NBA · WNBA · season-long player prop tape

Market Memory.

What the prop market changed its mind about—consensus lines beside official results, with the biggest pivots and their timestamped context candidates surfaced first.

How to read it

Orange is the market's close. Green is what the player actually did. A context flag is a lead to investigate, never proof that one event caused the move.

2024-25
Coverage window
430
Players
1,309
Games
195,003
Line observations

Coverage note: actual join coverage incomplete · candidate context coverage incomplete · pregame coverage incomplete

Largest verified pivots · NBA · 2024-25 · Points

The market moved. The tape remembers.

Season pivot compares the latest eligible consensus close with the median of earlier eligible game closes. Each chart keeps within-game open/close history separate from that cross-game trend.

01

nba · points

Spencer Dinwiddie

23 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline8
Latest close16.5
Season pivot+8.5
Latest actual2
Dec 15Jan 3

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

02

nba · points

Shake Milton

5 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline7
Latest close14.5
Season pivot+7.5
Latest actual16
Nov 25Dec 27

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

03

nba · points

Jared McCain

13 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline19
Latest close12.5
Season pivot-6.5
Latest actual5
Nov 18Dec 13

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

04

nba · points

Jalen Suggs

35 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline16.5
Latest close22.5
Season pivot+6.0
Latest actual6
Dec 10Jan 3

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

05

nba · points

Jonathan Kuminga

31 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline15.5
Latest close21.5
Season pivot+6.0
Latest actual13
Dec 11Jan 4

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

06

nba · points

Zach Collins

14 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline6.5
Latest close12.5
Season pivot+6.0
Latest actual9
Nov 4Dec 5

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

07

nba · points

Ausar Thompson

4 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline6.5
Latest close11.5
Season pivot+5.0
Latest actual4
Dec 21Jan 3

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

08

nba · points

D'Angelo Russell

30 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline13.5
Latest close18.5
Season pivot+5.0
Latest actual5
Dec 6Jan 4

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

09

nba · points

Dario Saric

2 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline5.5
Latest close10.5
Season pivot+5.0
Latest actual8
Oct 24Nov 19

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

10

nba · points

Jaren Jackson Jr

33 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline20.5
Latest close25.5
Season pivot+5.0
Latest actual23
Dec 15Jan 4

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

11

nba · points

Miles Bridges

20 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline17.5
Latest close22.5
Season pivot+5.0
Latest actual20
Dec 8Jan 3

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

12

nba · points

Trey Murphy III

22 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline17.5
Latest close22.5
Season pivot+5.0
Latest actual17
Dec 12Jan 3

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

13

nba · points

Immanuel Quickley

5 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline15
Latest close19.5
Season pivot+4.5
Latest actual11
Oct 23Jan 3

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

14

nba · points

Brandon Ingram

18 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline23.5
Latest close19.5
Season pivot-4.0
Latest actual5
Nov 6Dec 7

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

15

nba · points

Jaden Hardy

4 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline13.5
Latest close9.5
Season pivot-4.0
Latest actual17
Nov 22Jan 3

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

16

nba · points

Jalen Wilson

30 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline8.5
Latest close12.5
Season pivot+4.0
Latest actual11
Dec 16Jan 4

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

17

nba · points

Jaxson Hayes

8 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline4.5
Latest close8.5
Season pivot+4.0
Latest actual4
Oct 22Jan 2

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

18

nba · points

Jaylen Wells

28 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline10.5
Latest close14.5
Season pivot+4.0
Latest actual8
Dec 15Jan 4

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

19

nba · points

Jose Alvarado

9 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline10.5
Latest close14.5
Season pivot+4.0
Latest actual3
Oct 23Nov 11

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

20

nba · points

Keon Ellis

18 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline5.5
Latest close9.5
Season pivot+4.0
Latest actual13
Nov 24Jan 3

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

21

nba · points

Kyle Kuzma

15 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline18.5
Latest close14.5
Season pivot-4.0
Latest actual14
Nov 15Jan 3

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

22

nba · points

Mark Williams

7 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline9.5
Latest close13.5
Season pivot+4.0
Latest actual18
Dec 16Jan 3

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

23

nba · points

P.J. Washington

29 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline12.5
Latest close16.5
Season pivot+4.0
Latest actual15
Dec 15Jan 3

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

24

nba · points

Quentin Grimes

21 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline9.5
Latest close13.5
Season pivot+4.0
Latest actual26
Dec 10Jan 3

