Naz Hillmon over 5.5 points
She has cleared 5.5 in 115 of 208 games — 55.3%. That rate needs -124 to break even and books have been paying -115.
01
Distribution
208 games · hover a bucket0–2 points · 25 games · 12.0% · under25
2–4 points · 37 games · 17.8% · under37
4–6 points · 31 games · 14.9% · under31
6–8 points · 40 games · 19.2% · over40
8–10 points · 23 games · 11.1% · over23
10–12 points · 19 games · 9.1% · over19
12–14 points · 11 games · 5.3% · over11
14–16 points · 10 games · 4.8% · over10
16–18 points · 6 games · 2.9% · over6
18–20 points · 4 games · 1.9% · over4
20–22 points · 1 game · 0.5% · over1
24–26 points · 1 game · 0.5% · over1
5.5
UNDER · 93OVER · 115 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 5.5 · hover a bar2026-06-18 · IND · 17 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-06-20 · IND · 19 points · +13.5 vs line
2026-06-22 · TOR · 6 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-06-24 · GSV · 2 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-06-26 · GSV · 2 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-07-02 · WAS · 5 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-04 · GSV · 3 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-09 · SEA · 7 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-07-11 · POR · 15 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-07-13 · LAS · 10 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-07-17 · TOR · 24 points · +18.5 vs line
2026-07-19 · CHI · 5 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-29 · DAL · 2 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-07-31 · SEA · 18 points · +12.5 vs line
2026-08-03 · LVA · 7 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · PHO · 10 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-07 · WAS · 5 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-10 · TOR · 11 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-08-13 · CON · 8 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-16 · IND · 6 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-18 · LVA · 7 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-20 · LAS · 14 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-08-22 · PHO · 8 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-24 · LAS · 12 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-08-28 · POR · 10 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · MIN · 7 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · CON · 9 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-09-19 · CHI · 2 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-09-21 · NYL · 8 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-09-23 · NYL · 16 points · +10.5 vs line
5.5
2026-06-18— 5-game mean2026-09-23 · newest
03
Recent form
90.0%9/10 · last 10
2026-08-18 · 7 points · OVER
7
2026-08-20 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-08-22 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-08-24 · 12 points · OVER
12
2026-08-28 · 10 points · OVER
10
2026-08-30 · 7 points · OVER
7
2026-09-17 · 9 points · OVER
9
2026-09-19 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-09-21 · 8 points · OVER
8
2026-09-23 · 16 points · OVER
16
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 10 postings5.5-115
best offered5.5+102
worst offered5.5-130
our break-even5.5-124
Median -115 across 10 postings over 4 games. That price clears what her rate needs.
05
Game log
25 of 208 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 5.5
2026-09-23NYLAWAY32.9MIN16POINTS4 · 2 · 6-13OVER
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 2-8
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 55.9
- USG%
- 19.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +17
- PRA
- 22
2026-09-21NYLAWAY17.2MIN8POINTS3 · 1 · 3-6OVER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 66.7
- USG%
- 16.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 12
2026-09-19CHIHOME19.0MIN2POINTS4 · 4 · 0-5UNDER
- FG
- 0-5
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 17.0
- USG%
- 13.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 10
2026-09-17CONHOME22.4MIN9POINTS6 · 3 · 3-8OVER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 56.3
- USG%
- 16.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +19
- PRA
- 18
2026-08-30MINHOME30.3MIN7POINTS3 · 1 · 3-9OVER
- FG
- 3-9
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 38.9
- USG%
- 18.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +21
- PRA
- 11
2026-08-28PORHOME34.2MIN10POINTS9 · 2 · 3-10OVER
- FG
- 3-10
- 3PT
- 2-7
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 5/4
- TS%
- 46.0
- USG%
- 15.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -17
- PRA
- 21
2026-08-24LASAWAY33.6MIN12POINTS7 · 0 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 3/4
- TS%
- 75.0
- USG%
- 12.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 19
2026-08-22PHOAWAY34.7MIN8POINTS4 · 2 · 3-7OVER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 57.1
- USG%
- 10.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 14
2026-08-20LASAWAY25.7MIN14POINTS5 · 3 · 6-9OVER
- FG
- 6-9
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 74.2
- USG%
- 17.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 4
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +38
- PRA
- 22
2026-08-18LVAAWAY31.9MIN7POINTS4 · 1 · 3-6OVER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 58.3
- USG%
- 12.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 12
2026-08-16INDHOME33.3MIN6POINTS6 · 0 · 3-10OVER
- FG
- 3-10
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 3/3
- TS%
- 30.0
- USG%
- 15.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -23
- PRA
- 12
2026-08-13CONAWAY24.2MIN8POINTS7 · 3 · 3-6OVER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 66.7
- USG%
- 12.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +31
- PRA
- 18
2026-08-10TORHOME28.9MIN11POINTS5 · 3 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 68.8
- USG%
- 14.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +20
- PRA
- 19
2026-08-07WASAWAY20.0MIN5POINTS4 · 1 · 2-4UNDER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 56.3
- USG%
- 10.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 10
2026-08-05PHOHOME25.8MIN10POINTS5 · 1 · 3-7OVER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 63.5
- USG%
- 17.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +21
- PRA
- 16
2026-08-03LVAHOME27.2MIN7POINTS1 · 2 · 3-6OVER
- FG
- 3-6
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 58.3
- USG%
- 12.4
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -18
- PRA
- 10
2026-07-31SEAHOME25.5MIN18POINTS2 · 3 · 6-9OVER
- FG
- 6-9
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 4-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 80.4
- USG%
- 21.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 23
2026-07-29DALAWAY21.7MIN2POINTS3 · 1 · 1-2UNDER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 3.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 6
2026-07-19CHIHOME33.9MIN5POINTS2 · 1 · 2-6UNDER
- FG
- 2-6
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 41.7
- USG%
- 9.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 8
2026-07-17TORAWAY25.0MIN24POINTS1 · 0 · 8-8OVER
- FG
- 8-8
- 3PT
- 4-4
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 123.0
- USG%
- 20.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 25
2026-07-13LASHOME31.5MIN10POINTS5 · 2 · 4-7OVER
- FG
- 4-7
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 3/2
- TS%
- 63.5
- USG%
- 13.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 17
2026-07-11PORHOME36.3MIN15POINTS8 · 2 · 6-11OVER
- FG
- 6-11
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 3/5
- TS%
- 60.9
- USG%
- 17.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 25
2026-07-09SEAHOME29.3MIN7POINTS2 · 1 · 2-9OVER
- FG
- 2-9
- 3PT
- 1-7
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 35.4
- USG%
- 15.1
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 10
2026-07-04GSVHOME24.0MIN3POINTS5 · 1 · 1-1UNDER
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 150.0
- USG%
- 1.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 9
2026-07-02WASAWAY25.5MIN5POINTS5 · 1 · 1-5UNDER
- FG
- 1-5
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 4/1
- TS%
- 42.5
- USG%
- 12.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 11
showing 25 of 208 — every rate above is computed over all 208