WNBA · season-long player prop tape

Market Memory.

Tracked prop shifts are shown with the game, closing line, actual, and outcome when those fields join cleanly. Missing or ambiguous game links stay labeled.

Browse WNBA game archive

How to read it

  1. Game header identifies the team, opponent, and full date.
  2. Prior baseline names the feed's method and the number of earlier games behind it.
  3. Latest close is the market's adjustment.
  4. Outcome vs close compares the recorded actual with the closing line when both are available.
  5. Outcome exception separates early exits from normal performance.
2026
Coverage window
124
Players
297
Games
89,466
Line observations

Coverage note: Some recorded actuals or outcomes are still joining · Some pre-tip context is unavailable · Early-exit games are excluded from normal-performance training · Some rows do not have verified tip-time coverage

Recent verified shifts · Sep 8–Sep 21 · WNBA · 2026 · Pts + Reb + Ast

What changed lately—and where did the actual land?

Showing up to 20 player series whose latest dated market row falls in the newest 14-day window. This is historical context; today's call still needs the current schedule, role, and line.

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Phoenix Mercury
Opponent
Dallas Wings · home
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#01 · Line drop

wnba · pra

Kahleah Copper

33 market games in this series

Market expectation

25.8prior baseline
23.5latest close
Median consensus close across 32 prior games

Line fell 2.3

Outcome vs closing line

37 pts + reb + ast · OVER by 13.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 21, 2026, Kahleah Copper recorded 37 pts + reb + ast against a 23.5 closing line, finishing 13.5 over. The market had lowered the line 2.3 from the prior baseline of 25.8.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 8.2 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Kahleah Copper · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 16Phoenix MercuryPortland Fire36.127.527UNDER 0.5Included
Aug 22Phoenix MercuryAtlanta Dream37.126.540OVER 13.5Included
Aug 25Phoenix MercuryWashington Mystics30.525.526OVER 0.5Included
Aug 27Phoenix MercuryWashington Mystics32.32640OVER 14Included
Sep 21Phoenix MercuryDallas Wings33.823.537OVER 13.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Phoenix Mercury
Opponent
Dallas Wings · home
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#02 · Line drop

wnba · pra

Sami Whitcomb

2 market games in this series

Small sample · only 2 market games

Market expectation

14.5prior baseline
12.5latest close
Median consensus close across 1 prior game

Line fell 2

Outcome vs closing line

12 pts + reb + ast · UNDER by 0.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 21, 2026, Sami Whitcomb recorded 12 pts + reb + ast against a 12.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 under. The market had lowered the line 2 from the prior baseline of 14.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Only 2 representative games — too little for a trend.

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 2 settled games
Sami Whitcomb · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 29Phoenix MercuryToronto Tempo15.714.519OVER 4.5Included
Sep 21Phoenix MercuryDallas Wings15.212.512UNDER 0.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
New York Liberty
Opponent
Atlanta Dream · home
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#03 · Line drop

wnba · pra

Pauline Astier

31 market games in this series

Market expectation

14.8prior baseline
13.5latest close
Median consensus close across 30 prior games

Line fell 1.3

Outcome vs closing line

23 pts + reb + ast · OVER by 9.5

Game summary

Against Atlanta Dream on Sep 21, 2026, Pauline Astier recorded 23 pts + reb + ast against a 13.5 closing line, finishing 9.5 over. The market had lowered the line 1.3 from the prior baseline of 14.8.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 5.3 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Pauline Astier · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 27New York LibertyGolden State Valkyries24.211.510UNDER 1.5Included
Aug 29New York LibertyChicago Sky2513.514OVER 0.5Included
Sep 18New York LibertyMinnesota Lynx27.312.522OVER 9.5Included
Sep 20New York LibertyToronto Tempo2213.522OVER 8.5Included
Sep 21New York LibertyAtlanta Dream29.513.523OVER 9.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Phoenix Mercury
Opponent
Dallas Wings · home
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#04 · Line drop

