NBA · Mar 11 gameAll props Full sheet

Milwaukee Bucks at Golden State Warriors

FinalMIL 116 – GSW 125Page updated 11:34 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes · 6 availability alerts

Out Turner · rest · MIL

Out Williams · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · GSW

Out II · left knee inflammation (knee) · GSW

Out III · right aclrepair/surgery · GSW

Out Porziņģis · not with team · GSW

Out Moody · left knee tendon repair/surgery · GSW

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Availability to check

Out Turner · rest · MIL

Out Williams · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · GSW

Out II · left knee inflammation (knee) · GSW

Out III · right aclrepair/surgery · GSW

Out Porziņģis · not with team · GSW

Out Moody · left knee tendon repair/surgery · GSW

Players and minutes0 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view · 0 rostered players. This does not confirm that bookmakers have posted no lines.

Milwaukee Bucks

Golden State Warriors

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

Game odds unavailable.

What could go wrong

updated 11:34 UTC

Who is out

Out Turner · rest · MIL

Out Williams · left hamstring strain (hamstring) · GSW

Out II · left knee inflammation (knee) · GSW

Out III · right aclrepair/surgery · GSW

Out Porziņģis · not with team · GSW

Out Moody · left knee tendon repair/surgery · GSW

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

Full player-line feed has no entries in this view. This does not confirm that bookmakers have posted no lines.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

No player-line entries were captured in this roster view.

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs MIL · last 13 games · GSW leads · GSW record 7–6 · average score 113.7–114.8 · GSW has lost by 1.2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

MIL gives up121.3 points · 48.8 rebounds · 28.2 assists · 35.8% from three-point range

GSW gives up111.5 points · 41.4 rebounds · 26.7 assists · 34.2% from three-point range

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

MIL gives up 121.3 points a game · 28th of 30 · league average 113.3+8.0 vs average

GSW gives up 111.5 points a game · 11th of 30 · league average 113.3−1.8 vs average

How the game odds moved

No history of the game odds on file.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Defense-by-position measurement: split-half reliability r = -0.033 across 12 cells (7 of 12 negative) against a shuffle null of 0.000; a placebo using the wrong position family reproduced the effect to within 0.12pp · project_dvp_blowout_gate_refuted · 2026-08-26

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 19

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 31 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds defense/team (away)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds defense/team (home)ok 200 · 32 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)ok 200 · 36 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 39 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 104 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 107 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 1 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 109 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 112 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 117 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 96 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 133 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 135 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 401 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 501 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 869 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.