Rae Burrell over 16.5 points
She has cleared 16.5 in 24 of 140 games — 17.1%. That rate needs +483 to break even and books have been paying +100.
01
Distribution
140 games · hover a bucket0–2.5 points · 34 games · 24.3% · under34
2.5–5 points · 18 games · 12.9% · under18
5–7.5 points · 22 games · 15.7% · under22
7.5–10 points · 14 games · 10.0% · under14
10–12.5 points · 17 games · 12.1% · under17
12.5–15 points · 6 games · 4.3% · under6
15–17.5 points · 9 games · 6.4% · under9
17.5–20 points · 8 games · 5.7% · over8
20–22.5 points · 8 games · 5.7% · over8
22.5–25 points · 3 games · 2.1% · over3
27.5–30 points · 1 game · 0.7% · over1
16.5
UNDER · 116OVER · 24 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 16.5 · hover a bar2026-06-15 · GSV · 13 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-06-17 · MIN · 19 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-06-21 · NYL · 19 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-06-25 · TOR · 17 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-06-27 · IND · 11 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-07-06 · SEA · 5 points · −11.5 vs line
2026-07-08 · IND · 22 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-07-10 · CHI · 17 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-07-13 · ATL · 18 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-07-15 · MIN · 24 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-07-17 · CHI · 9 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-07-19 · DAL · 9 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · PHO · 20 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-07-28 · NYL · 24 points · +7.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · POR · 12 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · CHI · 13 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-08-06 · MIN · 17 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · GSV · 9 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-08-11 · PHO · 19 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-13 · NYL · 28 points · +11.5 vs line
2026-08-15 · WAS · 20 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-18 · CON · 19 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-20 · ATL · 12 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-08-22 · CON · 20 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-28 · WAS · 15 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · SEA · 22 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-09-17 · DAL · 12 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-09-20 · POR · 20 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · LVA · 11 points · −5.5 vs line
2026-09-24 · GSV · 15 points · −1.5 vs line
16.5
2026-06-15— 5-game mean2026-09-24 · newest
03
Recent form
50.0%5/10 · last 10
2026-08-15 · 20 points · OVER
20
2026-08-18 · 19 points · OVER
19
2026-08-20 · 12 points · UNDER
12
2026-08-22 · 20 points · OVER
20
2026-08-28 · 15 points · UNDER
15
2026-08-30 · 22 points · OVER
22
2026-09-17 · 12 points · UNDER
12
2026-09-20 · 20 points · OVER
20
2026-09-22 · 11 points · UNDER
11
2026-09-24 · 15 points · UNDER
15
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 9 postings16.5+100
best offered16.5+106
worst offered16.5-122
our break-even16.5+483
Median +100 across 9 postings over 6 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 140 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 16.5
2026-09-24GSVHOME33.7MIN15POINTS4 · 1 · 5-15UNDER
- FG
- 5-15
- 3PT
- 4-6
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 48.6
- USG%
- 21.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 20
2026-09-22LVAAWAY28.6MIN11POINTS1 · 0 · 4-12UNDER
- FG
- 4-12
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 41.3
- USG%
- 28.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 12
2026-09-20PORHOME24.6MIN20POINTS2 · 2 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 8-9
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 83.6
- USG%
- 25.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +19
- PRA
- 24
2026-09-17DALAWAY24.3MIN12POINTS1 · 4 · 5-14UNDER
- FG
- 5-14
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 41.6
- USG%
- 27.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -16
- PRA
- 17
2026-08-30SEAAWAY27.7MIN22POINTS4 · 3 · 7-18OVER
- FG
- 7-18
- 3PT
- 0-6
- FT
- 8-8
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 51.1
- USG%
- 38.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +29
- PRA
- 29
2026-08-28WASHOME29.4MIN15POINTS3 · 3 · 6-12UNDER
- FG
- 6-12
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 58.2
- USG%
- 25.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 21
2026-08-22CONHOME30.1MIN20POINTS2 · 2 · 8-13OVER
- FG
- 8-13
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 67.8
- USG%
- 27.6
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 24
2026-08-20ATLHOME24.9MIN12POINTS2 · 2 · 4-10UNDER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 51.0
- USG%
- 29.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -23
- PRA
- 16
2026-08-18CONAWAY29.8MIN19POINTS1 · 6 · 7-12OVER
- FG
- 7-12
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 4-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 64.9
- USG%
- 26.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 26
2026-08-15WASAWAY34.1MIN20POINTS3 · 3 · 6-12OVER
- FG
- 6-12
- 3PT
- 3-5
- FT
- 5-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 70.4
- USG%
- 23.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 26
2026-08-13NYLAWAY33.3MIN28POINTS3 · 3 · 10-19OVER
- FG
- 10-19
- 3PT
- 5-10
- FT
- 3-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 66.0
- USG%
- 34.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 34
2026-08-11PHOHOME34.9MIN19POINTS3 · 6 · 6-21OVER
- FG
- 6-21
- 3PT
- 0-8
- FT
- 7-8
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 38.7
- USG%
- 29.1
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 28
2026-08-09GSVHOME31.9MIN9POINTS3 · 1 · 4-7UNDER
- FG
- 4-7
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 64.3
- USG%
- 13.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 13
2026-08-06MINAWAY27.6MIN17POINTS2 · 2 · 5-11OVER
- FG
- 5-11
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 66.6
- USG%
- 22.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -11
- PRA
- 21
2026-08-05CHIAWAY31.4MIN13POINTS2 · 5 · 4-8UNDER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 2-4
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 69.7
- USG%
- 17.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 20
2026-08-02PORAWAY29.7MIN12POINTS2 · 4 · 3-8UNDER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 61.5
- USG%
- 16.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 18
2026-07-28NYLHOME33.9MIN24POINTS3 · 3 · 10-17OVER
- FG
- 10-17
- 3PT
- 4-8
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 70.6
- USG%
- 28.5
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 30
2026-07-22PHOHOME33.6MIN20POINTS3 · 2 · 7-16OVER
- FG
- 7-16
- 3PT
- 3-7
- FT
- 3-5
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 54.9
- USG%
- 27.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 25
2026-07-19DALAWAY28.2MIN9POINTS2 · 3 · 4-6UNDER
- FG
- 4-6
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 75.0
- USG%
- 14.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -6
- PRA
- 14
2026-07-17CHIAWAY31.3MIN9POINTS1 · 5 · 3-7UNDER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 3-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 48.9
- USG%
- 15.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -21
- PRA
- 15
2026-07-15MINAWAY33.1MIN24POINTS4 · 2 · 8-14OVER
- FG
- 8-14
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 72.1
- USG%
- 26.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 30
2026-07-13ATLAWAY32.8MIN18POINTS4 · 4 · 5-9OVER
- FG
- 5-9
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 77.3
- USG%
- 18.1
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 26
2026-07-10CHIHOME33.1MIN17POINTS1 · 4 · 6-13OVER
- FG
- 6-13
- 3PT
- 4-6
- FT
- 1-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 59.4
- USG%
- 23.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 22
2026-07-08INDHOME35.5MIN22POINTS3 · 3 · 9-15OVER
- FG
- 9-15
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 67.4
- USG%
- 22.0
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 28
2026-07-06SEAHOME24.6MIN5POINTS1 · 0 · 2-11UNDER
- FG
- 2-11
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 21.0
- USG%
- 28.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -20
- PRA
- 6
showing 25 of 140 — every rate above is computed over all 140