wnba · pra

Alyssa Thomas

37 market games in this series

Market expectation

31.5prior baseline
31latest close
Median consensus close across 36 prior games

Line fell 0.5

Outcome vs closing line

38 pts + reb + ast · OVER by 7

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 21, 2026, Alyssa Thomas recorded 38 pts + reb + ast against a 31 closing line, finishing 7 over. The market had lowered the line 0.5 from the prior baseline of 31.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 1.6 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Alyssa Thomas · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 27Phoenix MercuryWashington Mystics31.531.522UNDER 9.5Included
Aug 29Phoenix MercuryToronto Tempo21.934.522UNDER 12.5Included
Sep 17Phoenix MercuryPortland Fire30.63332UNDER 1Included
Sep 19Phoenix MercuryDallas Wings30.43240OVER 8Included
Sep 21Phoenix MercuryDallas Wings32.13138OVER 7Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Phoenix Mercury
Opponent
Dallas Wings · home
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#05 · Line unchanged

wnba · pra

Noemie Brochant

7 market games in this series

Market expectation

13.5prior baseline
13.5latest close
Median consensus close across 6 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

5 pts + reb + ast · UNDER by 8.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 21, 2026, Noemie Brochant recorded 5 pts + reb + ast against a 13.5 closing line, finishing 8.5 under. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 13.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 1 over · 4 under

Avg finish: 4.3 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Noemie Brochant · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 16Phoenix MercuryPortland Fire27.212.54UNDER 8.5Included
Aug 25Phoenix MercuryWashington Mystics24.612.510UNDER 2.5Included
Aug 27Phoenix MercuryWashington Mystics28.411.55UNDER 6.5Included
Aug 29Phoenix MercuryToronto Tempo24.614.519OVER 4.5Included
Sep 21Phoenix MercuryDallas Wings22.313.55UNDER 8.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Los Angeles Sparks
Opponent
Portland Fire · home
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#06 · Line drop

wnba · pra

Ariel Atkins

35 market games in this series

Market expectation

15.5prior baseline
12.5latest close
Median consensus close across 34 prior games

Line fell 3

Outcome vs closing line

21 pts + reb + ast · OVER by 8.5

Game summary

Against Portland Fire on Sep 20, 2026, Ariel Atkins recorded 21 pts + reb + ast against a 12.5 closing line, finishing 8.5 over. The market had lowered the line 3 from the prior baseline of 15.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.1 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Ariel Atkins · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 24Los Angeles SparksAtlanta Dream32.912.517OVER 4.5Included
Aug 28Los Angeles SparksWashington Mystics27.212.510UNDER 2.5Included
Aug 30Los Angeles SparksSeattle Storm16.913.58UNDER 5.5Included
Sep 17Los Angeles SparksDallas Wings22.812.58UNDER 4.5Included
Sep 20Los Angeles SparksPortland Fire20.512.521OVER 8.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Seattle Storm
Opponent
Las Vegas Aces · away
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#07 · Line drop

wnba · pra

Awa Fam

24 market games in this series

Market expectation

18.5prior baseline
16.5latest close
Median consensus close across 23 prior games

Line fell 2

Outcome vs closing line

15 pts + reb + ast · UNDER by 1.5

Game summary

Against Las Vegas Aces on Sep 20, 2026, Awa Fam recorded 15 pts + reb + ast against a 16.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 under. The market had lowered the line 2 from the prior baseline of 18.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 1.3 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Awa Fam · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 10Seattle StormChicago Sky13.717.52UNDER 15.5Included
Aug 14Seattle StormPortland Fire22.214.529OVER 14.5Included
Aug 16Seattle StormChicago Sky29.214.521OVER 6.5Included
Sep 19Seattle StormGolden State Valkyries29.216.519OVER 2.5Included
Sep 20Seattle StormLas Vegas Aces23.216.515UNDER 1.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Los Angeles Sparks
Opponent
Portland Fire · home
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#08 · Line drop

wnba · pra

Erica Wheeler

26 market games in this series

Market expectation

16.5prior baseline
14.5latest close
Median consensus close across 25 prior games

Line fell 2

Outcome vs closing line

11 pts + reb + ast · UNDER by 3.5

Game summary

Against Portland Fire on Sep 20, 2026, Erica Wheeler recorded 11 pts + reb + ast against a 14.5 closing line, finishing 3.5 under. The market had lowered the line 2 from the prior baseline of 16.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 1 over · 4 under

