WNBA · season-long player prop tape

Market Memory.

Tracked prop shifts are shown with the game, closing line, actual, and outcome when those fields join cleanly. Missing or ambiguous game links stay labeled.

Browse WNBA game archive

How to read it

Game header identifies the team, opponent, and full date.
Prior baseline names the feed's method and the number of earlier games behind it.
Latest close is the market's adjustment.
Outcome vs close compares the recorded actual with the closing line when both are available.
Outcome exception separates early exits from normal performance.

Updated Aug 8, 2026

2025

Coverage window

107

Players

301

Games

13,394

Line observations

Coverage note: Some recorded actuals or outcomes are still joining · Some pre-tip context is unavailable

Recent verified shifts · Sep 27–Oct 10 · WNBA · 2025 · Points

What changed lately—and where did the actual land?

Showing up to 20 player series whose latest dated market row falls in the newest 14-day window. This is historical context; today's call still needs the current schedule, role, and line.

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Phoenix Mercury
Opponent: Las Vegas Aces · home
Game date: Oct 10, 2025
Player prop: points

#01 · Line rise

wnba · points

Kahleah Copper

39 market games in this series

Market expectation

15.5prior baseline

19.5latest close

Median consensus close across 38 prior games

Line rose 4

Outcome vs closing line

30 points · OVER by 10.5

Game summary

Against Las Vegas Aces on Oct 10, 2025, Kahleah Copper recorded 30 points against a 19.5 closing line, finishing 10.5 over. The market had raised the line 4 from the prior baseline of 15.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 3.7 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Kahleah Copper · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 28	Phoenix Mercury	Minnesota Lynx	—	15.5	13	UNDER 2.5	Included
Oct 3	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	16.5	21	OVER 4.5	Included
Oct 5	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	16.5	23	OVER 6.5	Included
Oct 8	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	17.5	17	UNDER 0.5	Included
Oct 10	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	19.5	30	OVER 10.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Phoenix Mercury
Opponent: Las Vegas Aces · home
Game date: Oct 10, 2025
Player prop: points

#02 · Line rise

wnba · points

DeWanna Bonner

25 market games in this series

Market expectation

10prior baseline

13.5latest close

Median consensus close across 24 prior games

Line rose 3.5

Outcome vs closing line

10 points · UNDER by 3.5

Game summary

Against Las Vegas Aces on Oct 10, 2025, DeWanna Bonner recorded 10 points against a 13.5 closing line, finishing 3.5 under. The market had raised the line 3.5 from the prior baseline of 10.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 2.9 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

DeWanna Bonner · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 28	Phoenix Mercury	Minnesota Lynx	—	8.5	13	OVER 4.5	Included
Oct 3	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	8.5	10	OVER 1.5	Included
Oct 5	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	8.5	4	UNDER 4.5	Included
Oct 8	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	8.5	25	OVER 16.5	Included
Oct 10	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	13.5	10	UNDER 3.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Las Vegas Aces
Opponent: Phoenix Mercury · away
Game date: Oct 10, 2025
Player prop: points

#03 · Line rise

wnba · points

A'ja Wilson

51 market games in this series

Market expectation

23.5prior baseline

25.5latest close

Median consensus close across 50 prior games

Line rose 2

Outcome vs closing line

31 points · OVER by 5.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Oct 10, 2025, A'ja Wilson recorded 31 points against a 25.5 closing line, finishing 5.5 over. The market had raised the line 2 from the prior baseline of 23.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 4.5 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

A'ja Wilson · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 30	Las Vegas Aces	Indiana Fever	—	25.5	35	OVER 9.5	Included
Oct 3	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	25.5	21	UNDER 4.5	Included
Oct 5	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	25.5	28	OVER 2.5	Included
Oct 8	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	24.5	34	OVER 9.5	Included
Oct 10	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	25.5	31	OVER 5.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Phoenix Mercury
Opponent: Las Vegas Aces · home
Game date: Oct 10, 2025
Player prop: points

