Naz Hillmon over 4.5 points
She has cleared 4.5 in 126 of 218 games — 57.8%. That rate needs -137 to break even and books have been paying -400.
01
Distribution
218 games · hover a bucket0–2 points · 27 games · 12.4% · under27
2–4 points · 39 games · 17.9% · under39
4–6 points · 33 games · 15.1% · under33
6–8 points · 41 games · 18.8% · over41
8–10 points · 23 games · 10.6% · over23
10–12 points · 20 games · 9.2% · over20
12–14 points · 12 games · 5.5% · over12
14–16 points · 11 games · 5.0% · over11
16–18 points · 6 games · 2.8% · over6
18–20 points · 4 games · 1.8% · over4
20–22 points · 1 game · 0.5% · over1
24–26 points · 1 game · 0.5% · over1
4.5
UNDER · 92OVER · 126 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 4.5 · hover a bar2026-07-17 · TOR · 24 points · +19.5 vs line
2026-07-19 · CHI · 5 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-29 · DAL · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-31 · SEA · 18 points · +13.5 vs line
2026-08-03 · LVA · 7 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · PHO · 10 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-08-07 · WAS · 5 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-10 · TOR · 11 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-08-13 · CON · 8 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-16 · IND · 6 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-18 · LVA · 7 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-20 · LAS · 14 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-08-22 · PHO · 8 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-24 · LAS · 12 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-08-28 · POR · 10 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · MIN · 7 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · CON · 9 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-09-19 · CHI · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-09-21 · NYL · 8 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-09-23 · NYL · 16 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-09-27 · WAS · 4 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-09-30 · WAS · 10 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-10-04 · NYL · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-10-07 · NYL · 12 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-10-09 · NYL · 0 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-10-17 · GSV · 5 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-10-19 · GSV · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-10-21 · GSV · 15 points · +10.5 vs line
2026-10-24 · GSV · 6 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-10-26 · GSV · 2 points · −2.5 vs line
4.5
2026-07-17— 5-game mean2026-10-26 · newest
03
Recent form
50.0%5/10 · last 10
2026-09-27 · 4 points · UNDER
4
2026-09-30 · 10 points · OVER
10
2026-10-04 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-10-07 · 12 points · OVER
12
2026-10-09 · 0 points · UNDER
0
2026-10-17 · 5 points · OVER
5
2026-10-19 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-10-21 · 15 points · OVER
15
2026-10-24 · 6 points · OVER
6
2026-10-26 · 2 points · UNDER
2
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 20 postings4.5-400
best offered4.5-110
worst offered4.5-556
our break-even4.5-137
Median -400 across 20 postings over 6 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 218 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 4.5
2026-10-26PLAYOFF R3 G5GSVAWAY34.2MIN2POINTS11 · 0 · 1-5UNDER
- FG
- 1-5
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 5/6
- TS%
- 20.0
- USG%
- 9.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 13
2026-10-24PLAYOFF R3 G4GSVHOME35.8MIN6POINTS9 · 1 · 2-2OVER
- FG
- 2-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 5/4
- TS%
- 104.2
- USG%
- 3.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 16
2026-10-21PLAYOFF R3 G3GSVHOME27.0MIN15POINTS2 · 0 · 6-10OVER
- FG
- 6-10
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 0-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 71.8
- USG%
- 17.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 17
2026-10-19PLAYOFF R3 G2GSVAWAY30.4MIN2POINTS4 · 0 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 34.7
- USG%
- 7.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 6
2026-10-17PLAYOFF R3 G1GSVAWAY29.8MIN5POINTS2 · 0 · 2-4OVER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 62.5
- USG%
- 7.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 7
2026-10-09PLAYOFF R2 G3NYLAWAY31.8MIN0POINTS4 · 3 · 0-7UNDER
- FG
- 0-7
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 3/1
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 10.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 7
2026-10-07PLAYOFF R2 G2NYLHOME43.5MIN12POINTS8 · 5 · 5-11OVER
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 2/6
- TS%
- 52.4
- USG%
- 11.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 25
2026-10-04PLAYOFF R2 G1NYLHOME36.6MIN0POINTS4 · 4 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 5.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 8
2026-09-30PLAYOFF R1 G2WASAWAY33.3MIN10POINTS3 · 0 · 4-9OVER
- FG
- 4-9
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 55.6
- USG%
- 15.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 13
2026-09-27PLAYOFF R1 G1WASHOME20.5MIN4POINTS3 · 1 · 2-4UNDER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 8.3
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 8
2026-09-23NYLAWAY32.9MIN16POINTS4 · 2 · 6-13OVER
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 2-8
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 55.9
- USG%
- 19.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 22
2026-09-21NYLAWAY17.2MIN8POINTS3 · 1 · 3-6OVER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 66.7
- USG%
- 16.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 12
2026-09-19CHIHOME19.0MIN2POINTS4 · 4 · 0-5UNDER
- FG
- 0-5
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 17.0
- USG%
- 13.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 10
2026-09-17CONHOME22.4MIN9POINTS6 · 3 · 3-8OVER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 56.3
- USG%
- 16.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +19
- PRA
- 18
2026-08-30MINHOME30.3MIN7POINTS3 · 1 · 3-9OVER
- FG
- 3-9
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 38.9
- USG%
- 18.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +21
- PRA
- 11
2026-08-28PORHOME34.2MIN10POINTS9 · 2 · 3-10OVER
- FG
- 3-10
- 3PT
- 2-7
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 5/4
- TS%
- 46.0
- USG%
- 15.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -17
- PRA
- 21
2026-08-24LASAWAY33.6MIN12POINTS7 · 0 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 3/4
- TS%
- 75.0
- USG%
- 12.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 19
2026-08-22PHOAWAY34.7MIN8POINTS4 · 2 · 3-7OVER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 57.1
- USG%
- 10.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 14
2026-08-20LASAWAY25.7MIN14POINTS5 · 3 · 6-9OVER
- FG
- 6-9
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 74.2
- USG%
- 17.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 4
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +38
- PRA
- 22
2026-08-18LVAAWAY31.9MIN7POINTS4 · 1 · 3-6OVER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 58.3
- USG%
- 12.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 12
2026-08-16INDHOME33.3MIN6POINTS6 · 0 · 3-10OVER
- FG
- 3-10
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 3/3
- TS%
- 30.0
- USG%
- 15.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -23
- PRA
- 12
2026-08-13CONAWAY24.2MIN8POINTS7 · 3 · 3-6OVER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 66.7
- USG%
- 12.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +31
- PRA
- 18
2026-08-10TORHOME28.9MIN11POINTS5 · 3 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 68.8
- USG%
- 14.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +20
- PRA
- 19
2026-08-07WASAWAY20.0MIN5POINTS4 · 1 · 2-4OVER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 56.3
- USG%
- 10.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 10
2026-08-05PHOHOME25.8MIN10POINTS5 · 1 · 3-7OVER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 63.5
- USG%
- 17.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +21
- PRA
- 16
showing 25 of 218 — every rate above is computed over all 218