Avg finish: 3.2 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Erica Wheeler · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 22Los Angeles SparksConnecticut Sun25.31518OVER 3Included
Aug 24Los Angeles SparksAtlanta Dream25.114.57UNDER 7.5Included
Aug 30Los Angeles SparksSeattle Storm18.913.513UNDER 0.5Included
Sep 17Los Angeles SparksDallas Wings11.814.57UNDER 7.5Included
Sep 20Los Angeles SparksPortland Fire15.214.511UNDER 3.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Toronto Tempo
Opponent
New York Liberty · home
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#09 · Line drop

wnba · pra

Julie Allemand

23 market games in this series

Market expectation

16.5prior baseline
14.5latest close
Median consensus close across 22 prior games

Line fell 2

Outcome vs closing line

13 pts + reb + ast · UNDER by 1.5

Game summary

Against New York Liberty on Sep 20, 2026, Julie Allemand recorded 13 pts + reb + ast against a 14.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 under. The market had lowered the line 2 from the prior baseline of 16.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 1 over · 4 under

Avg finish: 4.5 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Julie Allemand · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 10Toronto TempoAtlanta Dream25.916.57UNDER 9.5Included
Aug 21Toronto TempoPortland Fire30.914.516OVER 1.5Included
Aug 23Toronto TempoLas Vegas Aces14.717.56UNDER 11.5Included
Sep 18Toronto TempoIndiana Fever28.715.514UNDER 1.5Included
Sep 20Toronto TempoNew York Liberty26.314.513UNDER 1.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Seattle Storm
Opponent
Las Vegas Aces · away
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#10 · Line rise

wnba · pra

Jade Melbourne

21 market games in this series

Market expectation

14.3prior baseline
14.5latest close
Median consensus close across 20 prior games

Line rose 0.3

Outcome vs closing line

7 pts + reb + ast · UNDER by 7.5

Game summary

Against Las Vegas Aces on Sep 20, 2026, Jade Melbourne recorded 7 pts + reb + ast against a 14.5 closing line, finishing 7.5 under. The market had raised the line 0.3 from the prior baseline of 14.3.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 4.9 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Jade Melbourne · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 16Seattle StormChicago Sky35.318.522OVER 3.5Included
Aug 23Seattle StormDallas Wings27.317.519OVER 1.5Included
Aug 30Seattle StormLos Angeles Sparks21.820.59UNDER 11.5Included
Sep 19Seattle StormGolden State Valkyries12.516.56UNDER 10.5Included
Sep 20Seattle StormLas Vegas Aces19.114.57UNDER 7.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Golden State Valkyries
Opponent
Seattle Storm · home
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#11 · Line rise

wnba · pra

Tiffany Hayes

9 market games in this series

Market expectation

18prior baseline
21.5latest close
Median consensus close across 8 prior games

Line rose 3.5

Outcome vs closing line

18 pts + reb + ast · UNDER by 3.5

Game summary

Against Seattle Storm on Sep 19, 2026, Tiffany Hayes recorded 18 pts + reb + ast against a 21.5 closing line, finishing 3.5 under. The market had raised the line 3.5 from the prior baseline of 18.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 1.1 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Tiffany Hayes · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 24Golden State ValkyriesMinnesota Lynx18.315.521OVER 5.5Included
Aug 26Golden State ValkyriesConnecticut Sun318.55UNDER 13.5Included
Aug 30Golden State ValkyriesPortland Fire20.921.527OVER 5.5Included
Sep 18Golden State ValkyriesPortland Fire24.622.523OVER 0.5Included
Sep 19Golden State ValkyriesSeattle Storm1921.518UNDER 3.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Dallas Wings
Opponent
Phoenix Mercury · home
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#12 · Line rise

wnba · pra

Awak Kuier

5 market games in this series

Market expectation

16.5prior baseline
17.5latest close
Median consensus close across 4 prior games

Line rose 1

Outcome vs closing line

18 pts + reb + ast · OVER by 0.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Sep 19, 2026, Awak Kuier recorded 18 pts + reb + ast against a 17.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 over. The market had raised the line 1 from the prior baseline of 16.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 0.7 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Awak Kuier · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 14Dallas WingsIndiana Fever27.915.518OVER 2.5Included
Aug 20Dallas WingsIndiana Fever35.713.523OVER 9.5Included
Aug 30Dallas WingsConnecticut Sun20.217.513UNDER 4.5Included
Sep 17Dallas WingsLos Angeles Sparks22.317.513UNDER 4.5Included
Sep 19Dallas WingsPhoenix Mercury27.417.518OVER 0.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Chicago Sky
Opponent
Atlanta Dream · away
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#13 · Line rise

wnba · pra

Courtney Vandersloot

17 market games in this series

Market expectation

17prior baseline
17.5latest close
Median consensus close across 16 prior games

Line rose 0.5

Outcome vs closing line

21 pts + reb + ast · OVER by 3.5

Game summary

Against Atlanta Dream on Sep 19, 2026, Courtney Vandersloot recorded 21 pts + reb + ast against a 17.5 closing line, finishing 3.5 over. The market had raised the line 0.5 from the prior baseline of 17.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 5 over · 0 under

