Marina Mabrey over 25.5 points

She has cleared 25.5 in 21 of 192 games — 10.9%. That rate needs +814 to break even, and no book in our ledger has priced it.

Tonight

THU · SEP 24

Out She is Out tonight (Right Adductor). Every rate below comes from games she played — tonight starts with whether she plays.

TOR @ CON7:00 PM ETnot in the projected lineup
OutAneesah MorrowLeft Knee
OutBrittney SykesLeft Foot
OutTemi FagbenlePersonal Reasons
QuestionableMaria CondeBack
WITHOUT MORROW26 games · 29.3 min · 20.3 points · 8/26 over 25.5with her (n=6): 30.5 min · 23.2 points · 33%with her →
WITHOUT SYKES16 games · 31.1 min · 23.5 points · 6/16 over 25.5with her (n=16): 28.0 min · 18.2 points · 25%with her →
WITHOUT FAGBENLE17 games · 29.2 min · 17.8 points · 4/17 over 25.5with her (n=15): 29.9 min · 24.3 points · 40%with her →

Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.

01

Distribution

192 games · hover a bucket
UNDER · 171OVER · 21  ·  filled bars clear the line
02

Recent games

points · line 25.5 · hover a bar
2026-05-155-game mean2026-08-18 · newest
03

Recent form

20.0%2/10 · last 10
2026-07-14 · 8 points · UNDER
8
2026-07-17 · 26 points · OVER
26
2026-07-20 · 14 points · UNDER
14
2026-07-28 · 25 points · UNDER
25
2026-07-30 · 16 points · UNDER
16
2026-08-04 · 12 points · UNDER
12
2026-08-06 · 9 points · UNDER
9
2026-08-10 · 36 points · OVER
36
2026-08-12 · 23 points · UNDER
23
2026-08-18 · 22 points · UNDER
22

A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.

04

Market history

No book in our ledger has priced this exact line. Our books publish eight WNBA markets, so a threshold outside those has a rate but no price to check it against.