#04 · Line rise

wnba · points

Alyssa Thomas

49 market games in this series

Market expectation

14.5prior baseline

16.5latest close

Median consensus close across 48 prior games

Line rose 2

Outcome vs closing line

17 points · OVER by 0.5

Game summary

Against Las Vegas Aces on Oct 10, 2025, Alyssa Thomas recorded 17 points against a 16.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 over. The market had raised the line 2 from the prior baseline of 14.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.5 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Alyssa Thomas · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 28	Phoenix Mercury	Minnesota Lynx	—	15.5	23	OVER 7.5	Included
Oct 3	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	15.5	15	UNDER 0.5	Included
Oct 5	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	14.5	10	UNDER 4.5	Included
Oct 8	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	14.5	14	UNDER 0.5	Included
Oct 10	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	16.5	17	OVER 0.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Las Vegas Aces
Opponent: Phoenix Mercury · away
Game date: Oct 10, 2025
Player prop: points

#05 · Line rise

wnba · points

Jackie Young

55 market games in this series

Market expectation

16.5prior baseline

17.5latest close

Median consensus close across 54 prior games

Line rose 1

Outcome vs closing line

18 points · OVER by 0.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Oct 10, 2025, Jackie Young recorded 18 points against a 17.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 over. The market had raised the line 1 from the prior baseline of 16.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 5.7 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Jackie Young · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 30	Las Vegas Aces	Indiana Fever	—	16.5	32	OVER 15.5	Included
Oct 3	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	16.5	10	UNDER 6.5	Included
Oct 5	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	16.5	32	OVER 15.5	Included
Oct 8	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	17.5	21	OVER 3.5	Included
Oct 10	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	17.5	18	OVER 0.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Las Vegas Aces
Opponent: Phoenix Mercury · away
Game date: Oct 10, 2025
Player prop: points

#06 · Line drop

wnba · points

Jewell Loyd

51 market games in this series

Market expectation

11.5prior baseline

10.5latest close

Median consensus close across 50 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

12 points · OVER by 1.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Oct 10, 2025, Jewell Loyd recorded 12 points against a 10.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 over. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 11.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 3.5 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Jewell Loyd · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 30	Las Vegas Aces	Indiana Fever	—	8.5	8	UNDER 0.5	Included
Oct 3	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	8.5	18	OVER 9.5	Included
Oct 5	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	9.5	9	UNDER 0.5	Included
Oct 8	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	8.5	16	OVER 7.5	Included
Oct 10	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	10.5	12	OVER 1.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Las Vegas Aces
Opponent: Phoenix Mercury · away
Game date: Oct 10, 2025
Player prop: points

#07 · Line drop

wnba · points

NaLyssa Smith

22 market games in this series

Market expectation

8.5prior baseline

7.5latest close

Median consensus close across 21 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

5 points · UNDER by 2.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Oct 10, 2025, NaLyssa Smith recorded 5 points against a 7.5 closing line, finishing 2.5 under. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 8.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 0 over · 5 under

Avg finish: 3.5 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

NaLyssa Smith · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 30	Las Vegas Aces	Indiana Fever	—	8.5	5	UNDER 3.5	Included
Oct 3	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	8.5	4	UNDER 4.5	Included
Oct 5	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	6.5	3	UNDER 3.5	Included
Oct 8	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	5.5	2	UNDER 3.5	Included
Oct 10	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	7.5	5	UNDER 2.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Las Vegas Aces
Opponent: Phoenix Mercury · away
Game date: Oct 10, 2025
Player prop: points

#08 · Line unchanged

wnba · points

Chelsea Gray

55 market games in this series

Market expectation

10.5prior baseline

10.5latest close

Median consensus close across 54 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

18 points · OVER by 7.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Oct 10, 2025, Chelsea Gray recorded 18 points against a 10.5 closing line, finishing 7.5 over. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 10.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 2.3 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Chelsea Gray · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 30	Las Vegas Aces	Indiana Fever	—	10.5	17	OVER 6.5	Included
Oct 3	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	10.5	8	UNDER 2.5	Included
Oct 5	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	10.5	10	UNDER 0.5	Included
Oct 8	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	10.5	11	OVER 0.5	Included
Oct 10	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	10.5	18	OVER 7.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Las Vegas Aces
Opponent: Phoenix Mercury · away
Game date: Oct 10, 2025
Player prop: points