Avg finish: 3.1 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Courtney Vandersloot · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 21Chicago SkyGolden State Valkyries28.715.518OVER 2.5Included
Aug 25Chicago SkyConnecticut Sun25.117.521OVER 3.5Included
Aug 29Chicago SkyNew York Liberty23.318.519OVER 0.5Included
Sep 17Chicago SkyWashington Mystics22.616.522OVER 5.5Included
Sep 19Chicago SkyAtlanta Dream23.917.521OVER 3.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Portland Fire
Opponent
Golden State Valkyries · away
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#14 · Line rise

wnba · pra

Emily Engstler

22 market games in this series

Market expectation

17.5prior baseline
20.5latest close
Median consensus close across 21 prior games

Line rose 3

Outcome vs closing line

13 pts + reb + ast · UNDER by 7.5

Game summary

Against Golden State Valkyries on Sep 18, 2026, Emily Engstler recorded 13 pts + reb + ast against a 20.5 closing line, finishing 7.5 under. The market had raised the line 3 from the prior baseline of 17.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 4.7 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Emily Engstler · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 25Portland FireDallas Wings30.218.530OVER 11.5Included
Aug 28Portland FireAtlanta Dream30.118.532OVER 13.5Included
Aug 30Portland FireGolden State Valkyries23.420.517UNDER 3.5Included
Sep 17Portland FirePhoenix Mercury29.423.533OVER 9.5Included
Sep 18Portland FireGolden State Valkyries2020.513UNDER 7.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Toronto Tempo
Opponent
Indiana Fever · home
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#15 · Line rise

wnba · pra

Isabelle Harrison

14 market games in this series

Market expectation

21.5prior baseline
24.5latest close
Median consensus close across 13 prior games

Line rose 3

Outcome vs closing line

25 pts + reb + ast · OVER by 0.5

Game summary

Against Indiana Fever on Sep 18, 2026, Isabelle Harrison recorded 25 pts + reb + ast against a 24.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 over. The market had raised the line 3 from the prior baseline of 21.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 1.3 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Isabelle Harrison · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 23Toronto TempoLas Vegas Aces27.926.520UNDER 6.5Included
Aug 26Toronto TempoSeattle Storm32.424.532OVER 7.5Included
Aug 28Toronto TempoLas Vegas Aces24.324.526OVER 1.5Included
Aug 29Toronto TempoPhoenix Mercury26.724.528OVER 3.5Included
Sep 18Toronto TempoIndiana Fever31.824.525OVER 0.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Indiana Fever
Opponent
Toronto Tempo · away
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#16 · Line rise

wnba · pra

Makayla Timpson

4 market games in this series

Small sample · only 4 market games

Market expectation

14.5prior baseline
16.5latest close
Median consensus close across 3 prior games

Line rose 2

Outcome vs closing line

9 pts + reb + ast · UNDER by 7.5

Game summary

Against Toronto Tempo on Sep 18, 2026, Makayla Timpson recorded 9 pts + reb + ast against a 16.5 closing line, finishing 7.5 under. The market had raised the line 2 from the prior baseline of 14.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 4 representative games: 1 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 2 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 4 settled games
Makayla Timpson · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 11Indiana FeverNew York Liberty2814.510UNDER 4.5Included
Aug 14Indiana FeverDallas Wings23.714.511UNDER 3.5Included
Aug 20Indiana FeverDallas Wings33.915.523OVER 7.5Included
Sep 18Indiana FeverToronto Tempo13.916.59UNDER 7.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Atlanta Dream
Opponent
Connecticut Sun · home
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#17 · Line drop

