Sonia Citron over 15.5 points
She has cleared 15.5 in 42 of 84 games — 50.0%. That rate needs +100 to break even and books have been paying -128.
01
Distribution
84 games · hover a bucket0–2.5 points · 1 game · 1.2% · under1
5–7.5 points · 5 games · 6.0% · under5
7.5–10 points · 5 games · 6.0% · under5
10–12.5 points · 14 games · 16.7% · under14
12.5–15 points · 14 games · 16.7% · under14
15–17.5 points · 16 games · 19.0% · under16
17.5–20 points · 10 games · 11.9% · over10
20–22.5 points · 10 games · 11.9% · over10
22.5–25 points · 1 game · 1.2% · over1
25–27.5 points · 4 games · 4.8% · over4
27.5–30 points · 2 games · 2.4% · over2
30–32.5 points · 2 games · 2.4% · over2
15.5
UNDER · 42OVER · 42 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 15.5 · hover a bar2026-06-14 · NYL · 12 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-06-17 · CON · 26 points · +10.5 vs line
2026-06-19 · NYL · 16 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-06-21 · MIN · 21 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-06-24 · MIN · 28 points · +12.5 vs line
2026-06-26 · CON · 11 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · POR · 32 points · +16.5 vs line
2026-07-12 · SEA · 19 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-07-14 · TOR · 2 points · −13.5 vs line
2026-07-16 · POR · 8 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-07-18 · GSV · 12 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-07-20 · GSV · 17 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-07-22 · LVA · 20 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-07-28 · CON · 22 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-07-31 · DAL · 16 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-05 · DAL · 12 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-08-07 · ATL · 14 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · PHO · 19 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-11 · LVA · 19 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-13 · LVA · 17 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-15 · LAS · 21 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-08-19 · TOR · 13 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-08-21 · MIN · 11 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-08-23 · POR · 14 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-08-25 · PHO · 19 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-08-27 · PHO · 8 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-08-28 · LAS · 22 points · +6.5 vs line
2026-09-20 · IND · 16 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · CON · 12 points · −3.5 vs line
2026-09-24 · CHI · 21 points · +5.5 vs line
15.5
2026-06-14— 5-game mean2026-09-24 · newest
03
Recent form
50.0%5/10 · last 10
2026-08-15 · 21 points · OVER
21
2026-08-19 · 13 points · UNDER
13
2026-08-21 · 11 points · UNDER
11
2026-08-23 · 14 points · UNDER
14
2026-08-25 · 19 points · OVER
19
2026-08-27 · 8 points · UNDER
8
2026-08-28 · 22 points · OVER
22
2026-09-20 · 16 points · OVER
16
2026-09-22 · 12 points · UNDER
12
2026-09-24 · 21 points · OVER
21
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 6 postings15.5-128
best offered15.5-128
worst offered15.5-128
our break-even15.5+100
Median -128 across 6 postings over 2 games. Her rate has never been worth that price.
05
Game log
25 of 84 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 15.5
2026-09-24CHIHOME28.3MIN21POINTS5 · 5 · 8-9OVER
- FG
- 8-9
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 3-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/5
- TS%
- 101.7
- USG%
- 15.2
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +19
- PRA
- 31
2026-09-22CONHOME30.5MIN12POINTS5 · 3 · 3-9UNDER
- FG
- 3-9
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 6-6
- OREB/DREB
- 1/4
- TS%
- 51.5
- USG%
- 18.9
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 20
2026-09-20INDAWAY33.0MIN16POINTS4 · 9 · 7-12OVER
- FG
- 7-12
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 66.7
- USG%
- 20.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 29
2026-08-28LASAWAY32.1MIN22POINTS3 · 4 · 9-18OVER
- FG
- 9-18
- 3PT
- 4-7
- FT
- 0-1
- OREB/DREB
- 3/0
- TS%
- 59.7
- USG%
- 29.5
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 29
2026-08-27PHOAWAY33.1MIN8POINTS3 · 4 · 3-7UNDER
- FG
- 3-7
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 50.8
- USG%
- 12.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +9
- PRA
- 15
2026-08-25PHOAWAY29.5MIN19POINTS1 · 9 · 5-10OVER
- FG
- 5-10
- 3PT
- 3-6
- FT
- 6-7
