under31
25–30 points · 12 games · 6.3% · over12
30–35 points · 6 games · 3.1% · over6
35–40 points · 3 games · 1.6% · over3
50–55 points · 1 game · 0.5% · over1
20.5
UNDER · 146OVER · 46 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 20.5 · hover a bar2026-05-15 · LAS · 7 points · −13.5 vs line
2026-05-17 · LAS · 14 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-05-19 · PHO · 30 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-05-21 · MIN · 3 points · −17.5 vs line
2026-05-23 · POR · 19 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-05-27 · CHI · 24 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-05-30 · SEA · 18 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-06-03 · NYL · 17 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-06-07 · CHI · 9 points · −11.5 vs line
2026-06-10 · CON · 21 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-06-12 · WAS · 27 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-06-14 · ATL · 9 points · −11.5 vs line
2026-06-16 · IND · 18 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-06-19 · CON · 37 points · +16.5 vs line
2026-06-22 · ATL · 23 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-06-25 · LAS · 53 points · +32.5 vs line
2026-07-05 · DAL · 19 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-07-08 · GSV · 11 points · −9.5 vs line
2026-07-10 · DAL · 34 points · +13.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · NYL · 30 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-07-14 · WAS · 8 points · −12.5 vs line
2026-07-17 · ATL · 26 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-07-20 · LVA · 14 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-07-28 · MIN · 25 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-07-30 · MIN · 16 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-08-04 · GSV · 12 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-08-06 · POR · 9 points · −11.5 vs line
2026-08-10 · ATL · 36 points · +15.5 vs line
2026-08-12 · DAL · 23 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-18 · IND · 22 points · +1.5 vs line
20.5
2026-05-15— 5-game mean2026-08-18 · newest
03
Recent form
50.0%5/10 · last 10
2026-07-14 · 8 points · UNDER
8
2026-07-17 · 26 points · OVER
26
2026-07-20 · 14 points · UNDER
14
2026-07-28 · 25 points · OVER
25
2026-07-30 · 16 points · UNDER
16
2026-08-04 · 12 points · UNDER
12
2026-08-06 · 9 points · UNDER
9
2026-08-10 · 36 points · OVER
36
2026-08-12 · 23 points · OVER
23
2026-08-18 · 22 points · OVER
22
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 30 postings20.5-116
best offered20.5-106
worst offered20.5-127
our break-even20.5+317
Median -116 across 30 postings over 5 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 192 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 20.5
2026-08-18INDHOME28.5MIN22POINTS1 · 3 · 7-21OVER
- FG
- 7-21
- 3PT
- 5-14
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 48.3
- USG%
- 33.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 26
2026-08-12DALAWAY31.0MIN23POINTS2 · 4 · 7-15OVER
- FG
- 7-15
- 3PT
- 3-9
- FT
- 6-7
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 63.6
- USG%
- 25.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -18
- PRA
- 29
2026-08-10ATLAWAY32.9MIN36POINTS0 · 3 · 12-19OVER
- FG
- 12-19
- 3PT
- 7-13
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 84.9
- USG%
- 30.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 39
2026-08-06PORAWAY22.0MIN9POINTS2 · 1 · 3-9UNDER
- FG
- 3-9
- 3PT
- 3-8
- FT
- 0-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 47.7
- USG%
- 23.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -20
- PRA
- 12
2026-08-04GSVAWAY35.4MIN12POINTS5 · 6 · 4-11UNDER
- FG
- 4-11
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 47.0
- USG%
- 22.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 23
2026-07-30MINHOME27.9MIN16POINTS3 · 4 · 6-11UNDER
- FG
- 6-11
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 64.9
- USG%
- 24.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -28
- PRA
- 23
2026-07-28MINAWAY31.7MIN25POINTS8 · 6 · 7-17OVER
