Tiffany Hayes over 9.5 points
She has cleared 9.5 in 100 of 165 games — 60.6%. That rate needs -154 to break even and books have been paying -108.
01
Distribution
165 games · hover a bucket0–2.5 points · 12 games · 7.3% · under12
2.5–5 points · 12 games · 7.3% · under12
5–7.5 points · 27 games · 16.4% · under27
7.5–10 points · 14 games · 8.5% · under14
10–12.5 points · 40 games · 24.2% · over40
12.5–15 points · 18 games · 10.9% · over18
15–17.5 points · 19 games · 11.5% · over19
17.5–20 points · 8 games · 4.8% · over8
20–22.5 points · 10 games · 6.1% · over10
22.5–25 points · 2 games · 1.2% · over2
27.5–30 points · 1 game · 0.6% · over1
30–32.5 points · 2 games · 1.2% · over2
9.5
UNDER · 65OVER · 100 · filled bars clear the line
02
Recent games
points · line 9.5 · hover a bar2026-06-17 · DAL · 10 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-06-19 · MIN · 2 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-06-21 · LVA · 7 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-06-24 · ATL · 0 points · −9.5 vs line
2026-06-26 · ATL · 12 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-06-28 · NYL · 8 points · −1.5 vs line
2026-07-04 · ATL · 5 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-07-06 · WAS · 9 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-08 · TOR · 2 points · −7.5 vs line
2026-07-10 · CON · 9 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-07-15 · IND · 13 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-07-18 · WAS · 7 points · −2.5 vs line
2026-07-20 · WAS · 0 points · −9.5 vs line
2026-07-29 · PHO · 11 points · +1.5 vs line
2026-08-02 · TOR · 15 points · +5.5 vs line
2026-08-04 · TOR · 12 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-07 · DAL · 9 points · −0.5 vs line
2026-08-09 · LAS · 14 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-12 · CHI · 22 points · +12.5 vs line
2026-08-17 · DAL · 10 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-19 · MIN · 12 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-21 · CHI · 10 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-08-24 · MIN · 14 points · +4.5 vs line
2026-08-26 · CON · 5 points · −4.5 vs line
2026-08-27 · NYL · 12 points · +2.5 vs line
2026-08-30 · POR · 18 points · +8.5 vs line
2026-09-18 · POR · 13 points · +3.5 vs line
2026-09-19 · SEA · 10 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-09-22 · POR · 10 points · +0.5 vs line
2026-09-24 · LAS · 6 points · −3.5 vs line
9.5
2026-06-17— 5-game mean2026-09-24 · newest
03
Recent form
80.0%8/10 · last 10
2026-08-19 · 12 points · OVER
12
2026-08-21 · 10 points · OVER
10
2026-08-24 · 14 points · OVER
14
2026-08-26 · 5 points · UNDER
5
2026-08-27 · 12 points · OVER
12
2026-08-30 · 18 points · OVER
18
2026-09-18 · 13 points · OVER
13
2026-09-19 · 10 points · OVER
10
2026-09-22 · 10 points · OVER
10
2026-09-24 · 6 points · UNDER
6
A 10-game window cannot resolve a gap under roughly 22 points of hit rate. Form is context, not evidence.
04
Market history
median · 13 postings9.5-108
best offered9.5+110
worst offered9.5-120
our break-even9.5-154
Median -108 across 13 postings over 3 games. That price clears what her rate needs.
05
Game log
25 of 165 · click a row for the box scoreDATE
OPP
H/A
MIN
POINTS
REB · AST · FG
VS 9.5
2026-09-24LASAWAY11.7MIN6POINTS1 · 0 · 2-6UNDER
- FG
- 2-6
- 3PT
- 0-1
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 41.0
- USG%
- 36.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -5
- PRA
- 7
2026-09-22PORAWAY26.3MIN10POINTS0 · 3 · 3-10OVER
- FG
- 3-10
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 42.5
- USG%
- 23.9
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -14
- PRA
- 13
2026-09-19SEAHOME19.0MIN10POINTS2 · 6 · 4-5OVER
- FG
- 4-5
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 1-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 79.1
- USG%
- 25.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 4
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 18
2026-09-18PORHOME24.6MIN13POINTS3 · 7 · 6-14OVER
- FG
- 6-14
- 3PT
- 0-4
- FT
- 1-3
- OREB/DREB
- 1/2
- TS%
- 42.4
- USG%
- 30.0
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +21
- PRA
- 23
2026-08-30PORAWAY20.9MIN18POINTS6 · 3 · 7-12OVER
- FG
- 7-12
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 69.9
- USG%
- 35.0
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +21
- PRA
- 27
2026-08-27NYLAWAY13.4MIN12POINTS2 · 0 · 3-5OVER
- FG
- 3-5
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 5-6
- OREB/DREB
- 0/2
- TS%
- 78.5