05

Game log

25 of 192 · click a row for the box score
DATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 25.5
2026-08-18
IND
HOME
28.5MIN
22POINTS
1 · 3 · 7-21
UNDER
FG
7-21
3PT
5-14
FT
3-4
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
48.3
USG%
33.8
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
3
PF
2
+/−
-14
PRA
26
2026-08-12
DAL
AWAY
31.0MIN
23POINTS
2 · 4 · 7-15
UNDER
FG
7-15
3PT
3-9
FT
6-7
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
63.6
USG%
25.9
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
2
PF
3
+/−
-18
PRA
29
2026-08-10
ATL
AWAY
32.9MIN
36POINTS
0 · 3 · 12-19
OVER
FG
12-19
3PT
7-13
FT
5-5
OREB/DREB
0/0
TS%
84.9
USG%
30.3
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
1
PF
3
+/−
-5
PRA
39
2026-08-06
POR
AWAY
22.0MIN
9POINTS
2 · 1 · 3-9
UNDER
FG
3-9
3PT
3-8
FT
0-1
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
47.7
USG%
23.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
3
+/−
-20
PRA
12
2026-08-04
GSV
AWAY
35.4MIN
12POINTS
5 · 6 · 4-11
UNDER
FG
4-11
3PT
0-4
FT
4-4
OREB/DREB
0/5
TS%
47.0
USG%
22.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
4
+/−
-9
PRA
23
2026-07-30
MIN
HOME
27.9MIN
16POINTS
3 · 4 · 6-11
UNDER
FG
6-11
3PT
2-6
FT
2-3
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
64.9
USG%
24.7
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
2
+/−
-28
PRA
23
2026-07-28
MIN
AWAY
31.7MIN
25POINTS
8 · 6 · 7-17
UNDER
FG
7-17
3PT
3-10
FT
8-8
OREB/DREB
1/7
TS%
60.9
USG%
31.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
2
+/−
+5
PRA
39
2026-07-20
LVA
HOME
30.6MIN
14POINTS
2 · 5 · 5-21
UNDER
FG
5-21
3PT
1-8
FT
3-3
OREB/DREB
1/1
TS%
31.4
USG%
35.5
STL
3
BLK
1
TOV
3
PF
2
+/−
-12
PRA
21
2026-07-17
ATL
HOME
31.3MIN
26POINTS
4 · 3 · 7-12
OVER
FG
7-12
3PT
3-6
FT
9-9
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
81.5
USG%
30.8
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
5
PF
5
+/−
-19
PRA
33
2026-07-14
WAS
HOME
30.1MIN
8POINTS
1 · 3 · 3-13
UNDER
FG
3-13
3PT
2-7
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
30.8
USG%
28.5
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
4
+/−
-22
PRA
12
2026-07-12
NYL
HOME
35.2MIN
30POINTS
2 · 5 · 9-19
OVER
FG
9-19
3PT
3-8
FT
9-11
OREB/DREB
0/2
TS%
62.9
USG%
35.0
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
6
PF
3
+/−
+6
PRA
37
2026-07-10
DAL
HOME
27.1MIN
34POINTS
1 · 1 · 10-18
OVER
FG
10-18
3PT
6-9
FT
8-8
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
79.0
USG%
44.0
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
4
+/−
-6
PRA
36
2026-07-08
GSV
HOME
33.7MIN
11POINTS
6 · 4 · 2-9
UNDER
FG
2-9
3PT
0-3
FT
7-8
OREB/DREB
0/6
TS%
43.9
USG%
25.4
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
5
PF
1
+/−
-5
PRA
21
2026-07-05
DAL
HOME
31.4MIN
19POINTS
5 · 5 · 7-18
UNDER
FG
7-18
3PT
3-9
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
3/2
TS%
50.3
USG%
27.8
STL
1
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-19
PRA
29
2026-06-25
LAS
HOME
32.0MIN
53POINTS
6 · 2 · 17-28
OVER
FG
17-28
3PT
9-18
FT
10-12
OREB/DREB
2/4
TS%
79.6
USG%
44.1
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
2
+/−
+36
PRA
61
2026-06-22
ATL
AWAY
31.5MIN
23POINTS
4 · 4 · 8-17
UNDER
FG
8-17
3PT
3-8
FT
4-5
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
59.9
USG%
30.9
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
4
+/−
-16
PRA
31
2026-06-19
CON
AWAY
33.1MIN
37POINTS
4 · 4 · 14-24
OVER
FG
14-24
3PT
9-12
FT
0-0
OREB/DREB
1/3
TS%
77.1
USG%
38.2
STL
0
BLK
0
TOV
6
PF
4
+/−
+21
PRA
45
2026-06-16
IND
AWAY
30.7MIN
18POINTS
1 · 7 · 7-16
UNDER
FG
7-16
3PT
2-5
FT
2-3
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
52.0
USG%
29.1
STL
2
BLK
1
TOV
4
PF
2
+/−
-14
PRA
26
2026-06-14
ATL
HOME
26.8MIN
9POINTS
4 · 2 · 2-11
UNDER
FG
2-11
3PT
2-7
FT
3-3
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
36.5
USG%
22.9
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-12
PRA
15
2026-06-12
WAS
AWAY
28.1MIN
27POINTS
1 · 3 · 9-15
OVER
FG
9-15
3PT
5-10
FT
4-4
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
80.5
USG%
33.2
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
4
PF
1
+/−
-4
PRA
31
2026-06-10
CON
HOME
34.4MIN
21POINTS
1 · 1 · 8-20
UNDER
FG
8-20
3PT
4-12
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
0/1
TS%
50.3
USG%
31.6
STL
3
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
3
+/−
+4
PRA
23
2026-06-07
CHI
HOME
30.4MIN
9POINTS
4 · 6 · 3-9
UNDER
FG
3-9
3PT
1-5
FT
2-2
OREB/DREB
0/4
TS%
45.5
USG%
17.3
STL
2
BLK
1
TOV
3
PF
0
+/−
+15
PRA
19
2026-06-03
NYL
AWAY
26.3MIN
17POINTS
3 · 4 · 7-13
UNDER
FG
7-13
3PT
2-6
FT
1-2
OREB/DREB
1/2
TS%
61.2
USG%
26.2
STL
0
BLK
1
TOV
1
PF
2
+/−
-16
PRA
24
2026-05-30
SEA
HOME
28.9MIN
18POINTS
3 · 4 · 6-13
UNDER
FG
6-13
3PT
3-9
FT
3-3
OREB/DREB
0/3
TS%
62.8
USG%
28.1
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
3
PF
0
+/−
+6
PRA
25
2026-05-27
CHI
AWAY
27.7MIN
24POINTS
4 · 7 · 9-13
UNDER
FG
9-13
3PT
3-7
FT
3-4
OREB/DREB
2/2
TS%
81.3
USG%
26.3
STL
1
BLK
0
TOV
2
PF
5
+/−
+9
PRA
35
showing 25 of 192 — every rate above is computed over all 192