NBA · Nov 16 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors

FinalOKC 128 – GSW 109Page updated 17:09 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes7 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 2 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 0 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 5 actual

Kenrich Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 7 actual

Golden State Warriors

Gary Payton II · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 1 actual

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

OKC expected to win by about 3 · both teams together expected to score about 226 points · odds to win: OKC 1.63, GSW 2.42

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 03:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:09 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 233 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 4 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

7 other players with a posted line

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 0.5 → 2 · 1.5 above the line · played 25.6 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 0 · 1.5 below the line · played 27.1 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · assists 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 29.1 min · no final price

Gary Payton II · points 6.5 → 1 · 5.5 below the line · played 7.6 min · no final price

Kenrich Williams · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 17.6 min · no final price

Moses Moody · 3-pointers 1.5 → 2 · 0.5 above the line · played 22.9 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · assists 5.5 → 7 · 1.5 above the line · played 29.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs OKC · last 24 games · GSW leads · GSW record 12–12 · average score 117.0–115.0 · GSW has won by 2 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

7 Mar · GSW 97 at OKC 104GSW lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had OKC expected to win by 3, expected total 226 (Fri 03:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 03:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 40

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 88 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 98 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 198 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 215 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 221 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 224 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 229 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 231 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 232 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 232 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 241 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 257 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 260 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 100 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 638 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 687 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 5246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 341 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 354 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 366 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 378 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 389 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 387 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 398 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 406 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 408 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 420 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 457 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 467 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 493 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 698 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 699 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 722 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 731 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 733 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 760 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 768 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.