Nyara Sabally over 6.5 points
She has cleared 6.5 in 41 of 114 games — 36.0%. That rate needs +178 to break even, and no book in our ledger has priced it.
—
Tonight
THU · SEP 24TOR @ CON7:00 PM ETbench · 7 projected minutes
OutAneesah MorrowLeft Knee
OutBrittney SykesLeft Foot
OutMarina MabreyRight Adductor
OutTemi FagbenlePersonal Reasons
QuestionableMaria CondeBack
AT 10+ MINUTES · 202623 games · 24.6 min · 12.7 points · 21/23 over 6.5 (91%)
Tonight's projection is 7 minutes. This is her season at that workload.
WITHOUT MORROW20 games · 23.6 min · 11.9 points · 18/20 over 6.5with her (n=4): 25.4 min · 14.0 points · 75%with her →
WITHOUT SYKES14 games · 22.4 min · 12.2 points · 11/14 over 6.5with her (n=10): 26.0 min · 12.4 points · 100%with her →
WITHOUT MABREY2 games · 25.5 min · 16.5 points · 2/2 over 6.5with her (n=22): 23.7 min · 11.9 points · 86%with her →
2 games without her is a hint, not a finding — a sample that small cannot carry a conclusion.
Season to date, tonight's game excluded. Rates, not projections.
01
Distribution
114 games · hover a bucket0–2.5 points · 46 games · 40.4% · under46
2.5–5 points · 14 games · 12.3% · under14
5–7.5 points · 21 games · 18.4% · under21
7.5–10 points · 12 games · 10.5% · over12
10–12.5 points · 5 games · 4.4% · over5
12.5–15 points · 8 games · 7.0% · over8
15–17.5 points · 5 games · 4.4% · over5
17.5–20 points · 1 game · 0.9% · over1
20–22.5 points · 1 game · 0.9% · over1
27.5–30 points · 1 game · 0.9% · over1
6.5
UNDER · 73OVER · 41 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 6.5 · hover a bar2025-07-08 · LVA · 4 points · −2.5 vs line
2025-07-13 · ATL · 7 points · +0.5 vs line
2025-07-16 · IND · 2 points · −4.5 vs line
2025-09-09 · WAS · 0 points · −6.5 vs line
2025-09-11 · CHI · 4 points · −2.5 vs line
2025-09-17 · PHO · 1 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-05-08 · WAS · 8 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-05-13 · SEA · 8 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-05-15 · LAS · 14 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-05-17 · LAS · 7 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-05-23 · POR · 9 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-05-27 · CHI · 29 points · +22.5 vs line
2026-05-30 · SEA · 8 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-06-03 · NYL · 11 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-06-07 · CHI · 15 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-06-10 · CON · 15 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-06-22 · ATL · 9 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-06-25 · LAS · 5 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-06-27 · PHO · 14 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-07-05 · DAL · 14 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-07-08 · GSV · 2 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · NYL · 13 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-14 · WAS · 13 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-17 · ATL · 16 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-07-30 · MIN · 10 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · GSV · 19 points · +12.5 vs line
2026-08-04 · GSV · 21 points · +14.5 vs line
2026-08-06 · POR · 17 points · +10.5 vs line
2026-08-10 · ATL · 12 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-08-12 · DAL · 6 points · −0.5 vs line
6.5
2025-07-08— 5-game mean2026-08-12 · newest
03
Recent form
80.0%8/10 · last 10
2026-07-08 · 2 points · UNDER
2
2026-07-12 · 13 points · OVER
13
2026-07-14 · 13 points · OVER
13
2026-07-17 · 16 points · OVER
16
2026-07-30 · 10 points · OVER
10
2026-08-02 · 19 points · OVER
19
2026-08-04 · 21 points · OVER
21
2026-08-06 · 17 points · OVER
17
2026-08-10 · 12 points · OVER
12
2026-08-12 · 6 points · UNDER
6
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
No book in our ledger has priced this exact line. Our books publish eight WNBA markets, so a threshold outside those has a rate but no price to check it against.