#09 · Line unchanged

wnba · points

Dana Evans

4 market games in this series

Small sample · only 4 market games

Market expectation

7.5prior baseline

7.5latest close

Median consensus close across 3 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

10 points · OVER by 2.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Oct 10, 2025, Dana Evans recorded 10 points against a 7.5 closing line, finishing 2.5 over. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 7.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 4 representative games: 1 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 1 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 4 settled games

Dana Evans · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 30	Las Vegas Aces	Indiana Fever	—	7.5	5	UNDER 2.5	Included
Oct 5	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	7.5	5	UNDER 2.5	Included
Oct 8	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	7.5	6	UNDER 1.5	Included
Oct 10	Las Vegas Aces	Phoenix Mercury	—	7.5	10	OVER 2.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Phoenix Mercury
Opponent: Las Vegas Aces · home
Game date: Oct 10, 2025
Player prop: points

#10 · Line unchanged

wnba · points

Monique Akoa Makani

20 market games in this series

Market expectation

8.5prior baseline

8.5latest close

Median consensus close across 19 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

10 points · OVER by 1.5

Game summary

Against Las Vegas Aces on Oct 10, 2025, Monique Akoa Makani recorded 10 points against a 8.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 over. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 8.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 0.1 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Monique Akoa Makani · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 26	Phoenix Mercury	Minnesota Lynx	—	7.5	8	OVER 0.5	Included
Sep 28	Phoenix Mercury	Minnesota Lynx	—	7.5	3	UNDER 4.5	Included
Oct 5	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	6.5	9	OVER 2.5	Included
Oct 8	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	6.5	6	UNDER 0.5	Included
Oct 10	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	8.5	10	OVER 1.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Phoenix Mercury
Opponent: Las Vegas Aces · home
Game date: Oct 10, 2025
Player prop: points

#11 · Line unchanged

wnba · points

Sami Whitcomb

31 market games in this series

Market expectation

8.5prior baseline

8.5latest close

Median consensus close across 30 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

3 points · UNDER by 5.5

Game summary

Against Las Vegas Aces on Oct 10, 2025, Sami Whitcomb recorded 3 points against a 8.5 closing line, finishing 5.5 under. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 8.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 0 over · 5 under

Avg finish: 4.7 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Sami Whitcomb · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 28	Phoenix Mercury	Minnesota Lynx	—	8.5	6	UNDER 2.5	Included
Oct 3	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	7.5	6	UNDER 1.5	Included
Oct 5	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	7.5	0	UNDER 7.5	Included
Oct 8	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	6.5	0	UNDER 6.5	Included
Oct 10	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	8.5	3	UNDER 5.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Phoenix Mercury
Opponent: Las Vegas Aces · home
Game date: Oct 8, 2025
Player prop: points

#12 · Line rise

wnba · points

Satou Sabally

48 market games in this series

Market expectation

15.5prior baseline

17.5latest close

Median consensus close across 47 prior games

Line rose 2

Outcome vs closing line

24 points · OVER by 6.5

Game summary

Against Las Vegas Aces on Oct 8, 2025, Satou Sabally recorded 24 points against a 17.5 closing line, finishing 6.5 over. The market had raised the line 2 from the prior baseline of 15.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 5 over · 0 under

Avg finish: 5.1 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Satou Sabally · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 26	Phoenix Mercury	Minnesota Lynx	—	15.5	23	OVER 7.5	Included
Sep 28	Phoenix Mercury	Minnesota Lynx	—	16.5	21	OVER 4.5	Included
Oct 3	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	16.5	19	OVER 2.5	Included
Oct 5	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	17.5	22	OVER 4.5	Included
Oct 8	Phoenix Mercury	Las Vegas Aces	—	17.5	24	OVER 6.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Indiana Fever
Opponent: Las Vegas Aces · away
Game date: Sep 30, 2025
Player prop: points

