NBA · Jan 3 gameAll props Full sheet

Washington Wizards at Dallas Mavericks

FinalWAS 105 – DAL 113Page updated 21:11 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 9 availability alerts

May not play Davis · right ankle sprain (ankle) · WAS

Out Okpara · two-way · WAS

Out Watkins · left aclrepair/surgery · WAS

Out Champagnie · right foot surgery (foot) · WAS

Out Beekman · right acjoint injury · WAS

Out Vukčević · left hip impingement (hip) · WAS

Out II · right foot surgery (foot) · DAL

Out Larrea · right knee sprain (knee) · DAL

Out Biberović · right heel bursitis · DAL

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

May not play Davis · right ankle sprain (ankle) · WAS

Out Okpara · two-way · WAS

Out Watkins · left aclrepair/surgery · WAS

Out Champagnie · right foot surgery (foot) · WAS

Out Beekman · right acjoint injury · WAS

Out Vukčević · left hip impingement (hip) · WAS

Out II · right foot surgery (foot) · DAL

Out Larrea · right knee sprain (knee) · DAL

Out Biberović · right heel bursitis · DAL

Players and minutes0 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view · 0 rostered players. This does not confirm that bookmakers have posted no lines.

Washington Wizards

Dallas Mavericks

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 21:11 UTC

Who is out

May not play Davis · right ankle sprain (ankle) · WAS

Out Okpara · two-way · WAS

Out Watkins · left aclrepair/surgery · WAS

Out Champagnie · right foot surgery (foot) · WAS

Out Beekman · right acjoint injury · WAS

Out Vukčević · left hip impingement (hip) · WAS

Out II · right foot surgery (foot) · DAL

Out Larrea · right knee sprain (knee) · DAL

Out Biberović · right heel bursitis · DAL

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

WAS also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view. This does not confirm that bookmakers have posted no lines.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

Final stats not available yet.

No player-line entries were captured in this roster view.

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DAL vs WAS · last 13 games · DAL leads · DAL record 8–5 · average score 116.7–112.2 · DAL has won by 4.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

WAS gives up112.3 points · 47.3 rebounds · 26.4 assists · 31.3% from three-point range

DAL gives up110.9 points · 45.0 rebounds · 25.8 assists · 30.9% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

WAS gives up 112.3 points a game · 12th of 30 · league average 113.5about league average

DAL gives up 110.9 points a game · 10th of 30 · league average 113.5−2.6 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 19

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 108 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 167 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 179 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 180 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 186 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 187 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 198 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 254 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 288 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 292 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 309 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 312 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 316 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 158 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 349 ms

grading verdict/boardfailed 502 · 374 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 548 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.