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 72.6
- USG%
- 23.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 29
2026-08-23PORAWAY32.6MIN14POINTS3 · 6 · 4-5UNDER
- FG
- 4-5
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 6-8
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 82.2
- USG%
- 13.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 23
2026-08-21MINHOME29.5MIN11POINTS1 · 5 · 4-8UNDER
- FG
- 4-8
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 61.9
- USG%
- 21.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 5
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -9
- PRA
- 17
2026-08-19TORHOME28.6MIN13POINTS5 · 6 · 3-9UNDER
- FG
- 3-9
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 6-7
- OREB/DREB
- 3/2
- TS%
- 53.8
- USG%
- 19.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +19
- PRA
- 24
2026-08-15LASHOME34.2MIN21POINTS6 · 8 · 8-14OVER
- FG
- 8-14
- 3PT
- 4-5
- FT
- 1-1
- OREB/DREB
- 3/3
- TS%
- 72.7
- USG%
- 21.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +12
- PRA
- 35
2026-08-13LVAAWAY34.4MIN17POINTS3 · 8 · 8-14OVER
- FG
- 8-14
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 60.7
- USG%
- 23.8
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -2
- PRA
- 28
2026-08-11LVAAWAY33.1MIN19POINTS7 · 2 · 7-15OVER
- FG
- 7-15
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 2/5
- TS%
- 56.7
- USG%
- 26.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -13
- PRA
- 28
2026-08-09PHOHOME27.3MIN19POINTS4 · 6 · 7-9OVER
- FG
- 7-9
- 3PT
- 5-6
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/3
- TS%
- 105.6
- USG%
- 16.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +31
- PRA
- 29
2026-08-07ATLHOME32.5MIN14POINTS3 · 3 · 5-10UNDER
- FG
- 5-10
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 2-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 59.5
- USG%
- 19.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 20
2026-08-05DALHOME36.5MIN12POINTS2 · 3 · 4-11UNDER
- FG
- 4-11
- 3PT
- 1-6
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 47.0
- USG%
- 17.0
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 17
2026-07-31DALHOME35.6MIN16POINTS5 · 5 · 3-18OVER
- FG
- 3-18
- 3PT
- 0-5
- FT
- 10-10
- OREB/DREB
- 3/2
- TS%
- 35.7
- USG%
- 27.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 3
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +8
- PRA
- 26
2026-07-28CONHOME33.9MIN22POINTS3 · 4 · 6-9OVER
- FG
- 6-9
- 3PT
- 2-2
- FT
- 8-9
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 84.9
- USG%
- 19.7
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 29
2026-07-22LVAHOME31.7MIN20POINTS4 · 8 · 7-16OVER
- FG
- 7-16
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 3/1
- TS%
- 53.6
- USG%
- 31.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 6
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +3
- PRA
- 32
2026-07-20GSVAWAY32.0MIN17POINTS2 · 6 · 5-12OVER
- FG
- 5-12
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 7-7
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 56.4
- USG%
- 26.2
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 25
2026-07-18GSVAWAY29.7MIN12POINTS1 · 4 · 5-6UNDER
- FG
- 5-6
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 1-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 87.2
- USG%
- 17.3
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -10
- PRA
- 17
2026-07-16PORHOME29.3MIN8POINTS6 · 3 · 2-8UNDER
- FG
- 2-8
- 3PT
- 0-5
- FT
- 4-4
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 41.0
- USG%
- 17.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -15
- PRA
- 17
2026-07-14TORAWAY31.0MIN2POINTS2 · 4 · 1-6UNDER
- FG
- 1-6
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 16.7
- USG%
- 11.1
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +19
- PRA
- 8
2026-07-12SEAHOME32.8MIN19POINTS4 · 1 · 7-13OVER
- FG
- 7-13
- 3PT
- 1-4
- FT
- 4-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/4
- TS%
- 62.5
- USG%
- 22.8
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +2
- PRA
- 24
2026-06-28PORHOME52.6MIN32POINTS6 · 4 · 9-20OVER
- FG
- 9-20
- 3PT
- 1-7
- FT
- 13-14
- OREB/DREB
- 0/6
- TS%
- 61.2
- USG%
- 29.3
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 8
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 42
2026-06-26CONAWAY30.5MIN11POINTS6 · 3 · 2-10UNDER
- FG
- 2-10
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 7-7
- OREB/DREB
- 2/4
- TS%
- 42.0
- USG%
- 22.7
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 20
showing 25 of 84 — every rate above is computed over all 84