#13 · Line drop

wnba · points

Natasha Howard

47 market games in this series

Market expectation

11.5prior baseline

8.5latest close

Median consensus close across 46 prior games

Line fell 3

Outcome vs closing line

16 points · OVER by 7.5

Game summary

Against Las Vegas Aces on Sep 30, 2025, Natasha Howard recorded 16 points against a 8.5 closing line, finishing 7.5 over. The market had lowered the line 3 from the prior baseline of 11.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.3 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Natasha Howard · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 18	Indiana Fever	Atlanta Dream	—	10.5	12	OVER 1.5	Included
Sep 23	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	10.5	6	UNDER 4.5	Included
Sep 26	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	9.5	5	UNDER 4.5	Included
Sep 28	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	8.5	7	UNDER 1.5	Included
Sep 30	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	8.5	16	OVER 7.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Indiana Fever
Opponent: Las Vegas Aces · away
Game date: Sep 30, 2025
Player prop: points

#14 · Line rise

wnba · points

Kelsey Mitchell

50 market games in this series

Market expectation

19.5prior baseline

21.5latest close

Median consensus close across 49 prior games

Line rose 2

Outcome vs closing line

15 points · UNDER by 6.5

Game summary

Against Las Vegas Aces on Sep 30, 2025, Kelsey Mitchell recorded 15 points against a 21.5 closing line, finishing 6.5 under. The market had raised the line 2 from the prior baseline of 19.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 0.9 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Kelsey Mitchell · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 18	Indiana Fever	Atlanta Dream	—	19.5	24	OVER 4.5	Included
Sep 23	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	20.5	13	UNDER 7.5	Included
Sep 26	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	20.5	21	OVER 0.5	Included
Sep 28	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	20.5	25	OVER 4.5	Included
Sep 30	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	21.5	15	UNDER 6.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Indiana Fever
Opponent: Las Vegas Aces · away
Game date: Sep 30, 2025
Player prop: points

#15 · Line rise

wnba · points

Lexie Hull

25 market games in this series

Market expectation

8.5prior baseline

9.5latest close

Median consensus close across 24 prior games

Line rose 1

Outcome vs closing line

12 points · OVER by 2.5

Game summary

Against Las Vegas Aces on Sep 30, 2025, Lexie Hull recorded 12 points against a 9.5 closing line, finishing 2.5 over. The market had raised the line 1 from the prior baseline of 8.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 3.1 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Lexie Hull · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 18	Indiana Fever	Atlanta Dream	—	8.5	10	OVER 1.5	Included
Sep 23	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	8.5	15	OVER 6.5	Included
Sep 26	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	8.5	16	OVER 7.5	Included
Sep 28	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	9.5	7	UNDER 2.5	Included
Sep 30	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	9.5	12	OVER 2.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Indiana Fever
Opponent: Las Vegas Aces · away
Game date: Sep 30, 2025
Player prop: points

#16 · Line unchanged

wnba · points

Aliyah Boston

50 market games in this series

Market expectation

14.5prior baseline

14.5latest close

Median consensus close across 49 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

11 points · UNDER by 3.5

Game summary

Against Las Vegas Aces on Sep 30, 2025, Aliyah Boston recorded 11 points against a 14.5 closing line, finishing 3.5 under. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 14.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.5 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Aliyah Boston · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 18	Indiana Fever	Atlanta Dream	—	13.5	14	OVER 0.5	Included
Sep 23	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	13.5	10	UNDER 3.5	Included
Sep 26	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	13.5	12	UNDER 1.5	Included
Sep 28	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	13.5	24	OVER 10.5	Included
Sep 30	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	14.5	11	UNDER 3.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Indiana Fever
Opponent: Las Vegas Aces · away
Game date: Sep 30, 2025
Player prop: points

#17 · Line unchanged

wnba · points

Odyssey Sims

21 market games in this series

Market expectation

9.5prior baseline

9.5latest close

Median consensus close across 20 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

