NBA · Nov 17 gameAll props Full sheet

Boston Celtics at Toronto Raptors

FinalBOS 108 – TOR 105Page updated 17:18 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Boston Celtics

Derrick White · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 3 actual

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 2 actual

Payton Pritchard · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 3 actual

Sam Hauser · minutes unknown

3-pointers 2.5 → 3 actual

Toronto Raptors

Jakob Poeltl · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 11 actual

Scottie Barnes · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 9 · both teams together expected to score about 224.5 points · odds to win: BOS 1.28, TOR 4.03

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sat 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:18 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 241 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Derrick White · 3-pointers 1.5 → 3 · 1.5 above the line · played 34.3 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 37.4 min · no final price

Payton Pritchard · assists 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 17.5 min · no final price

Sam Hauser · 3-pointers 2.5 → 3 · 0.5 above the line · played 22.7 min · no final price

Scottie Barnes · assists 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.4 min · no final price

Jakob Poeltl · points 10.5 → 11 · 0.5 above the line · played 33.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

TOR vs BOS · last 33 games · BOS leads · TOR record 7–26 · average score 104.2–111.5 · TOR has lost by 7.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

5 Apr · TOR 101 at BOS 115TOR lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had BOS expected to win by 9, expected total 224.5 (Sat 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Sat 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 87 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 94 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 130 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 283 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 284 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 285 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 286 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 288 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 289 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 288 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 303 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 24 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 358 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 390 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 483 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 199 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 451 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 272 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 277 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 306 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 316 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 324 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 358 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 673 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 361 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 368 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 391 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 794 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 780 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 819 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 825 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 825 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 840 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 860 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.