Nneka Ogwumike over 16.5 points
She has cleared 16.5 in 111 of 199 games — 55.8%. That rate needs -127 to break even and books have been paying -119.
01
Distribution
199 games · hover a bucket0–5 points · 1 game · 0.5% · under1
5–10 points · 10 games · 5.0% · under10
10–15 points · 41 games · 20.6% · under41
15–20 points · 70 games · 35.2% · under70
20–25 points · 57 games · 28.6% · over57
25–30 points · 15 games · 7.5% · over15
30–35 points · 3 games · 1.5% · over3
35–40 points · 2 games · 1.0% · over2
16.5
UNDER · 88OVER · 111 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 16.5 · hover a bar2026-06-17 · MIN · 10 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-06-21 · NYL · 24 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-06-25 · TOR · 21 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-06-27 · IND · 17 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-06 · SEA · 14 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-08 · IND · 24 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-07-10 · CHI · 25 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-07-13 · ATL · 19 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-07-15 · MIN · 23 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-17 · CHI · 18 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-07-19 · DAL · 17 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · PHO · 13 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-07-28 · NYL · 21 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · POR · 22 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · CHI · 10 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-08-06 · MIN · 16 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · GSV · 16 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-11 · PHO · 18 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-13 · NYL · 10 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-08-15 · WAS · 15 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-18 · CON · 18 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-20 · ATL · 11 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-22 · CON · 11 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-24 · ATL · 27 points · +10.5 vs line
2026-08-28 · WAS · 24 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · SEA · 23 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · DAL · 18 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-09-20 · POR · 20 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · LVA · 17 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-09-24 · GSV · 17 points · +0.5 vs line
16.5
2026-06-17— 5-game mean2026-09-24 · newest
03
Recent form
80.0%8/10 · last 10
2026-08-18 · 18 points · OVER
18
2026-08-20 · 11 points · UNDER
11
2026-08-22 · 11 points · UNDER
11
2026-08-24 · 27 points · OVER
27
2026-08-28 · 24 points · OVER
24
2026-08-30 · 23 points · OVER
23
2026-09-17 · 18 points · OVER
18
2026-09-20 · 20 points · OVER
20
2026-09-22 · 17 points · OVER
17
2026-09-24 · 17 points · OVER
17
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 90 postings16.5-119
best offered16.5-102
worst offered16.5-130
our break-even16.5-127
Median -119 across 90 postings over 12 games. That price clears what her rate needs.
05
Game log
25 of 199 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 16.5
2026-09-24GSVHOME34.7MIN17POINTS15 · 5 · 8-17OVER
- FG
- 8-17
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/13
- TS%
- 47.5
- USG%
- 26.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 37
2026-09-22LVAAWAY29.6MIN17POINTS9 · 2 · 7-12OVER
- FG
- 7-12
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/7
- TS%
- 66.0
- USG%
- 23.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 28
2026-09-20PORHOME27.0MIN20POINTS12 · 5 · 9-19OVER
- FG
- 9-19
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 5/7
- TS%
- 51.4
- USG%
- 31.7
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +20
- PRA
- 37
2026-09-17DALAWAY28.5MIN18POINTS7 · 4 · 8-12OVER
- FG
- 8-12
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 75.0
- USG%
- 18.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 29
2026-08-30SEAAWAY28.8MIN23POINTS12 · 3 · 9-17OVER
- FG
- 9-17
- 3PT
- 4-7
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/11
- TS%
- 65.9
- USG%
- 26.8
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +25
- PRA
- 38
2026-08-28WASHOME29.8MIN24POINTS4 · 5 · 11-16OVER
- FG
- 11-16
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 0-1
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 73.0
- USG%
- 31.2
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 33
2026-08-24ATLHOME29.1MIN27POINTS16 · 0 · 11-19OVER
- FG
- 11-19
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 4/12
- TS%
- 63.7
- USG%
- 40.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 43
2026-08-22CONHOME33.1MIN11POINTS11 · 1 · 4-10UNDER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/11
- TS%
- 48.6
- USG%
- 18.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 23
2026-08-20ATLHOME24.7MIN11POINTS6 · 5 · 4-10UNDER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 3/3
- TS%
- 48.6
- USG%
- 25.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -25
- PRA
- 22
2026-08-18CONAWAY30.4MIN18POINTS7 · 1 · 8-15OVER
- FG
- 8-15
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/7
- TS%
- 56.7
- USG%
- 24.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 26
2026-08-15WASAWAY29.8MIN15POINTS7 · 3 · 6-12UNDER
- FG
- 6-12
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 58.2
- USG%
- 24.4
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 25
2026-08-13NYLAWAY30.6MIN10POINTS11 · 4 · 4-11UNDER
- FG
- 4-11
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 3/8
- TS%
- 40.6
- USG%
- 19.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 25
2026-08-11PHOHOME32.5MIN18POINTS9 · 8 · 6-14OVER
- FG
- 6-14
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 4/5
- TS%
- 57.1
- USG%
- 24.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 35
2026-08-09GSVHOME31.7MIN16POINTS7 · 3 · 7-18UNDER
- FG
- 7-18
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 3/4
- TS%
- 42.4
- USG%
- 34.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 26
2026-08-06MINAWAY30.2MIN16POINTS7 · 0 · 7-13UNDER
- FG
- 7-13
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 3/4
- TS%
- 61.5
- USG%
- 27.1
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 23
2026-08-05CHIAWAY29.9MIN10POINTS7 · 3 · 5-13UNDER
- FG
- 5-13
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/7
- TS%
- 38.5
- USG%
- 20.6
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 20
2026-08-02PORAWAY30.2MIN22POINTS10 · 2 · 8-18OVER
- FG
- 8-18
- 3PT
- 3-7
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/8
- TS%
- 55.7
- USG%
- 30.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 34
2026-07-28NYLHOME28.3MIN21POINTS4 · 9 · 9-12OVER
- FG
- 9-12
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 87.5
- USG%
- 20.2
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 34
2026-07-22PHOHOME30.3MIN13POINTS13 · 1 · 4-10UNDER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/12
- TS%
- 55.3
- USG%
- 21.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 27
2026-07-19DALAWAY32.7MIN17POINTS10 · 3 · 7-12OVER
- FG
- 7-12
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/9
- TS%
- 61.8
- USG%
- 25.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 30
2026-07-17CHIAWAY31.3MIN18POINTS12 · 4 · 8-15OVER
- FG
- 8-15
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/10
- TS%
- 60.0
- USG%
- 22.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -17
- PRA
- 34
2026-07-15MINAWAY33.0MIN23POINTS12 · 5 · 10-16OVER
- FG
- 10-16
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 2/10
- TS%
- 70.0
- USG%
- 22.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 40
2026-07-13ATLAWAY31.6MIN19POINTS5 · 5 · 7-13OVER
- FG
- 7-13
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 68.4
- USG%
- 23.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 29
2026-07-10CHIHOME33.4MIN25POINTS12 · 5 · 9-16OVER
- FG
- 9-16
- 3PT
- 3-7
- FT
- 4-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/12
- TS%
- 68.7
- USG%
- 25.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 42
2026-07-08INDHOME31.3MIN24POINTS8 · 5 · 9-19OVER
- FG
- 9-19
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/8
- TS%
- 57.8
- USG%
- 28.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 37
showing 25 of 199 — every rate above is computed over all 199