Natasha Mack over 8.5 points
She has cleared 8.5 in 30 of 123 games — 24.4%. That rate needs +310 to break even and books have been paying -127.
01
Distribution
123 games · hover a bucket0–2 points · 16 games · 13.0% · under16
2–4 points · 26 games · 21.1% · under26
4–6 points · 26 games · 21.1% · under26
6–8 points · 16 games · 13.0% · under16
8–10 points · 16 games · 13.0% · under16
10–12 points · 13 games · 10.6% · over13
12–14 points · 4 games · 3.3% · over4
14–16 points · 2 games · 1.6% · over2
16–18 points · 3 games · 2.4% · over3
18–20 points · 1 game · 0.8% · over1
8.5
UNDER · 93OVER · 30 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 8.5 · hover a bar2026-05-24 · ATL · 6 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-05-27 · NYL · 14 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-05-29 · NYL · 6 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-06-01 · MIN · 4 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-06-03 · SEA · 16 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-06-05 · POR · 16 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-06-09 · GSV · 9 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-06-11 · DAL · 8 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-06-13 · LAS · 11 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-06-17 · LVA · 0 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-06-20 · SEA · 10 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-06-22 · IND · 4 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-07-19 · CON · 4 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · LAS · 10 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-07-29 · GSV · 8 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-01 · NYL · 5 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-08-03 · CHI · 9 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · ATL · 2 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-08-07 · CON · 4 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · WAS · 8 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-11 · LAS · 9 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-16 · POR · 7 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-22 · ATL · 0 points · −8.5 vs line
2026-08-25 · WAS · 19 points · +10.5 vs line
2026-08-27 · WAS · 10 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-29 · TOR · 8 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · POR · 11 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-09-19 · DAL · 16 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-09-21 · DAL · 12 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-09-24 · LVA · 12 points · +3.5 vs line
8.5
2026-05-24— 5-game mean2026-09-24 · newest
03
Recent form
70.0%7/10 · last 10
2026-08-11 · 9 points · OVER
9
2026-08-16 · 7 points · UNDER
7
2026-08-22 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-08-25 · 19 points · OVER
19
2026-08-27 · 10 points · OVER
10
2026-08-29 · 8 points · UNDER
8
2026-09-17 · 11 points · OVER
11
2026-09-19 · 16 points · OVER
16
2026-09-21 · 12 points · OVER
12
2026-09-24 · 12 points · OVER
12
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 2 postings8.5-127
best offered8.5-127
worst offered8.5-127
our break-even8.5+310
Median -127 across 2 postings over 2 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 123 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 8.5
2026-09-24LVAHOME26.5MIN12POINTS7 · 1 · 6-11OVER
- FG
- 6-11
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 54.5
- USG%
- 22.4
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 4
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -15
- PRA
- 20
2026-09-21DALHOME21.7MIN12POINTS4 · 0 · 4-6OVER
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 77.3
- USG%
- 16.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 16
2026-09-19DALAWAY29.0MIN16POINTS7 · 0 · 7-11OVER
- FG
- 7-11
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 67.3
- USG%
- 19.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 23
2026-09-17PORAWAY26.6MIN11POINTS5 · 1 · 3-6OVER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 67.1
- USG%
- 15.9
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 17
2026-08-29TORHOME19.4MIN8POINTS8 · 1 · 4-8UNDER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 3/5
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 20.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +21
- PRA
- 17
2026-08-27WASHOME27.6MIN10POINTS9 · 2 · 4-9OVER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/7
- TS%
- 50.6
- USG%
- 17.7
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 4
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 21
2026-08-25WASHOME24.8MIN19POINTS8 · 0 · 9-12OVER
- FG
- 9-12
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 2/6
- TS%
- 76.4
- USG%
- 23.2
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 27
2026-08-22ATLHOME19.1MIN0POINTS5 · 0 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 7.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 5
2026-08-16PORHOME18.1MIN7POINTS4 · 1 · 3-5UNDER
- FG
- 3-5
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 59.5
- USG%
- 16.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 12
2026-08-11LASAWAY13.0MIN9POINTS4 · 1 · 4-4OVER
- FG
- 4-4
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 101.4
- USG%
- 14.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 14
2026-08-09WASAWAY22.6MIN8POINTS7 · 0 · 4-7UNDER
- FG
- 4-7
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 3/4
- TS%
- 57.1
- USG%
- 18.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -15
- PRA
- 15
2026-08-07CONAWAY17.9MIN4POINTS6 · 2 · 2-3UNDER
- FG
- 2-3
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 4/2
- TS%
- 66.7
- USG%
- 7.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 12
2026-08-05ATLAWAY13.6MIN2POINTS1 · 0 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 34.7
- USG%
- 10.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 3
2026-08-03CHIAWAY18.2MIN9POINTS3 · 1 · 3-5OVER
- FG
- 3-5
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 66.6
- USG%
- 16.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 13
2026-08-01NYLHOME11.9MIN5POINTS3 · 2 · 2-2UNDER
- FG
- 2-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 86.8
- USG%
- 15.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 10
2026-07-29GSVHOME18.0MIN8POINTS3 · 1 · 3-4UNDER
- FG
- 3-4
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 82.0
- USG%
- 12.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 12
2026-07-22LASAWAY15.3MIN10POINTS3 · 1 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 62.5
- USG%
- 28.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 14
2026-07-19CONHOME19.5MIN4POINTS5 · 0 · 2-4UNDER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 11.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 9
2026-06-22INDAWAY21.3MIN4POINTS7 · 1 · 2-7UNDER
- FG
- 2-7
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 5/2
- TS%
- 28.6
- USG%
- 21.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 12
2026-06-20SEAHOME22.7MIN10POINTS10 · 2 · 4-10OVER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 4/6
- TS%
- 42.5
- USG%
- 27.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +19
- PRA
- 22
2026-06-17LVAHOME22.5MIN0POINTS8 · 0 · 0-3UNDER
- FG
- 0-3
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 3/5
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 6.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 8
2026-06-13LASHOME34.6MIN11POINTS12 · 4 · 5-9OVER
- FG
- 5-9
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/11
- TS%
- 58.3
- USG%
- 12.1
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 27
2026-06-11DALAWAY21.7MIN8POINTS3 · 2 · 3-6UNDER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 3/0
- TS%
- 58.1
- USG%
- 16.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -16
- PRA
- 13
2026-06-09GSVAWAY25.1MIN9POINTS10 · 1 · 3-5OVER
- FG
- 3-5
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 2-5
- OREB/DREB
- 2/8
- TS%
- 62.5
- USG%
- 17.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -16
- PRA
- 20
2026-06-05PORAWAY28.7MIN16POINTS4 · 2 · 7-11OVER
- FG
- 7-11
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 67.3
- USG%
- 21.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 22
showing 25 of 123 — every rate above is computed over all 123