NBA · Apr 28 gameAll props Full sheet

Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks

FinalBOS 112 – MIL 90Page updated 04:59 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 4 availability alerts

Out Carter · illness · BOS

May not play Tatum · rest · BOS

May not play Pritchard · right shoulder contusion (shoulder) · BOS

Out Herro · right knee contusion (knee) · MIL

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Carter · illness · BOS

May not play Tatum · rest · BOS

May not play Pritchard · right shoulder contusion (shoulder) · BOS

Out Herro · right knee contusion (knee) · MIL

Players and minutes0 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view · 0 rostered players. This does not confirm that bookmakers have posted no lines.

Boston Celtics

Milwaukee Bucks

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 04:59 UTC

Who is out

Out Carter · illness · BOS

May not play Tatum · rest · BOS

May not play Pritchard · right shoulder contusion (shoulder) · BOS

Out Herro · right knee contusion (knee) · MIL

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

BOS had 7 days off before this game.

Bookmakers

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view. This does not confirm that bookmakers have posted no lines.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

Final stats not available yet.

No player-line entries were captured in this roster view.

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIL vs BOS · last 33 games · BOS leads · MIL record 12–21 · average score 108.2–114.6 · MIL has lost by 6.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

8 Nov · BOS 117 at MIL 97MIL lost

4 Nov · MIL 102 at BOS 109MIL lost

3 Apr · BOS 133 at MIL 101MIL lost

2 Mar · BOS 108 at MIL 81MIL lost

What each defense gives up per game

BOS gives up104.3 points · 43.5 rebounds · 25.2 assists · 33.8% from three-point range

MIL gives up121.6 points · 47.9 rebounds · 28.0 assists · 35.4% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

BOS gives up 104.3 points a game · 3rd of 30 · league average 113.4−9.1 vs average

MIL gives up 121.6 points a game · 27th of 30 · league average 113.4+8.2 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 33

sds games/date (2019-04-26)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds games/date (2019-04-25)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 20 ms

sds games/date (2019-04-27)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2019-04-23)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2019-04-22)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2019-04-15)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2019-04-19)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2019-04-18)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2019-04-21)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2019-04-24)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/date (2019-04-17)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/date (2019-04-20)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds games/date (2019-04-14)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds games/date (2019-04-16)ok 200 · 28 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 29 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 28 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 29 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 30 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 99 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 101 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 102 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 105 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 107 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 108 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 118 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 90 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 19 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 19 ms

grading verdict/boardfailed 502 · 123 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 200 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.