NBA · Nov 20 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Detroit Pistons

FinalDEN 107 – DET 103Page updated 17:17 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 7 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 6 actual

Marvin Bagley III · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 18 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

points 30.5 → 9 actual

Detroit Pistons

Ausar Thompson · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 0 actual

Cade Cunningham · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 9 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 9.5 · both teams together expected to score about 225.5 points · odds to win: DEN 1.23, DET 4.54

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:17 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 314 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Marvin Bagley III · points 8.5 → 18 · 9.5 above the line · played 25.8 min · no final price

Ausar Thompson · assists 2.5 → 0 · 2.5 below the line · played 23.8 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 3.5 → 6 · 2.5 above the line · played 32 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · points 30.5 → 9 · 21.5 below the line · played 15.2 min · no final price

Cade Cunningham · assists 5.5 → 9 · 3.5 above the line · played 38 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 4.5 → 7 · 2.5 above the line · played 37 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DET vs DEN · last 12 games · DEN leads · DET record 3–9 · average score 110.5–118.8 · DET has lost by 8.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 9.5, expected total 225.5 (Tue 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 103 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 260 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 270 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 390 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 393 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 10 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 11 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 431 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 443 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 447 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 453 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 456 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 567 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 571 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 572 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 576 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 477 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 217 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 287 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 291 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 307 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 325 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 359 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 370 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 422 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 857 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 856 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1296 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1348 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1350 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1353 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1353 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1357 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.