WNBA · season-long player prop tape

Market Memory.

Tracked prop shifts are shown with the game, closing line, actual, and outcome when those fields join cleanly. Missing or ambiguous game links stay labeled.

Browse WNBA game archive

How to read it

  1. Game header identifies the team, opponent, and full date.
  2. Prior baseline names the feed's method and the number of earlier games behind it.
  3. Latest close is the market's adjustment.
  4. Outcome vs close compares the recorded actual with the closing line when both are available.
  5. Outcome exception separates early exits from normal performance.
2026
Coverage window
137
Players
296
Games
91,140
Line observations

Coverage note: Some recorded actuals or outcomes are still joining · Some pre-tip context is unavailable · Early-exit games are excluded from normal-performance training · Some rows do not have verified tip-time coverage

Recent verified shifts · Sep 8–Sep 21 · WNBA · 2026 · Rebounds

What changed lately—and where did the actual land?

Showing up to 20 player series whose latest dated market row falls in the newest 14-day window. This is historical context; today's call still needs the current schedule, role, and line.

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Atlanta Dream
Opponent
New York Liberty · away
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#01 · Line drop

wnba · rebounds

DeWanna Bonner

33 market games in this series

Market expectation

6prior baseline
3.5latest close
Median consensus close across 32 prior games

Line fell 2.5

Outcome vs closing line

6 rebounds · OVER by 2.5

Game summary

Against New York Liberty on Sep 21, 2026, DeWanna Bonner recorded 6 rebounds against a 3.5 closing line, finishing 2.5 over. The market had lowered the line 2.5 from the prior baseline of 6.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 1.3 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

Matilde Villa: Available → Out

availability · reported Sep 21

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
DeWanna Bonner · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 11Phoenix MercuryLos Angeles Sparks276.57OVER 0.5Included
Aug 16Phoenix MercuryPortland Fire32.76.56UNDER 0.5Included
Aug 22Phoenix MercuryAtlanta Dream30.16.59OVER 2.5Included
Sep 17Atlanta DreamConnecticut Sun113.55OVER 1.5Included
Sep 21Atlanta DreamNew York Liberty29.53.56OVER 2.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Dallas Wings
Opponent
Phoenix Mercury · away
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#02 · Line rise

wnba · rebounds

Awak Kuier

20 market games in this series

Market expectation

4.5prior baseline
6.5latest close
Median consensus close across 19 prior games

Line rose 2

Outcome vs closing line

5 rebounds · UNDER by 1.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Sep 21, 2026, Awak Kuier recorded 5 rebounds against a 6.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 under. The market had raised the line 2 from the prior baseline of 4.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.7 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

Odyssey Sims: Questionable → Available

availability · reported Sep 19

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Awak Kuier · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 25Dallas WingsPortland Fire33.65.512OVER 6.5Included
Aug 30Dallas WingsConnecticut Sun20.26.58OVER 1.5Included
Sep 17Dallas WingsLos Angeles Sparks22.36.55UNDER 1.5Included
Sep 19Dallas WingsPhoenix Mercury27.46.55UNDER 1.5Included
Sep 21Dallas WingsPhoenix Mercury28.36.55UNDER 1.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Phoenix Mercury
Opponent
Dallas Wings · home
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#03 · Line rise

wnba · rebounds

Alyssa Thomas

37 market games in this series

Market expectation

7.5prior baseline
8.5latest close
Median consensus close across 36 prior games

Line rose 1

Outcome vs closing line

11 rebounds · OVER by 2.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 21, 2026, Alyssa Thomas recorded 11 rebounds against a 8.5 closing line, finishing 2.5 over. The market had raised the line 1 from the prior baseline of 7.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 0.8 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Alyssa Thomas · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 27Phoenix MercuryWashington Mystics31.5810OVER 2Included
Aug 29Phoenix MercuryToronto Tempo21.98.56UNDER 2.5Included
Sep 17Phoenix MercuryPortland Fire30.68.58UNDER 0.5Included
Sep 19Phoenix MercuryDallas Wings30.47.510OVER 2.5Included
Sep 21Phoenix MercuryDallas Wings32.18.511OVER 2.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Dallas Wings
Opponent
Phoenix Mercury · away
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#04 · Line drop

