NBA · Jan 17 gameAll props Full sheet

Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks

FinalMIA 106 – MIL 101Page updated 18:19 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 1 availability alert

Out Jones · right ankle sprain (ankle) · MIL

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Jones · right ankle sprain (ankle) · MIL

Players and minutes0 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view · 0 rostered players. This does not confirm that bookmakers have posted no lines.

Miami Heat

Milwaukee Bucks

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 18:19 UTC

Who is out

Out Jones · right ankle sprain (ankle) · MIL

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view. This does not confirm that bookmakers have posted no lines.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

Final stats not available yet.

No player-line entries were captured in this roster view.

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIL vs MIA · last 38 games · MIL leads · MIL record 20–18 · average score 114.9–112.6 · MIL has won by 2.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

12 Mar · MIL 105 at MIA 112MIL lost

24 Feb · MIA 117 at MIL 128MIL won

What each defense gives up per game

MIA gives up122.9 points · 45.8 rebounds · 29.9 assists · 40.7% from three-point range

MIL gives up122.3 points · 48.6 rebounds · 28.1 assists · 35.7% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

MIA gives up 122.9 points a game · 27th of 30 · league average 113.6+9.3 vs average

MIL gives up 122.3 points a game · 26th of 30 · league average 113.6+8.7 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 19

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 3 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 42 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 81 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 81 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 81 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 81 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 97 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 267 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 268 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 270 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 272 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 274 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 275 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 360 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 369 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 103 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 104 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 428 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 809 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.