NBA · Nov 20 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors

FinalHOU 116 – GSW 121Page updated 17:17 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 5 actual

Fred VanVleet · minutes unknown

assists 7.5 → 14 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 9 actual

Jae'Sean Tate · minutes unknown

points 7.5 → 9 actual

Golden State Warriors

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 7 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

GSW expected to win by about 7 · both teams together expected to score about 219.5 points · odds to win: HOU 3.44, GSW 1.35

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 03:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:17 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

HOU also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 285 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 5 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Fred VanVleet · assists 7.5 → 14 · 6.5 above the line · played 41.2 min · no final price

Jabari Smith Jr. · rebounds 6.5 → 9 · 2.5 above the line · played 32.3 min · no final price

Jae'Sean Tate · points 7.5 → 9 · 1.5 above the line · played 21 min · no final price

Alperen Sengun · assists 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.5 min · no final price

Stephen Curry · rebounds 4.5 → 5 · 0.5 above the line · played 34.8 min · no final price

Moses Moody · points 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 21.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs HOU · last 30 games · GSW leads · GSW record 22–8 · average score 111.4–105.4 · GSW has won by 5.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

5 Apr · HOU 117 at GSW 116GSW lost

5 Mar · GSW 115 at HOU 113GSW won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had GSW expected to win by 7, expected total 219.5 (Tue 03:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 03:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 69 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 100 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 252 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 270 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 303 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 304 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 308 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 312 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 319 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 321 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 323 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 324 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 327 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 346 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 41 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 43 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 100 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 356 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 158 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 232 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 241 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 244 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 258 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 265 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 286 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 303 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 311 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 320 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 1167 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1168 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1236 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1312 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1338 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1341 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1344 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1349 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.