27 points · OVER by 17.5

Game summary

Against Las Vegas Aces on Sep 30, 2025, Odyssey Sims recorded 27 points against a 9.5 closing line, finishing 17.5 over. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 9.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 6.2 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Odyssey Sims · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 18	Indiana Fever	Atlanta Dream	—	9.5	16	OVER 6.5	Included
Sep 23	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	10.5	18	OVER 7.5	Included
Sep 26	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	10.5	2	UNDER 8.5	Included
Sep 28	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	10	18	OVER 8	Included
Sep 30	Indiana Fever	Las Vegas Aces	—	9.5	27	OVER 17.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Minnesota Lynx
Opponent: Phoenix Mercury · away
Game date: Sep 28, 2025
Player prop: points

#18 · Line rise

wnba · points

Courtney Williams

47 market games in this series

Market expectation

13.5prior baseline

17.5latest close

Median consensus close across 46 prior games

Line rose 4

Outcome vs closing line

20 points · OVER by 2.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Sep 28, 2025, Courtney Williams recorded 20 points against a 17.5 closing line, finishing 2.5 over. The market had raised the line 4 from the prior baseline of 13.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 2.5 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Courtney Williams · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 17	Minnesota Lynx	Golden State Valkyries	—	12.5	6	UNDER 6.5	Included
Sep 21	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	—	13.5	23	OVER 9.5	Included
Sep 23	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	—	13.5	20	OVER 6.5	Included
Sep 26	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	—	13.5	14	OVER 0.5	Included
Sep 28	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	—	17.5	20	OVER 2.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Minnesota Lynx
Opponent: Phoenix Mercury · away
Game date: Sep 28, 2025
Player prop: points

#19 · Line rise

wnba · points

Kayla McBride

42 market games in this series

Market expectation

14.5prior baseline

16.5latest close

Median consensus close across 41 prior games

Line rose 2

Outcome vs closing line

31 points · OVER by 14.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Sep 28, 2025, Kayla McBride recorded 31 points against a 16.5 closing line, finishing 14.5 over. The market had raised the line 2 from the prior baseline of 14.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 5.9 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Kayla McBride · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Sep 17	Minnesota Lynx	Golden State Valkyries	—	13.5	18	OVER 4.5	Included
Sep 21	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	—	13.5	21	OVER 7.5	Included
Sep 23	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	—	14.5	21	OVER 6.5	Included
Sep 26	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	—	15.5	12	UNDER 3.5	Included
Sep 28	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	—	16.5	31	OVER 14.5	Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game: Minnesota Lynx
Opponent: Phoenix Mercury · away
Game date: Sep 28, 2025
Player prop: points

#20 · Line rise

wnba · points

Jessica Shepard

10 market games in this series

Market expectation

9.5prior baseline

10.5latest close

Median consensus close across 9 prior games

Line rose 1

Outcome vs closing line

14 points · OVER by 3.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Sep 28, 2025, Jessica Shepard recorded 14 points against a 10.5 closing line, finishing 3.5 over. The market had raised the line 1 from the prior baseline of 9.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 3.7 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games

Jessica Shepard · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
Date	Team	Opponent	Minutes	Line	Actual	Outcome vs close	Form use
Aug 19	Minnesota Lynx	New York Liberty	—	9.5	6	UNDER 3.5	Included
Aug 21	Minnesota Lynx	Atlanta Dream	—	9.5	15	OVER 5.5	Included
Aug 22	Minnesota Lynx	Indiana Fever	—	10.5	22	OVER 11.5	Included
Sep 9	Minnesota Lynx	Indiana Fever	—	14.5	16	OVER 1.5	Included
Sep 28	Minnesota Lynx	Phoenix Mercury	—	10.5	14	OVER 3.5	Included

Public tape · evidence before explanation

Built to show its work.

Each sportsbook gets one vote in the consensus. Live and post-tip rows are excluded. Pushes and verified DNP voids stay distinct; unresolved games are left ungraded. Recorded outcomes versus the closing line stay on the market record, while detected early exits are labeled and excluded from normal-exposure form and training. Legacy openers and identity gaps are labeled instead of silently blended in.

Read the grading method