NBA · Nov 3 gameAll props Full sheet

Golden State Warriors at Oklahoma City Thunder

FinalGSW 141 – OKC 139Page updated 13:17 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Golden State Warriors

Draymond Green · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 3 actual

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 2 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 7 actual

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 13 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

points 15.5 → 24 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 8 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSW expected to win by about 6.5 · both teams together expected to score about 225 points · odds to win: GSW 1.41, OKC 3.12

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 13:17 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 239 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Moses Moody · 3-pointers 0.5 → 2 · 1.5 above the line · played 17.5 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · assists 4.5 → 8 · 3.5 above the line · played 35.3 min · no final price

Cason Wallace · points 7.5 → 13 · 5.5 above the line · played 36.3 min · no final price

Stephen Curry · assists 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 31.4 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · points 15.5 → 24 · 8.5 above the line · played 32 min · no final price

Draymond Green · assists 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 29 min · no final price

Gary Payton II · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 22.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

OKC vs GSW · last 24 games · OKC leads · OKC record 12–12 · average score 115.0–117.0 · OKC has lost by 2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

7 Mar · GSW 97 at OKC 104OKC won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSW expected to win by 6.5, expected total 225 (Sat 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 41 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 45 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 58 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 152 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 152 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 153 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 157 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 158 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 160 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 160 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 164 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 162 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 12 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 179 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 199 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 166 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 184 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 189 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 205 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 215 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 296 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 337 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 380 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 407 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 454 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 638 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 517 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 541 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 542 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 721 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 714 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 765 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 764 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 771 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.