Nyara Sabally over 17.5 pts+reb+ast
She has cleared 17.5 in 21 of 114 games — 18.4%. That rate needs +442 to break even, and no book in our ledger has priced it.
—
Tonight
THU · SEP 24TOR @ CON7:00 PM ETbench · 7 projected minutes
OutAneesah MorrowLeft Knee
OutBrittney SykesLeft Foot
OutMarina MabreyRight Adductor
OutTemi FagbenlePersonal Reasons
QuestionableMaria CondeBack
AT 10+ MINUTES · 202623 games · 24.6 min · 19.9 pts+reb+ast · 14/23 over 17.5 (61%)
Tonight's projection is 7 minutes. This is her season at that workload.
WITHOUT MORROW20 games · 23.6 min · 18.4 pts+reb+ast · 11/20 over 17.5with her (n=4): 25.4 min · 23.5 pts+reb+ast · 75%with her →
WITHOUT SYKES14 games · 22.4 min · 18.9 pts+reb+ast · 9/14 over 17.5with her (n=10): 26.0 min · 19.7 pts+reb+ast · 50%with her →
WITHOUT MABREY2 games · 25.5 min · 23.5 pts+reb+ast · 2/2 over 17.5with her (n=22): 23.7 min · 18.9 pts+reb+ast · 55%with her →
2 games without her is a hint, not a finding — a sample that small cannot carry a conclusion.
Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.
01
Distribution
114 games · hover a bucket0–5 pts+reb+ast · 35 games · 30.7% · under35
5–10 pts+reb+ast · 32 games · 28.1% · under32
10–15 pts+reb+ast · 18 games · 15.8% · under18
15–20 pts+reb+ast · 14 games · 12.3% · under14
20–25 pts+reb+ast · 9 games · 7.9% · over9
25–30 pts+reb+ast · 4 games · 3.5% · over4
30–35 pts+reb+ast · 1 game · 0.9% · over1
35–40 pts+reb+ast · 1 game · 0.9% · over1
17.5
UNDER · 93OVER · 21 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
pts+reb+ast · line 17.5 · hover a bar2025-07-08 · LVA · 7 pts+reb+ast · −10.5 vs line
2025-07-13 · ATL · 18 pts+reb+ast · +0.5 vs line
2025-07-16 · IND · 9 pts+reb+ast · −8.5 vs line
2025-09-09 · WAS · 0 pts+reb+ast · −17.5 vs line
2025-09-11 · CHI · 7 pts+reb+ast · −10.5 vs line
2025-09-17 · PHO · 3 pts+reb+ast · −14.5 vs line
2026-05-08 · WAS · 14 pts+reb+ast · −3.5 vs line
2026-05-13 · SEA · 16 pts+reb+ast · −1.5 vs line
2026-05-15 · LAS · 26 pts+reb+ast · +8.5 vs line
2026-05-17 · LAS · 15 pts+reb+ast · −2.5 vs line
2026-05-23 · POR · 12 pts+reb+ast · −5.5 vs line
2026-05-27 · CHI · 37 pts+reb+ast · +19.5 vs line
2026-05-30 · SEA · 12 pts+reb+ast · −5.5 vs line
2026-06-03 · NYL · 20 pts+reb+ast · +2.5 vs line
2026-06-07 · CHI · 22 pts+reb+ast · +4.5 vs line
2026-06-10 · CON · 23 pts+reb+ast · +5.5 vs line
2026-06-22 · ATL · 15 pts+reb+ast · −2.5 vs line
2026-06-25 · LAS · 9 pts+reb+ast · −8.5 vs line
2026-06-27 · PHO · 19 pts+reb+ast · +1.5 vs line
2026-07-05 · DAL · 26 pts+reb+ast · +8.5 vs line
2026-07-08 · GSV · 4 pts+reb+ast · −13.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · NYL · 21 pts+reb+ast · +3.5 vs line
2026-07-14 · WAS · 18 pts+reb+ast · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-17 · ATL · 19 pts+reb+ast · +1.5 vs line
2026-07-30 · MIN · 12 pts+reb+ast · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · GSV · 28 pts+reb+ast · +10.5 vs line
2026-08-04 · GSV · 30 pts+reb+ast · +12.5 vs line
2026-08-06 · POR · 23 pts+reb+ast · +5.5 vs line
2026-08-10 · ATL · 27 pts+reb+ast · +9.5 vs line
2026-08-12 · DAL · 14 pts+reb+ast · −3.5 vs line
17.5
2025-07-08— 5-game mean2026-08-12 · newest
03
Recent form
70.0%7/10 · last 10
2026-07-08 · 4 pts+reb+ast · UNDER
4
2026-07-12 · 21 pts+reb+ast · OVER
21
2026-07-14 · 18 pts+reb+ast · OVER
18
2026-07-17 · 19 pts+reb+ast · OVER
19
2026-07-30 · 12 pts+reb+ast · UNDER
12
2026-08-02 · 28 pts+reb+ast · OVER
28
2026-08-04 · 30 pts+reb+ast · OVER
30
2026-08-06 · 23 pts+reb+ast · OVER
23
2026-08-10 · 27 pts+reb+ast · OVER
27
2026-08-12 · 14 pts+reb+ast · UNDER
14
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
No book in our ledger has priced this exact line. Our books publish eight WNBA markets, so a threshold outside those has a rate but no price to check it against.