wnba · rebounds

Arike Ogunbowale

39 market games in this series

Market expectation

3prior baseline
2.5latest close
Median consensus close across 38 prior games

Line fell 0.5

Outcome vs closing line

1 rebounds · UNDER by 1.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Sep 21, 2026, Arike Ogunbowale recorded 1 rebounds against a 2.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 under. The market had lowered the line 0.5 from the prior baseline of 3.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.3 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Arike Ogunbowale · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 25Dallas WingsPortland Fire33.13.52UNDER 1.5Included
Aug 30Dallas WingsConnecticut Sun23.32.54OVER 1.5Included
Sep 17Dallas WingsLos Angeles Sparks27.32.53OVER 0.5Included
Sep 19Dallas WingsPhoenix Mercury36.72.52UNDER 0.5Included
Sep 21Dallas WingsPhoenix Mercury30.72.51UNDER 1.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Dallas Wings
Opponent
Phoenix Mercury · away
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#05 · Line drop

wnba · rebounds

Maddy Siegrist

9 market games in this series

Market expectation

4prior baseline
3.5latest close
Median consensus close across 8 prior games

Line fell 0.5

Outcome vs closing line

3 rebounds · UNDER by 0.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Sep 21, 2026, Maddy Siegrist recorded 3 rebounds against a 3.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 under. The market had lowered the line 0.5 from the prior baseline of 4.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 0 over · 5 under

Avg finish: 1.9 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Maddy Siegrist · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 14Dallas WingsIndiana Fever12.83.51UNDER 2.5Included
Aug 30Dallas WingsConnecticut Sun16.13.52UNDER 1.5Included
Sep 17Dallas WingsLos Angeles Sparks23.33.52UNDER 1.5Included
Sep 19Dallas WingsPhoenix Mercury11.33.50UNDER 3.5Included
Sep 21Dallas WingsPhoenix Mercury19.13.53UNDER 0.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Dallas Wings
Opponent
Phoenix Mercury · away
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#06 · Line unchanged

wnba · rebounds

Aziaha James

4 market games in this series

Small sample · only 4 market games

Market expectation

3.5prior baseline
3.5latest close
Median consensus close across 3 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

2 rebounds · UNDER by 1.5

Game summary

Against Phoenix Mercury on Sep 21, 2026, Aziaha James recorded 2 rebounds against a 3.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 under. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 3.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 4 representative games: 2 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 0.3 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 4 settled games
Aziaha James · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Jun 11Dallas WingsPhoenix Mercury16.92.51UNDER 1.5Included
Jun 13Dallas WingsPortland Fire33.94.56OVER 1.5Included
Aug 9Dallas WingsMinnesota Lynx153.56OVER 2.5Included
Sep 21Dallas WingsPhoenix Mercury7.73.52UNDER 1.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Phoenix Mercury
Opponent
Dallas Wings · home
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#07 · Line unchanged

wnba · rebounds

Kahleah Copper

33 market games in this series

Market expectation

3.5prior baseline
3.5latest close
Median consensus close across 32 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

5 rebounds · OVER by 1.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 21, 2026, Kahleah Copper recorded 5 rebounds against a 3.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 over. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 3.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 0.9 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Kahleah Copper · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 16Phoenix MercuryPortland Fire36.13.57OVER 3.5Included
Aug 22Phoenix MercuryAtlanta Dream37.13.51UNDER 2.5Included
Aug 25Phoenix MercuryWashington Mystics30.53.55OVER 1.5Included
Aug 27Phoenix MercuryWashington Mystics32.33.54OVER 0.5Included
Sep 21Phoenix MercuryDallas Wings33.83.55OVER 1.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Phoenix Mercury
Opponent
Dallas Wings · home
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#08 · Line unchanged

wnba · rebounds

Natasha Mack

30 market games in this series

Market expectation

7.5prior baseline
7.5latest close
Median consensus close across 29 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

4 rebounds · UNDER by 3.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 21, 2026, Natasha Mack recorded 4 rebounds against a 7.5 closing line, finishing 3.5 under. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 7.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 1 over · 4 under

