Marine Johannes over 4.5 points
She has cleared 4.5 in 95 of 162 games — 58.6%. That rate needs -142 to break even and books have been paying +102.
01
Distribution
162 games · hover a bucket0–2.5 points · 38 games · 23.5% · under38
2.5–5 points · 29 games · 17.9% · under29
5–7.5 points · 26 games · 16.0% · over26
7.5–10 points · 17 games · 10.5% · over17
10–12.5 points · 25 games · 15.4% · over25
12.5–15 points · 7 games · 4.3% · over7
15–17.5 points · 8 games · 4.9% · over8
17.5–20 points · 8 games · 4.9% · over8
20–22.5 points · 1 game · 0.6% · over1
22.5–25 points · 1 game · 0.6% · over1
25–27.5 points · 2 games · 1.2% · over2
4.5
UNDER · 67OVER · 95 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 4.5 · hover a bar2026-06-23 · LVA · 6 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-06-25 · SEA · 6 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · GSV · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-06-30 · LVA · 7 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-07-03 · MIN · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-07-07 · DAL · 7 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-07-11 · MIN · 14 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · TOR · 7 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-07-18 · IND · 12 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-07-30 · LVA · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-08-01 · PHO · 5 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-03 · SEA · 6 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · SEA · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · LVA · 27 points · +22.5 vs line
2026-08-11 · IND · 8 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-13 · LAS · 10 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-08-15 · CON · 17 points · +12.5 vs line
2026-08-18 · CHI · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-22 · IND · 6 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-27 · GSV · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-08-29 · CHI · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-09-18 · MIN · 13 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-09-20 · TOR · 9 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-09-21 · ATL · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-09-23 · ATL · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-09-27 · MIN · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-09-29 · MIN · 8 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-10-04 · ATL · 3 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-10-07 · ATL · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-10-09 · ATL · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
4.5
2026-06-23— 5-game mean2026-10-09 · newest
03
Recent form
30.0%3/10 · last 10
2026-08-29 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-09-18 · 13 points · OVER
13
2026-09-20 · 9 points · OVER
9
2026-09-21 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-09-23 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-09-27 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-09-29 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-10-04 · 3 points · UNDER
3
2026-10-07 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-10-09 · 0 points · UNDER
0
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 12 postings4.5+102
best offered4.5+125
worst offered4.5-179
our break-even4.5-142
Median +102 across 12 postings over 6 games. That price clears what her rate needs.
05
Game log
25 of 162 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 4.5
2026-10-09PLAYOFF R2 G3ATLHOME4.3MIN0POINTS0 · 1 · 0-0UNDER
- FG
- 0-0
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 11.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 1
2026-10-07PLAYOFF R2 G2ATLAWAY3.2MIN0POINTS0 · 1 · 0-1UNDER
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 15.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 1
2026-10-04PLAYOFF R2 G1ATLAWAY9.4MIN3POINTS0 · 1 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 45.2
- USG%
- 25.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 4
2026-09-29PLAYOFF R1 G2MINHOME8.5MIN8POINTS1 · 2 · 3-5OVER
- FG
- 3-5
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 80.0
- USG%
- 27.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 11
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1MINAWAY9.6MIN2POINTS0 · 2 · 1-3UNDER
- FG
- 1-3
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 33.3
- USG%
- 14.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 4
2026-09-23ATLHOME15.6MIN0POINTS2 · 3 · 0-4UNDER
- FG
- 0-4
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 15.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 5
2026-09-21ATLHOME11.6MIN0POINTS0 · 2 · 0-6UNDER
- FG
- 0-6
- 3PT
- 0-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 22.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 2
2026-09-20TORAWAY18.5MIN9POINTS3 · 3 · 3-8OVER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 3-8
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 56.3
- USG%
- 21.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 15
2026-09-18MINAWAY10.7MIN13POINTS0 · 0 · 4-8OVER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 4-8
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 73.2
- USG%
- 42.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 13
2026-08-29CHIHOME3.5MIN0POINTS1 · 0 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 37.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 1
2026-08-27GSVHOME12.6MIN0POINTS1 · 2 · 0-1UNDER
- FG
- 0-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 7.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 3
2026-08-22INDHOME13.2MIN6POINTS2 · 4 · 2-2OVER
- FG
- 2-2
- 3PT
- 2-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 150.0
- USG%
- 13.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 12
2026-08-18CHIAWAY20.9MIN3POINTS1 · 2 · 1-5UNDER
- FG
- 1-5
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 30.0
- USG%
- 12.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 6
2026-08-15CONAWAY30.6MIN17POINTS2 · 5 · 6-9OVER
- FG
- 6-9
- 3PT
- 5-8
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 94.4
- USG%
- 17.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 24
2026-08-13LASHOME22.0MIN10POINTS2 · 1 · 3-8OVER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 56.3
- USG%
- 16.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 13
2026-08-11INDAWAY17.6MIN8POINTS0 · 1 · 3-10OVER
- FG
- 3-10
- 3PT
- 2-9
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 40.0
- USG%
- 26.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 9
2026-08-09LVAHOME22.0MIN27POINTS1 · 3 · 9-14OVER
- FG
- 9-14
- 3PT
- 7-12
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 90.7
- USG%
- 33.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +26
- PRA
- 31
2026-08-05SEAHOME13.8MIN0POINTS2 · 1 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 9.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 3
2026-08-03SEAHOME11.7MIN6POINTS0 · 1 · 2-3OVER
- FG
- 2-3
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 100.0
- USG%
- 19.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 7
2026-08-01PHOAWAY14.2MIN5POINTS0 · 1 · 2-4OVER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 62.5
- USG%
- 12.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 6
2026-07-30LVAAWAY8.4MIN0POINTS0 · 0 · 0-0UNDER
- FG
- 0-0
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 0.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 0
2026-07-18INDAWAY17.7MIN12POINTS2 · 1 · 4-12OVER
- FG
- 4-12
- 3PT
- 4-11
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 36.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 15
2026-07-12TORAWAY21.7MIN7POINTS3 · 2 · 3-9OVER
- FG
- 3-9
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 38.9
- USG%
- 21.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 12
2026-07-11MINAWAY22.6MIN14POINTS3 · 1 · 5-10OVER
- FG
- 5-10
- 3PT
- 4-9
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 70.0
- USG%
- 19.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 18
2026-07-07DALHOME21.4MIN7POINTS2 · 1 · 2-7OVER
- FG
- 2-7
- 3PT
- 0-5
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 42.1
- USG%
- 19.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 10
showing 25 of 162 — every rate above is computed over all 162