- USG%
- 31.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +6
- PRA
- 14
2026-08-26CONAWAY3.0MIN5POINTS0 · 0 · 2-3UNDER
- FG
- 2-3
- 3PT
- 1-1
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 83.3
- USG%
- 49.6
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 5
2026-08-24MINAWAY18.3MIN14POINTS3 · 4 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 2/1
- TS%
- 78.8
- USG%
- 29.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +13
- PRA
- 21
2026-08-21CHIAWAY29.6MIN10POINTS7 · 4 · 3-10OVER
- FG
- 3-10
- 3PT
- 0-2
- FT
- 4-8
- OREB/DREB
- 1/6
- TS%
- 37.0
- USG%
- 23.6
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- 0
- PRA
- 21
2026-08-19MINHOME24.8MIN12POINTS7 · 2 · 5-12OVER
- FG
- 5-12
- 3PT
- 0-5
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 4/3
- TS%
- 46.6
- USG%
- 26.5
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 2
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -8
- PRA
- 21
2026-08-17DALHOME19.6MIN10POINTS4 · 1 · 4-11OVER
- FG
- 4-11
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 2/2
- TS%
- 45.5
- USG%
- 27.4
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 15
2026-08-12CHIHOME17.4MIN22POINTS6 · 5 · 8-11OVER
- FG
- 8-11
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 5-7
- OREB/DREB
- 1/5
- TS%
- 78.1
- USG%
- 42.7
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +23
- PRA
- 33
2026-08-09LASAWAY18.7MIN14POINTS3 · 2 · 5-8OVER
- FG
- 5-8
- 3PT
- 2-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 78.8
- USG%
- 29.6
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- -4
- PRA
- 19
2026-08-07DALAWAY11.6MIN9POINTS1 · 2 · 1-2UNDER
- FG
- 1-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 7-8
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 81.5
- USG%
- 22.1
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 5
- +/−
- +4
- PRA
- 12
2026-08-04TORHOME24.1MIN12POINTS4 · 4 · 4-11OVER
- FG
- 4-11
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 4-6
- OREB/DREB
- 3/1
- TS%
- 44.0
- USG%
- 28.8
- STL
- 4
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 2
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- +14
- PRA
- 20
2026-08-02TORHOME20.5MIN15POINTS3 · 4 · 4-10OVER
- FG
- 4-10
- 3PT
- 1-5
- FT
- 6-7
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 57.3
- USG%
- 33.6
- STL
- 3
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +10
- PRA
- 22
2026-07-29PHOAWAY23.4MIN11POINTS3 · 5 · 4-12OVER
- FG
- 4-12
- 3PT
- 0-5
- FT
- 3-5
- OREB/DREB
- 0/3
- TS%
- 38.7
- USG%
- 28.5
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 4
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 19
2026-07-20WASHOME9.6MIN0POINTS0 · 2 · 0-2UNDER
- FG
- 0-2
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 0.0
- USG%
- 9.8
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +1
- PRA
- 2
2026-07-18WASHOME12.1MIN7POINTS1 · 1 · 2-3UNDER
- FG
- 2-3
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 2-3
- OREB/DREB
- 0/1
- TS%
- 81.0
- USG%
- 23.3
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 9
2026-07-15INDAWAY21.9MIN13POINTS2 · 2 · 3-4OVER
- FG
- 3-4
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 7-7
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 91.8
- USG%
- 22.4
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 3
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +11
- PRA
- 17
2026-07-10CONAWAY16.9MIN9POINTS0 · 5 · 3-3UNDER
- FG
- 3-3
- 3PT
- 0-0
- FT
- 3-4
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 94.5
- USG%
- 14.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +16
- PRA
- 14
2026-07-08TORAWAY18.9MIN2POINTS0 · 3 · 0-3UNDER
- FG
- 0-3
- 3PT
- 0-3
- FT
- 2-2
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 25.8
- USG%
- 9.9
- STL
- 1
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 0
- +/−
- +5
- PRA
- 5
2026-07-06WASAWAY18.9MIN9POINTS2 · 2 · 4-7UNDER
- FG
- 4-7
- 3PT
- 1-3
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/1
- TS%
- 64.3
- USG%
- 21.0
- STL
- 0
- BLK
- 1
- TOV
- 1
- PF
- 1
- +/−
- +18
- PRA
- 13
2026-07-04ATLAWAY12.9MIN5POINTS0 · 1 · 2-7UNDER
- FG
- 2-7
- 3PT
- 1-2
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 0/0
- TS%
- 35.7
- USG%
- 24.5
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 2
- +/−
- -3
- PRA
- 6
2026-06-28NYLHOME17.9MIN8POINTS1 · 2 · 3-8UNDER
- FG
- 3-8
- 3PT
- 2-5
- FT
- 0-0
- OREB/DREB
- 1/0
- TS%
- 50.0
- USG%
- 22.1
- STL
- 2
- BLK
- 0
- TOV
- 0
- PF
- 3
- +/−
- +7
- PRA
- 11
showing 25 of 165 — every rate above is computed over all 165