Avg finish: 1.3 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Natasha Mack · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 27Phoenix MercuryWashington Mystics27.67.59OVER 1.5Included
Aug 29Phoenix MercuryToronto Tempo19.48.58UNDER 0.5Included
Sep 17Phoenix MercuryPortland Fire26.67.55UNDER 2.5Included
Sep 19Phoenix MercuryDallas Wings298.57UNDER 1.5Included
Sep 21Phoenix MercuryDallas Wings21.77.54UNDER 3.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Phoenix Mercury
Opponent
Dallas Wings · home
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#09 · Line unchanged

wnba · rebounds

Noemie Brochant

11 market games in this series

Market expectation

2.5prior baseline
2.5latest close
Median consensus close across 10 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

2 rebounds · UNDER by 0.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 21, 2026, Noemie Brochant recorded 2 rebounds against a 2.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 under. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 2.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 1 over · 4 under

Avg finish: 0.9 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Noemie Brochant · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 16Phoenix MercuryPortland Fire27.21.52OVER 0.5Included
Aug 25Phoenix MercuryWashington Mystics24.62.51UNDER 1.5Included
Aug 27Phoenix MercuryWashington Mystics28.42.50UNDER 2.5Included
Aug 29Phoenix MercuryToronto Tempo24.62.52UNDER 0.5Included
Sep 21Phoenix MercuryDallas Wings22.32.52UNDER 0.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
New York Liberty
Opponent
Atlanta Dream · home
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#10 · Line unchanged

wnba · rebounds

Rebecca Allen

9 market games in this series

Market expectation

2.5prior baseline
2.5latest close
Median consensus close across 8 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

4 rebounds · OVER by 1.5

Game summary

Against Atlanta Dream on Sep 21, 2026, Rebecca Allen recorded 4 rebounds against a 2.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 over. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 2.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.7 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Rebecca Allen · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 9New York LibertyLas Vegas Aces21.62.58OVER 5.5Included
Aug 11New York LibertyIndiana Fever24.32.52UNDER 0.5Included
Aug 13New York LibertyLos Angeles Sparks25.72.51UNDER 1.5Included
Aug 22New York LibertyIndiana Fever15.62.51UNDER 1.5Included
Sep 21New York LibertyAtlanta Dream10.82.54OVER 1.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Phoenix Mercury
Opponent
Dallas Wings · home
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#11 · Line unchanged

wnba · rebounds

Sami Whitcomb

3 market games in this series

Small sample · only 3 market games

Market expectation

2.5prior baseline
2.5latest close
Median consensus close across 2 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

2 rebounds · UNDER by 0.5

Game summary

Against Dallas Wings on Sep 21, 2026, Sami Whitcomb recorded 2 rebounds against a 2.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 under. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 2.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 3 representative games: 2 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 0.5 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 3 settled games
Sami Whitcomb · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 11Phoenix MercuryLos Angeles Sparks22.22.54OVER 1.5Included
Aug 29Phoenix MercuryToronto Tempo15.72.53OVER 0.5Included
Sep 21Phoenix MercuryDallas Wings15.22.52UNDER 0.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Toronto Tempo
Opponent
New York Liberty · home
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#12 · Line rise

wnba · rebounds

Isabelle Harrison

26 market games in this series

Market expectation

5.5prior baseline
7.5latest close
Median consensus close across 25 prior games

Line rose 2

Outcome vs closing line

8 rebounds · OVER by 0.5

Game summary

Against New York Liberty on Sep 20, 2026, Isabelle Harrison recorded 8 rebounds against a 7.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 over. The market had raised the line 2 from the prior baseline of 5.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 2.1 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Isabelle Harrison · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 26Toronto TempoSeattle Storm32.47.514OVER 6.5Included
Aug 28Toronto TempoLas Vegas Aces24.37.57UNDER 0.5Included
Aug 29Toronto TempoPhoenix Mercury26.77.510OVER 2.5Included
Sep 18Toronto TempoIndiana Fever31.87.59OVER 1.5Included
Sep 20Toronto TempoNew York Liberty18.77.58OVER 0.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Washington Mystics
Opponent
Indiana Fever · away
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#13 · Line drop

wnba · rebounds

Cotie McMahon

9 market games in this series

Market expectation

3.5prior baseline
2.5latest close
Median consensus close across 8 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

