NaLyssa Smith over 9.5 points
She has cleared 9.5 in 115 of 201 games — 57.2%. That rate needs -134 to break even and books have been paying -130.
01
Distribution
201 games · hover a bucket0–2.5 points · 12 games · 6.0% · under12
2.5–5 points · 19 games · 9.5% · under19
5–7.5 points · 31 games · 15.4% · under31
7.5–10 points · 24 games · 11.9% · under24
10–12.5 points · 41 games · 20.4% · over41
12.5–15 points · 24 games · 11.9% · over24
15–17.5 points · 24 games · 11.9% · over24
17.5–20 points · 9 games · 4.5% · over9
20–22.5 points · 7 games · 3.5% · over7
22.5–25 points · 3 games · 1.5% · over3
25–27.5 points · 4 games · 2.0% · over4
27.5–30 points · 2 games · 1.0% · over2
30–32.5 points · 1 game · 0.5% · over1
9.5
UNDER · 86OVER · 115 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 9.5 · hover a bar2026-06-06 · GSV · 6 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-06-08 · SEA · 16 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-06-11 · POR · 12 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-06-13 · MIN · 15 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-06-15 · DAL · 9 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-06-17 · PHO · 21 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-06-21 · GSV · 14 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-06-23 · NYL · 7 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-06-25 · DAL · 4 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · CHI · 6 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-06-30 · NYL · 9 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-03 · CHI · 29 points · +19.5 vs line
2026-07-05 · IND · 9 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-09 · POR · 16 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-11 · PHO · 14 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · IND · 9 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-20 · TOR · 18 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · WAS · 4 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-07-30 · NYL · 7 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-01 · CHI · 17 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-08-03 · ATL · 18 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-08-06 · IND · 14 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-08 · MIN · 14 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · NYL · 7 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-11 · WAS · 11 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-13 · WAS · 6 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-08-15 · MIN · 17 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-08-18 · ATL · 10 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-20 · CON · 7 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · TOR · 8 points · −1.5 vs line
9.5
2026-06-06— 5-game mean2026-08-23 · newest
03
Recent form
60.0%6/10 · last 10
2026-08-03 · 18 points · OVER
18
2026-08-06 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-08-08 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-08-09 · 7 points · UNDER
7
2026-08-11 · 11 points · OVER
11
2026-08-13 · 6 points · UNDER
6
2026-08-15 · 17 points · OVER
17
2026-08-18 · 10 points · OVER
10
2026-08-20 · 7 points · UNDER
7
2026-08-23 · 8 points · UNDER
8
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 23 postings9.5-130
best offered9.5-114
worst offered9.5-179
our break-even9.5-134
Median -130 across 23 postings over 8 games. That price clears what her rate needs.
05
Game log
25 of 201 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 9.5
2026-08-23TORAWAY18.9MIN8POINTS8 · 1 · 4-4UNDER
- FG
- 4-4
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-2
- OREB/DREB
- 3/5
- TS%
- 82.0
- USG%
- 14.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 17
2026-08-20CONHOME17.5MIN7POINTS4 · 0 · 3-6UNDER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 50.9
- USG%
- 18.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 11
2026-08-18ATLHOME22.2MIN10POINTS6 · 0 · 3-5OVER
- FG
- 3-5
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 4-7
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 61.9
- USG%
- 16.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 6
- +/−
- -18
- PRA
- 16
2026-08-15MINHOME30.4MIN17POINTS12 · 1 · 7-13OVER
- FG
- 7-13
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 9/3
- TS%
- 57.6
- USG%
- 23.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 30
2026-08-13WASHOME28.5MIN6POINTS8 · 0 · 2-3UNDER
- FG
- 2-3
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 3/5
- TS%
- 77.3
- USG%
- 8.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 14
2026-08-11WASHOME30.1MIN11POINTS11 · 0 · 5-10OVER
- FG
- 5-10
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 5/6
- TS%
- 50.6
- USG%
- 17.2
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 22
2026-08-09NYLAWAY19.9MIN7POINTS6 · 4 · 3-8UNDER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 39.4
- USG%
- 23.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -21
- PRA
- 17
2026-08-08MINAWAY24.0MIN14POINTS11 · 4 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 5/6
- TS%
- 71.7
- USG%
- 19.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 29
2026-08-06INDAWAY37.3MIN14POINTS9 · 1 · 7-11OVER
- FG
- 7-11
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-1
- OREB/DREB
- 5/4
- TS%
- 61.2
- USG%
- 16.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 24
2026-08-03ATLAWAY30.7MIN18POINTS4 · 0 · 9-16OVER
- FG
- 9-16
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 56.3
- USG%
- 24.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 22
2026-08-01CHIAWAY31.0MIN17POINTS6 · 0 · 7-11OVER
- FG
- 7-11
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 3/3
- TS%
- 69.0
- USG%
- 18.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 23
2026-07-30NYLHOME19.1MIN7POINTS4 · 1 · 2-3UNDER
- FG
- 2-3
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 73.5
- USG%
- 11.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 12
2026-07-22WASAWAY22.5MIN4POINTS3 · 0 · 2-4UNDER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 45.0
- USG%
- 9.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 7
2026-07-20TORAWAY18.9MIN18POINTS5 · 2 · 9-10OVER
- FG
- 9-10
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 90.0
- USG%
- 26.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 25
2026-07-12INDHOME20.8MIN9POINTS5 · 1 · 4-7UNDER
- FG
- 4-7
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 51.4
- USG%
- 18.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 15
2026-07-11PHOHOME17.8MIN14POINTS3 · 0 · 6-7OVER
- FG
- 6-7
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 88.8
- USG%
- 21.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +24
- PRA
- 17
2026-07-09PORAWAY28.3MIN16POINTS2 · 0 · 7-12OVER
- FG
- 7-12
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 58.1
- USG%
- 23.5
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 18
2026-07-05INDHOME24.4MIN9POINTS10 · 1 · 3-8UNDER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 3-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/9
- TS%
- 42.3
- USG%
- 22.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 20
2026-07-03CHIHOME33.5MIN29POINTS8 · 1 · 11-14OVER
- FG
- 11-14
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 7-10
- OREB/DREB
- 2/6
- TS%
- 78.8
- USG%
- 27.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 38
2026-06-30NYLAWAY20.4MIN9POINTS6 · 1 · 4-8UNDER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 4/2
- TS%
- 50.7
- USG%
- 20.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 16
2026-06-28CHIAWAY13.8MIN6POINTS1 · 2 · 2-6UNDER
- FG
- 2-6
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 41.0
- USG%
- 26.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 9
2026-06-25DALHOME29.6MIN4POINTS11 · 0 · 1-4UNDER
- FG
- 1-4
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/9
- TS%
- 34.7
- USG%
- 10.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 15
2026-06-23NYLHOME22.9MIN7POINTS1 · 0 · 3-6UNDER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 50.9
- USG%
- 14.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 8
2026-06-21GSVHOME27.0MIN14POINTS3 · 1 · 6-7OVER
- FG
- 6-7
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 88.8
- USG%
- 20.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 18
2026-06-17PHOAWAY30.7MIN21POINTS5 · 2 · 8-10OVER
- FG
- 8-10
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 5-8
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 77.7
- USG%
- 20.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 28
showing 25 of 201 — every rate above is computed over all 201