NBA · May 16 gameAll props Full sheet

Milwaukee Bucks at Chicago Bulls

FinalMIL 112 – CHI 118Page updated 08:37 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 5 availability alerts

May not play Herro · right contusion · MIL

Out Swain · right disc irritation · CHI

Out Sellers · two-way · CHI

Out Powell · right shoulder inflammation/soreness (shoulder) · CHI

Out Collins · respiratory illness · CHI

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

May not play Herro · right contusion · MIL

Out Swain · right disc irritation · CHI

Out Sellers · two-way · CHI

Out Powell · right shoulder inflammation/soreness (shoulder) · CHI

Out Collins · respiratory illness · CHI

Players and minutes0 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view · 0 rostered players. This does not confirm that bookmakers have posted no lines.

Milwaukee Bucks

Chicago Bulls

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 08:37 UTC

Who is out

May not play Herro · right contusion · MIL

Out Swain · right disc irritation · CHI

Out Sellers · two-way · CHI

Out Powell · right shoulder inflammation/soreness (shoulder) · CHI

Out Collins · respiratory illness · CHI

Lineup changes unavailable right now.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view. This does not confirm that bookmakers have posted no lines.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

No player-line entries were captured in this roster view.

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CHI vs MIL · last 33 games · MIL leads · CHI record 9–24 · average score 106.7–115.5 · CHI has lost by 8.8 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

23 Oct · CHI 132 at MIL 125CHI won

14 Oct · CHI 125 at MIL 104CHI won

1 Mar · MIL 97 at CHI 120CHI won

What each defense gives up per game

MIL gives up121.6 points · 47.9 rebounds · 28.0 assists · 35.4% from three-point range

CHI gives up129.3 points · 49.7 rebounds · 29.7 assists · 39.5% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

MIL gives up 121.6 points a game · 28th of 30 · league average 113.4+8.2 vs average

CHI gives up 129.3 points a game · 30th of 30 · league average 113.4+16.0 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 19

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 15 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 16 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 25 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 89 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 91 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 91 ms

odds game timelinefailed 503 · 103 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 105 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 109 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 110 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 97 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 22 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 133 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 135 ms

grading verdict/boardfailed 502 · 136 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 137 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltafailed 404 · 230 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.