NBA · Oct 17 gameAll props Full sheet

Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns

FinalDAL 100 – PHX 121Page updated 02:53 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 9 availability alerts

Out II · right foot surgery (foot) · DAL

Out Christie · right hip soreness/tightness (hip) · DAL

Out Aldama · right knee surgery (knee) · DAL

Out Larrea · right knee sprain (knee) · DAL

Out Biberović · right heel bursitis · DAL

Out Timme · two-way · PHX

Out Goodwin · right calf soreness (calf) · PHX

Out Williams · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · PHX

Out Fleming · left ankle sprain (ankle) · PHX

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out II · right foot surgery (foot) · DAL

Out Christie · right hip soreness/tightness (hip) · DAL

Out Aldama · right knee surgery (knee) · DAL

Out Larrea · right knee sprain (knee) · DAL

Out Biberović · right heel bursitis · DAL

Out Timme · two-way · PHX

Out Goodwin · right calf soreness (calf) · PHX

Out Williams · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · PHX

Out Fleming · left ankle sprain (ankle) · PHX

Players and minutes0 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view · 0 rostered players. This does not confirm that bookmakers have posted no lines.

Dallas Mavericks

Phoenix Suns

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 02:53 UTC

Who is out

Out II · right foot surgery (foot) · DAL

Out Christie · right hip soreness/tightness (hip) · DAL

Out Aldama · right knee surgery (knee) · DAL

Out Larrea · right knee sprain (knee) · DAL

Out Biberović · right heel bursitis · DAL

Out Timme · two-way · PHX

Out Goodwin · right calf soreness (calf) · PHX

Out Williams · left shoulder surgery (shoulder) · PHX

Out Fleming · left ankle sprain (ankle) · PHX

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DAL had 190 days off before this game · PHX had 190 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view. This does not confirm that bookmakers have posted no lines.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

Final stats not available yet.

No player-line entries were captured in this roster view.

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

PHX vs DAL · last 29 games · PHX leads · PHX record 19–10 · average score 110.8–109.9 · PHX has won by 0.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

8 Apr · DAL 107 at PHX 112PHX won

What each defense gives up per game

DAL gives up112.3 points · 43.3 rebounds · 26.7 assists · 32.2% from three-point range

PHX gives up122.8 points · 46.4 rebounds · 26.6 assists · 40.9% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

DAL gives up 112.3 points a game · 14th of 30 · league average 113.5about league average

PHX gives up 122.8 points a game · 26th of 30 · league average 113.5+9.3 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 19

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 68 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 85 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 90 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 91 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 181 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 182 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 205 ms

grading verdict/boardfailed 502 · 214 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 216 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 224 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 225 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 232 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 240 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 17 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 260 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 317 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 111 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 805 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.