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

25

nba · points

Trayce Jackson-Davis

26 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline8.5
Latest close12.5
Season pivot+4.0
Latest actual11
Nov 27Jan 4

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

26

nba · points

Trey Lyles

17 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline5.5
Latest close9.5
Season pivot+4.0
Latest actual16
Nov 13Jan 3

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

27

nba · points

Tristan da Silva

27 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline8.5
Latest close12.5
Season pivot+4.0
Latest actual25
Dec 10Jan 3

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

28

nba · points

Ty Jerome

6 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline9.5
Latest close5.5
Season pivot-4.0
Latest actual9
Nov 24Jan 3

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

29

nba · points

Cody Williams

11 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline6
Latest close2.5
Season pivot-3.5
Latest actual8
Oct 28Nov 17

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

30

nba · points

Neemias Queta

9 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline8
Latest close4.5
Season pivot-3.5
Latest actual8
Nov 4Jan 2

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

31

nba · points

Brook Lopez

32 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline12.5
Latest close9.5
Season pivot-3.0
Latest actual5
Dec 8Jan 4

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

32

nba · points

Cam Whitmore

2 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline8.5
Latest close11.5
Season pivot+3.0
Latest actual4
Oct 23Dec 27

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

33

nba · points

Dalano Banton

10 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline10.5
Latest close7.5
Season pivot-3.0
Latest actual2
Nov 13Jan 2

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

34

nba · points

Dalton Knecht

28 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline10.5
Latest close7.5
Season pivot-3.0
Latest actual13
Dec 4Jan 3

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

35

nba · points

De'Andre Hunter

20 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline15.5
Latest close18.5
Season pivot+3.0
Latest actual18
Dec 6Jan 4

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

36

nba · points

De'Anthony Melton

2 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline7.5
Latest close10.5
Season pivot+3.0
Latest actual14
Oct 27Nov 12

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

37

nba · points

Deni Avdija

31 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline11.5
Latest close14.5
Season pivot+3.0
Latest actual19
Dec 13Jan 4

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

38

nba · points

Donovan Clingan

11 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline7.5
Latest close4.5
Season pivot-3.0
Latest actual4
Nov 13Jan 4

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

39

nba · points

Eric Gordon

5 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline9.5
Latest close6.5
Season pivot-3.0
Latest actual1
Oct 23Nov 6

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

40

nba · points

Goga Bitadze

28 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline9.5
Latest close12.5
Season pivot+3.0
Latest actual11
Dec 10Jan 3

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

41

nba · points

Jaime Jaquez Jr

25 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline8.5
Latest close11.5
Season pivot+3.0
Latest actual13
Dec 16Jan 4

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

42

nba · points

Javonte Green

15 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline7.5
Latest close4.5
Season pivot-3.0
Latest actual0
Nov 15Dec 27

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

43

nba · points

Kevin Porter Jr.

23 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline11.5
Latest close8.5
Season pivot-3.0
Latest actual15
Nov 29Jan 4

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

44

nba · points

Kris Murray

4 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline5.5
Latest close2.5
Season pivot-3.0
Latest actual4
Oct 30Jan 4

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

45

nba · points

Kyle Lowry

12 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline6.5
Latest close3.5
Season pivot-3.0
Latest actual5
Oct 27Dec 25

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

46

nba · points

Malik Monk

28 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline15.5
Latest close18.5
Season pivot+3.0
Latest actual31
Dec 12Jan 3

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

47

nba · points

Nick Richards

14 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline10.5
Latest close7.5
Season pivot-3.0
Latest actual2
Nov 1Dec 30

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

48

nba · points

Scotty Pippen Jr

25 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline10.5
Latest close13.5
Season pivot+3.0
Latest actual12
Dec 8Jan 4

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

49

nba · points

Stephon Castle

31 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline10.5
Latest close7.5
Season pivot-3.0
Latest actual10
Dec 8Jan 4

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

50

nba · points

Tre Mann

7 eligible games in this series

Prior baseline12.5
Latest close9.5
Season pivot-3.0
Latest actual19
Oct 25Nov 19

Possible context · association, not cause

No timestamped context has cleared validation for this pivot.

Public tape · evidence before explanation

Built to show its work.

Each sportsbook gets one vote in the consensus. Live and post-tip rows are excluded. Pushes and verified DNP voids stay distinct; unresolved games are left ungraded. Legacy openers and identity gaps are labeled instead of silently blended in.

Read the grading method