wnba · pra

DeWanna Bonner

19 market games in this series

Market expectation

19.5prior baseline
13latest close
Median consensus close across 18 prior games

Line fell 6.5

Outcome vs closing line

8 pts + reb + ast · UNDER by 5

Game summary

Against Connecticut Sun on Sep 17, 2026, DeWanna Bonner recorded 8 pts + reb + ast against a 13 closing line, finishing 5 under. The market had lowered the line 6.5 from the prior baseline of 19.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 1.2 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
DeWanna Bonner · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 7Phoenix MercuryConnecticut Sun34.519.519UNDER 0.5Included
Aug 11Phoenix MercuryLos Angeles Sparks2721.520UNDER 1.5Included
Aug 16Phoenix MercuryPortland Fire32.720.529OVER 8.5Included
Aug 22Phoenix MercuryAtlanta Dream30.119.524OVER 4.5Included
Sep 17Atlanta DreamConnecticut Sun11138UNDER 5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Los Angeles Sparks
Opponent
Dallas Wings · away
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#18 · Line drop

wnba · pra

Dearica Hamby

37 market games in this series

Market expectation

25.5prior baseline
20.5latest close
Median consensus close across 36 prior games

Line fell 5

Outcome vs closing line

19 pts + reb + ast · UNDER by 1.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 17, 2026, Dearica Hamby recorded 19 pts + reb + ast against a 20.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 under. The market had lowered the line 5 from the prior baseline of 25.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 0 over · 5 under

Avg finish: 3.8 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Dearica Hamby · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 22Los Angeles SparksConnecticut Sun20.62417UNDER 7Included
Aug 24Los Angeles SparksAtlanta Dream26.122.521UNDER 1.5Included
Aug 28Los Angeles SparksWashington Mystics23.921.514UNDER 7.5Included
Aug 30Los Angeles SparksSeattle Storm23.720.519UNDER 1.5Included
Sep 17Los Angeles SparksDallas Wings20.920.519UNDER 1.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Los Angeles Sparks
Opponent
Dallas Wings · away
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#19 · Line rise

wnba · pra

Cameron Brink

11 market games in this series

Market expectation

16prior baseline
20.5latest close
Median consensus close across 10 prior games

Line rose 4.5

Outcome vs closing line

15 pts + reb + ast · UNDER by 5.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 17, 2026, Cameron Brink recorded 15 pts + reb + ast against a 20.5 closing line, finishing 5.5 under. The market had raised the line 4.5 from the prior baseline of 16.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.4 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Cameron Brink · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 22Los Angeles SparksConnecticut Sun11.91711UNDER 6Included
Aug 24Los Angeles SparksAtlanta Dream24.817.525OVER 7.5Included
Aug 28Los Angeles SparksWashington Mystics26.316.520OVER 3.5Included
Aug 30Los Angeles SparksSeattle Storm27.620.519UNDER 1.5Included
Sep 17Los Angeles SparksDallas Wings23.720.515UNDER 5.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Chicago Sky
Opponent
Washington Mystics · home
Game date
Player prop
pts + reb + ast

#20 · Line drop

wnba · pra

Natasha Cloud

31 market games in this series

Market expectation

19.3prior baseline
15.5latest close
Median consensus close across 30 prior games

Line fell 3.8

Outcome vs closing line

5 pts + reb + ast · UNDER by 10.5

Game summary

Against Washington Mystics on Sep 17, 2026, Natasha Cloud recorded 5 pts + reb + ast against a 15.5 closing line, finishing 10.5 under. The market had lowered the line 3.8 from the prior baseline of 19.3.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 3.5 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Natasha Cloud · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 21Chicago SkyGolden State Valkyries36.31928OVER 9Included
Aug 23Chicago SkyIndiana Fever29.82227OVER 5Included
Aug 25Chicago SkyConnecticut Sun15.9227UNDER 15Included
Aug 29Chicago SkyNew York Liberty20.82115UNDER 6Included
Sep 17Chicago SkyWashington Mystics13.815.55UNDER 10.5Included

Public tape · evidence before explanation

Built to show its work.

Each sportsbook gets one vote in the consensus. Live and post-tip rows are excluded. Pushes and verified DNP voids stay distinct; unresolved games are left ungraded. Recorded outcomes versus the closing line stay on the market record, while detected early exits are labeled and excluded from normal-exposure form and training. Legacy openers and identity gaps are labeled instead of silently blended in.

Read the grading method