- FG
- 7-17
- 3PT
- 3-10
- FT
- 8-8
- OREB/DREB
- 1/7
- TS%
- 60.9
- USG%
- 31.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 39
2026-07-20LVAHOME30.6MIN14POINTS2 · 5 · 5-21UNDER
- FG
- 5-21
- 3PT
- 1-8
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 31.4
- USG%
- 35.5
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 21
2026-07-17ATLHOME31.3MIN26POINTS4 · 3 · 7-12OVER
- FG
- 7-12
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 9-9
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 81.5
- USG%
- 30.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -19
- PRA
- 33
2026-07-14WASHOME30.1MIN8POINTS1 · 3 · 3-13UNDER
- FG
- 3-13
- 3PT
- 2-7
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 30.8
- USG%
- 28.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -22
- PRA
- 12
2026-07-12NYLHOME35.2MIN30POINTS2 · 5 · 9-19OVER
- FG
- 9-19
- 3PT
- 3-8
- FT
- 9-11
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 62.9
- USG%
- 35.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 37
2026-07-10DALHOME27.1MIN34POINTS1 · 1 · 10-18OVER
- FG
- 10-18
- 3PT
- 6-9
- FT
- 8-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 79.0
- USG%
- 44.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 36
2026-07-08GSVHOME33.7MIN11POINTS6 · 4 · 2-9UNDER
- FG
- 2-9
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 7-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 43.9
- USG%
- 25.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 21
2026-07-05DALHOME31.4MIN19POINTS5 · 5 · 7-18UNDER
- FG
- 7-18
- 3PT
- 3-9
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 3/2
- TS%
- 50.3
- USG%
- 27.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -19
- PRA
- 29
2026-06-25LASHOME32.0MIN53POINTS6 · 2 · 17-28OVER
- FG
- 17-28
- 3PT
- 9-18
- FT
- 10-12
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 79.6
- USG%
- 44.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +36
- PRA
- 61
2026-06-22ATLAWAY31.5MIN23POINTS4 · 4 · 8-17OVER
- FG
- 8-17
- 3PT
- 3-8
- FT
- 4-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 59.9
- USG%
- 30.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -16
- PRA
- 31
2026-06-19CONAWAY33.1MIN37POINTS4 · 4 · 14-24OVER
- FG
- 14-24
- 3PT
- 9-12
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 77.1
- USG%
- 38.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +21
- PRA
- 45
2026-06-16INDAWAY30.7MIN18POINTS1 · 7 · 7-16UNDER
- FG
- 7-16
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 52.0
- USG%
- 29.1
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 26
2026-06-14ATLHOME26.8MIN9POINTS4 · 2 · 2-11UNDER
- FG
- 2-11
- 3PT
- 2-7
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 36.5
- USG%
- 22.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 15
2026-06-12WASAWAY28.1MIN27POINTS1 · 3 · 9-15OVER
- FG
- 9-15
- 3PT
- 5-10
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 80.5
- USG%
- 33.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 31
2026-06-10CONHOME34.4MIN21POINTS1 · 1 · 8-20OVER
- FG
- 8-20
- 3PT
- 4-12
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 50.3
- USG%
- 31.6
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 23
2026-06-07CHIHOME30.4MIN9POINTS4 · 6 · 3-9UNDER
- FG
- 3-9
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 45.5
- USG%
- 17.3
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 19
2026-06-03NYLAWAY26.3MIN17POINTS3 · 4 · 7-13UNDER
- FG
- 7-13
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 61.2
- USG%
- 26.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -16
- PRA
- 24
2026-05-30SEAHOME28.9MIN18POINTS3 · 4 · 6-13UNDER
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 3-9
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 62.8
- USG%
- 28.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 25
2026-05-27CHIAWAY27.7MIN24POINTS4 · 7 · 9-13OVER
- FG
- 9-13
- 3PT
- 3-7
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 81.3
- USG%
- 26.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 35
showing 25 of 192 — every rate above is computed over all 192