05
Game log
25 of 114 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 6.5
2026-08-12DALAWAY16.8MIN6POINTS7 · 1 · 3-7UNDER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 4/3
- TS%
- 42.9
- USG%
- 23.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 14
2026-08-10ATLAWAY29.1MIN12POINTS12 · 3 · 5-12OVER
- FG
- 5-12
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 3/9
- TS%
- 46.6
- USG%
- 27.5
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 27
2026-08-06PORAWAY23.9MIN17POINTS5 · 1 · 5-13OVER
- FG
- 5-13
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 6-7
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 52.9
- USG%
- 27.3
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 23
2026-08-04GSVAWAY31.7MIN21POINTS6 · 3 · 8-12OVER
- FG
- 8-12
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 76.3
- USG%
- 26.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 30
2026-08-02GSVAWAY24.8MIN19POINTS8 · 1 · 6-12OVER
- FG
- 6-12
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 4-7
- OREB/DREB
- 2/6
- TS%
- 63.0
- USG%
- 33.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 28
2026-07-30MINHOME13.7MIN10POINTS2 · 0 · 4-6OVER
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 1-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 68.3
- USG%
- 37.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -20
- PRA
- 12
2026-07-17ATLHOME21.0MIN16POINTS1 · 2 · 7-10OVER
- FG
- 7-10
- 3PT
- 2-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 80.0
- USG%
- 26.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 19
2026-07-14WASHOME26.4MIN13POINTS4 · 1 · 3-11OVER
- FG
- 3-11
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 47.7
- USG%
- 26.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -18
- PRA
- 18
2026-07-12NYLHOME26.2MIN13POINTS7 · 1 · 5-9OVER
- FG
- 5-9
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 3/4
- TS%
- 63.0
- USG%
- 19.4
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 21
2026-07-08GSVHOME6.9MIN2POINTS1 · 1 · 1-1UNDER
- FG
- 1-1
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 100.0
- USG%
- 14.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 4
2026-07-05DALHOME29.4MIN14POINTS7 · 5 · 6-10OVER
- FG
- 6-10
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 1-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 61.8
- USG%
- 19.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 26
2026-06-27PHOHOME26.2MIN14POINTS4 · 1 · 5-10OVER
- FG
- 5-10
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 2-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 57.4
- USG%
- 25.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -18
- PRA
- 19
2026-06-25LASHOME19.1MIN5POINTS4 · 0 · 2-5UNDER
- FG
- 2-5
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 42.5
- USG%
- 11.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 9
2026-06-22ATLAWAY17.9MIN9POINTS4 · 2 · 3-7OVER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 54.1
- USG%
- 22.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 4
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 15
2026-06-10CONHOME29.6MIN15POINTS5 · 3 · 3-5OVER
- FG
- 3-5
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 9-10
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 79.8
- USG%
- 14.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 23
2026-06-07CHIHOME25.1MIN15POINTS6 · 1 · 7-14OVER
- FG
- 7-14
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 3/3
- TS%
- 50.4
- USG%
- 25.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 22
2026-06-03NYLAWAY29.2MIN11POINTS6 · 3 · 5-10OVER
- FG
- 5-10
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 55.0
- USG%
- 17.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -24
- PRA
- 20
2026-05-30SEAHOME26.1MIN8POINTS4 · 0 · 2-5OVER
- FG
- 2-5
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 59.2
- USG%
- 13.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 12
2026-05-27CHIAWAY28.0MIN29POINTS6 · 2 · 11-14OVER
- FG
- 11-14
- 3PT
- 3-4
- FT
- 4-6
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 87.1
- USG%
- 28.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 37
2026-05-23PORHOME23.2MIN9POINTS3 · 0 · 4-6OVER
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 75.0
- USG%
- 11.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -12
- PRA
- 12
2026-05-17LASAWAY20.1MIN7POINTS4 · 4 · 3-4OVER
- FG
- 3-4
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 78.8
- USG%
- 14.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 15
2026-05-15LASAWAY27.5MIN14POINTS9 · 3 · 5-10OVER
- FG
- 5-10
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 5/4
- TS%
- 59.5
- USG%
- 18.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 26
2026-05-13SEAHOME25.6MIN8POINTS5 · 3 · 2-4OVER
- FG
- 2-4
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 4-6
- OREB/DREB
- 2/3
- TS%
- 60.2
- USG%
- 15.2
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 16
2026-05-08WASHOME25.5MIN8POINTS6 · 0 · 3-8OVER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 3/3
- TS%
- 41.0
- USG%
- 17.9
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 14
2025-09-17PHOHOME7.3MIN1POINTS1 · 1 · 0-3UNDER
- FG
- 0-3
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 12.9
- USG%
- 23.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 3
showing 25 of 114 — every rate above is computed over all 114