0 rebounds · UNDER by 2.5

Game summary

Against Indiana Fever on Sep 20, 2026, Cotie McMahon recorded 0 rebounds against a 2.5 closing line, finishing 2.5 under. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 3.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.3 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Cotie McMahon · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 9Washington MysticsPhoenix Mercury19.84.50UNDER 4.5Included
Aug 11Washington MysticsLas Vegas Aces21.43.52UNDER 1.5Included
Aug 15Washington MysticsLos Angeles Sparks22.42.59OVER 6.5Included
Aug 19Washington MysticsToronto Tempo18.13.54OVER 0.5Included
Sep 20Washington MysticsIndiana Fever8.92.50UNDER 2.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Portland Fire
Opponent
Los Angeles Sparks · away
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#14 · Line rise

wnba · rebounds

Emily Engstler

35 market games in this series

Market expectation

5.5prior baseline
6.5latest close
Median consensus close across 34 prior games

Line rose 1

Outcome vs closing line

3 rebounds · UNDER by 3.5

Game summary

Against Los Angeles Sparks on Sep 20, 2026, Emily Engstler recorded 3 rebounds against a 6.5 closing line, finishing 3.5 under. The market had raised the line 1 from the prior baseline of 5.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 0.5 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Emily Engstler · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 28Portland FireAtlanta Dream30.15.56OVER 0.5Included
Aug 30Portland FireGolden State Valkyries23.46.54UNDER 2.5Included
Sep 17Portland FirePhoenix Mercury29.46.57OVER 0.5Included
Sep 18Portland FireGolden State Valkyries206.59OVER 2.5Included
Sep 20Portland FireLos Angeles Sparks21.76.53UNDER 3.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Toronto Tempo
Opponent
New York Liberty · home
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#15 · Line drop

wnba · rebounds

Julie Allemand

23 market games in this series

Market expectation

3.5prior baseline
2.5latest close
Median consensus close across 22 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

5 rebounds · OVER by 2.5

Game summary

Against New York Liberty on Sep 20, 2026, Julie Allemand recorded 5 rebounds against a 2.5 closing line, finishing 2.5 over. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 3.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 1.1 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Julie Allemand · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 6Toronto TempoPortland Fire31.72.55OVER 2.5Included
Aug 21Toronto TempoPortland Fire30.92.55OVER 2.5Included
Aug 23Toronto TempoLas Vegas Aces14.74.51UNDER 3.5Included
Sep 18Toronto TempoIndiana Fever28.72.54OVER 1.5Included
Sep 20Toronto TempoNew York Liberty26.32.55OVER 2.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Toronto Tempo
Opponent
New York Liberty · home
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#16 · Line drop

wnba · rebounds

Maria Conde

20 market games in this series

Market expectation

4.5prior baseline
3.5latest close
Median consensus close across 19 prior games

Line fell 1

Outcome vs closing line

2 rebounds · UNDER by 1.5

Game summary

Against New York Liberty on Sep 20, 2026, Maria Conde recorded 2 rebounds against a 3.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 under. The market had lowered the line 1 from the prior baseline of 4.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 2 over · 3 under

Avg finish: 0.3 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Maria Conde · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 4Toronto TempoGolden State Valkyries30.13.56OVER 2.5Included
Aug 6Toronto TempoPortland Fire28.74.56OVER 1.5Included
Aug 10Toronto TempoAtlanta Dream27.94.51UNDER 3.5Included
Aug 26Toronto TempoSeattle Storm19.84.54UNDER 0.5Included
Sep 20Toronto TempoNew York Liberty22.33.52UNDER 1.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Washington Mystics
Opponent
Indiana Fever · away
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#17 · Line rise

wnba · rebounds

Lauren Betts

21 market games in this series

Market expectation

4prior baseline
4.5latest close
Median consensus close across 20 prior games

Line rose 0.5

Outcome vs closing line

3 rebounds · UNDER by 1.5

Game summary

Against Indiana Fever on Sep 20, 2026, Lauren Betts recorded 3 rebounds against a 4.5 closing line, finishing 1.5 under. The market had raised the line 0.5 from the prior baseline of 4.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 1 over · 4 under

