Paige Bueckers over 22.5 points
She has cleared 22.5 in 25 of 78 games — 32.1%. That rate needs +211 to break even and books have been paying -109.
01
Distribution
78 games · hover a bucket5–10 points · 3 games · 3.8% · under3
10–15 points · 10 games · 12.8% · under10
15–20 points · 22 games · 28.2% · under22
20–25 points · 25 games · 32.1% · under25
25–30 points · 12 games · 15.4% · over12
30–35 points · 4 games · 5.1% · over4
35–40 points · 1 game · 1.3% · over1
40–45 points · 1 game · 1.3% · over1
22.5
UNDER · 53OVER · 25 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 22.5 · hover a bar2026-06-15 · LVA · 10 points · −12.5 vs line
2026-06-17 · GSV · 15 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-06-20 · CHI · 19 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-06-22 · SEA · 27 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-06-25 · LVA · 25 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · MIN · 25 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-07-02 · CON · 25 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-07-05 · TOR · 22 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-07 · NYL · 15 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-07-10 · TOR · 34 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · CHI · 22 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-19 · LAS · 25 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · POR · 21 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-07-29 · ATL · 16 points · −6.5 vs line
2026-07-31 · WAS · 23 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · CON · 6 points · −16.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · WAS · 17 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-07 · GSV · 17 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · MIN · 23 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-12 · TOR · 22 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-14 · IND · 29 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-08-17 · GSV · 21 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-20 · IND · 13 points · −9.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · SEA · 32 points · +9.5 vs line
2026-08-25 · POR · 22 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · CON · 15 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · LAS · 19 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-09-19 · PHO · 26 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-09-21 · PHO · 30 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-09-23 · SEA · 25 points · +2.5 vs line
22.5
2026-06-15— 5-game mean2026-09-23 · newest
03
Recent form
50.0%5/10 · last 10
2026-08-14 · 29 points · OVER
29
2026-08-17 · 21 points · UNDER
21
2026-08-20 · 13 points · UNDER
13
2026-08-23 · 32 points · OVER
32
2026-08-25 · 22 points · UNDER
22
2026-08-30 · 15 points · UNDER
15
2026-09-17 · 19 points · UNDER
19
2026-09-19 · 26 points · OVER
26
2026-09-21 · 30 points · OVER
30
2026-09-23 · 25 points · OVER
25
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 2 postings22.5-109
best offered22.5-104
worst offered22.5-114
our break-even22.5+211
Median -109 across 2 postings over 2 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 78 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 22.5
2026-09-23SEAAWAY29.7MIN25POINTS5 · 7 · 9-15OVER
- FG
- 9-15
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 70.9
- USG%
- 29.3
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +19
- PRA
- 37
2026-09-21PHOAWAY33.2MIN30POINTS5 · 7 · 12-22OVER
- FG
- 12-22
- 3PT
- 4-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 65.6
- USG%
- 31.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 42
2026-09-19PHOHOME31.5MIN26POINTS4 · 5 · 10-19OVER
- FG
- 10-19
- 3PT
- 5-9
- FT
- 1-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 64.0
- USG%
- 32.8
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 35
2026-09-17LASHOME25.6MIN19POINTS6 · 3 · 8-13UNDER
- FG
- 8-13
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 68.4
- USG%
- 28.2
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 28
2026-08-30CONHOME25.4MIN15POINTS2 · 6 · 6-13UNDER
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 54.0
- USG%
- 27.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +27
- PRA
- 23
2026-08-25PORHOME32.8MIN22POINTS4 · 11 · 8-15UNDER
- FG
- 8-15
- 3PT
- 3-7
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 67.4
- USG%
- 24.4
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +26
- PRA
- 37
2026-08-23SEAHOME26.2MIN32POINTS4 · 4 · 12-16OVER
- FG
- 12-16
- 3PT
- 6-6
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 94.8
- USG%
- 35.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 40
2026-08-20INDHOME34.7MIN13POINTS6 · 8 · 5-16UNDER
- FG
- 5-16
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 36.6
- USG%
- 22.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -1
- PRA
- 27
2026-08-17GSVAWAY33.5MIN21POINTS2 · 3 · 8-18UNDER
- FG
- 8-18
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 53.1
- USG%
- 39.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 7
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 26
2026-08-14INDAWAY36.5MIN29POINTS6 · 6 · 11-21OVER
- FG
- 11-21
- 3PT
- 2-6
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 62.5
- USG%
- 30.4
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -7
- PRA
- 41
2026-08-12TORHOME34.5MIN22POINTS3 · 8 · 7-18UNDER
- FG
- 7-18
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 7-7
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 52.2
- USG%
- 28.3
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 33
2026-08-09MINAWAY31.4MIN23POINTS4 · 8 · 10-15OVER
- FG
- 10-15
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 72.4
- USG%
- 30.7
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 35
2026-08-07GSVHOME28.9MIN17POINTS1 · 1 · 6-12UNDER
- FG
- 6-12
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 61.8
- USG%
- 23.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -19
- PRA
- 19
2026-08-05WASAWAY37.1MIN17POINTS5 · 4 · 6-15UNDER
- FG
- 6-15
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 53.5
- USG%
- 19.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 26
2026-08-02CONHOME24.8MIN6POINTS3 · 4 · 3-9UNDER
- FG
- 3-9
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 33.3
- USG%
- 18.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +21
- PRA
- 13
2026-07-31WASAWAY33.8MIN23POINTS5 · 2 · 9-18OVER
- FG
- 9-18
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 59.5
- USG%
- 28.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 30
2026-07-29ATLHOME37.1MIN16POINTS4 · 6 · 6-11UNDER
- FG
- 6-11
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 3-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 60.6
- USG%
- 21.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 26
2026-07-22PORAWAY37.3MIN21POINTS4 · 5 · 7-17UNDER
- FG
- 7-17
- 3PT
- 4-7
- FT
- 3-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 54.7
- USG%
- 24.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 30
2026-07-19LASHOME32.0MIN25POINTS4 · 5 · 10-18OVER
- FG
- 10-18
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 3/1
- TS%
- 64.7
- USG%
- 31.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 34
2026-07-12CHIHOME36.0MIN22POINTS6 · 11 · 7-15UNDER
- FG
- 7-15
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 7-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 59.4
- USG%
- 24.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 39
2026-07-10TORAWAY37.8MIN34POINTS6 · 6 · 13-22OVER
- FG
- 13-22
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 69.0
- USG%
- 30.4
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 46
2026-07-07NYLAWAY33.4MIN15POINTS7 · 6 · 5-15UNDER
- FG
- 5-15
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 44.7
- USG%
- 23.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +15
- PRA
- 28
2026-07-05TORAWAY30.5MIN22POINTS3 · 7 · 9-16UNDER
- FG
- 9-16
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 63.5
- USG%
- 27.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +25
- PRA
- 32
2026-07-02CONAWAY36.7MIN25POINTS7 · 7 · 9-14OVER
- FG
- 9-14
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 75.1
- USG%
- 25.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 39
2026-06-28MINHOME36.4MIN25POINTS3 · 4 · 10-17OVER
- FG
- 10-17
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 68.2
- USG%
- 25.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 32
showing 25 of 78 — every rate above is computed over all 78