05
Game log
25 of 114 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
PTS+REB+AST
REB · AST · FG
VS 17.5
2026-08-12DALAWAY16.8MIN14PTS+REB+AST7 · 1 · 3-7UNDER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 4/3
- TS%
- 42.9
- USG%
- 23.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 14
2026-08-10ATLAWAY29.1MIN27PTS+REB+AST12 · 3 · 5-12OVER
- FG
- 5-12
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 3/9
- TS%
- 46.6
- USG%
- 27.5
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 27
2026-08-06PORAWAY23.9MIN23PTS+REB+AST5 · 1 · 5-13OVER
- FG
- 5-13
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 6-7
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 52.9
- USG%
- 27.3
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 23
2026-08-04GSVAWAY31.7MIN30PTS+REB+AST6 · 3 · 8-12OVER
- FG
- 8-12
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 76.3
- USG%
- 26.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 30
2026-08-02GSVAWAY24.8MIN28PTS+REB+AST8 · 1 · 6-12OVER
- FG
- 6-12
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 4-7
- OREB/DREB
- 2/6
- TS%
- 63.0
- USG%
- 33.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 28
2026-07-30MINHOME13.7MIN12PTS+REB+AST2 · 0 · 4-6UNDER
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 1-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 68.3
- USG%
- 37.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -20
- PRA
- 12
2026-07-17ATLHOME21.0MIN19PTS+REB+AST1 · 2 · 7-10OVER
- FG
- 7-10
- 3PT
- 2-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 80.0
- USG%
- 26.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 19
2026-07-14WASHOME26.4MIN18PTS+REB+AST4 · 1 · 3-11OVER
- FG
- 3-11
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 47.7
- USG%
- 26.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -18
- PRA
- 18
2026-07-12NYLHOME26.2MIN21PTS+REB+AST7 · 1 · 5-9OVER
- FG
- 5-9
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 3/4
- TS%
- 63.0
- USG%
- 19.4
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 21
2026-07-08GSVHOME6.9MIN4PTS+REB+AST1 · 1 · 1-1UNDER
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 100.0
- USG%
- 14.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 4
2026-07-05DALHOME29.4MIN26PTS+REB+AST7 · 5 · 6-10OVER
- FG
- 6-10
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 1-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 61.8
- USG%
- 19.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 26
2026-06-27PHOHOME26.2MIN19PTS+REB+AST4 · 1 · 5-10OVER
- FG
- 5-10
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 2-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 57.4
- USG%
- 25.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -18
- PRA
- 19
2026-06-25LASHOME19.1MIN9PTS+REB+AST4 · 0 · 2-5UNDER
- FG
- 2-5
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 42.5
- USG%
- 11.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 9
2026-06-22ATLAWAY17.9MIN15PTS+REB+AST4 · 2 · 3-7UNDER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 54.1
- USG%
- 22.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 4
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 15
2026-06-10CONHOME29.6MIN23PTS+REB+AST5 · 3 · 3-5OVER
- FG
- 3-5
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 9-10
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 79.8
- USG%
- 14.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 23
2026-06-07CHIHOME25.1MIN22PTS+REB+AST6 · 1 · 7-14OVER
- FG
- 7-14
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 3/3
- TS%
- 50.4
- USG%
- 25.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 22
2026-06-03NYLAWAY29.2MIN20PTS+REB+AST6 · 3 · 5-10OVER
- FG
- 5-10
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 55.0
- USG%
- 17.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -24
- PRA
- 20
2026-05-30SEAHOME26.1MIN12PTS+REB+AST4 · 0 · 2-5UNDER
- FG
- 2-5
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 59.2
- USG%
- 13.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 12
2026-05-27CHIAWAY28.0MIN37PTS+REB+AST6 · 2 · 11-14OVER
- FG
- 11-14
- 3PT
- 3-4
- FT
- 4-6
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 87.1
- USG%
- 28.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 37
2026-05-23PORHOME23.2MIN12PTS+REB+AST3 · 0 · 4-6UNDER
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 75.0
- USG%
- 11.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 12
2026-05-17LASAWAY20.1MIN15PTS+REB+AST4 · 4 · 3-4UNDER
- FG
- 3-4
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 78.8
- USG%
- 14.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 15
2026-05-15LASAWAY27.5MIN26PTS+REB+AST9 · 3 · 5-10OVER
- FG
- 5-10
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 5/4
- TS%
- 59.5
- USG%
- 18.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 26
2026-05-13SEAHOME25.6MIN16PTS+REB+AST5 · 3 · 2-4UNDER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 4-6
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 60.2
- USG%
- 15.2
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 16
2026-05-08WASHOME25.5MIN14PTS+REB+AST6 · 0 · 3-8UNDER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 3/3
- TS%
- 41.0
- USG%
- 17.9
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 14
2025-09-17PHOHOME7.3MIN3PTS+REB+AST1 · 1 · 0-3UNDER
- FG
- 0-3
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 12.9
- USG%
- 23.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 3
showing 25 of 114 — every rate above is computed over all 114