Avg finish: 1.7 below line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Lauren Betts · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 19Washington MysticsToronto Tempo21.75.53UNDER 2.5Included
Aug 21Washington MysticsMinnesota Lynx12.64.51UNDER 3.5Included
Aug 27Washington MysticsPhoenix Mercury19.35.56OVER 0.5Included
Aug 28Washington MysticsLos Angeles Sparks17.65.54UNDER 1.5Included
Sep 20Washington MysticsIndiana Fever23.74.53UNDER 1.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Los Angeles Sparks
Opponent
Portland Fire · home
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#18 · Line unchanged

wnba · rebounds

Ariel Atkins

34 market games in this series

Market expectation

2.5prior baseline
2.5latest close
Median consensus close across 33 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

5 rebounds · OVER by 2.5

Game summary

Against Portland Fire on Sep 20, 2026, Ariel Atkins recorded 5 rebounds against a 2.5 closing line, finishing 2.5 over. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 2.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 3 over · 2 under

Avg finish: 0.3 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Ariel Atkins · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 24Los Angeles SparksAtlanta Dream32.92.51UNDER 1.5Included
Aug 28Los Angeles SparksWashington Mystics27.22.53OVER 0.5Included
Aug 30Los Angeles SparksSeattle Storm16.92.52UNDER 0.5Included
Sep 17Los Angeles SparksDallas Wings22.82.53OVER 0.5Included
Sep 20Los Angeles SparksPortland Fire20.52.55OVER 2.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Seattle Storm
Opponent
Las Vegas Aces · away
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#19 · Line unchanged

wnba · rebounds

Awa Fam

31 market games in this series

Market expectation

5.5prior baseline
5.5latest close
Median consensus close across 30 prior games

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

6 rebounds · OVER by 0.5

Game summary

Against Las Vegas Aces on Sep 20, 2026, Awa Fam recorded 6 rebounds against a 5.5 closing line, finishing 0.5 over. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 5.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Last 5 representative games: 4 over · 1 under

Avg finish: 1.1 above line

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 5 settled games
Awa Fam · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 23Seattle StormDallas Wings25.45.56OVER 0.5Included
Aug 26Seattle StormToronto Tempo16.85.53UNDER 2.5Included
Sep 17Seattle StormLas Vegas Aces25.95.59OVER 3.5Included
Sep 19Seattle StormGolden State Valkyries29.25.59OVER 3.5Included
Sep 20Seattle StormLas Vegas Aces23.25.56OVER 0.5Included

Latest identity-matched market game · exact game behind this card

Team in game
Las Vegas Aces
Opponent
Seattle Storm · home
Game date
Player prop
rebounds

#20 · Line unchanged

wnba · rebounds

Brianna Turner

2 market games in this series

Small sample · only 2 market games

Market expectation

3.5prior baseline
3.5latest close
Median consensus close across 1 prior game

Line was unchanged

Outcome vs closing line

1 rebounds · UNDER by 2.5

Game summary

Against Seattle Storm on Sep 20, 2026, Brianna Turner recorded 1 rebounds against a 3.5 closing line, finishing 2.5 under. The line was unchanged from the prior baseline of 3.5.

Normal-exposure form vs line

Only 2 representative games — too little for a trend.

Candidate context · possible pregame factor, not proven cause

No timestamped candidate context was returned for this series.

Historical market result—not a prediction for the next game.

Game-by-game outcomes vs close · last 2 settled games
Brianna Turner · recorded outcome and normal-form treatment
DateTeamOpponentMinutesLineActualOutcome vs closeForm use
Aug 28Las Vegas AcesToronto Tempo18.63.55OVER 1.5Included
Sep 20Las Vegas AcesSeattle Storm183.51UNDER 2.5Included

Public tape · evidence before explanation

Built to show its work.

Each sportsbook gets one vote in the consensus. Live and post-tip rows are excluded. Pushes and verified DNP voids stay distinct; unresolved games are left ungraded. Recorded outcomes versus the closing line stay on the market record, while detected early exits are labeled and excluded from normal-exposure form and training. Legacy openers and identity gaps are labeled instead of silently blended in.

Read the grading method