NBA · Nov 22 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Orlando Magic

FinalDEN 119 – ORL 124Page updated 17:17 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 1 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 7 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

rebounds 12.5 → 13 actual

Orlando Magic

Anthony Black · minutes unknown

points 5.5 → 0 actual

Franz Wagner · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 4 actual

Goga Bitadze · minutes unknown

rebounds 6.5 → 12 actual

Jalen Suggs · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 4 actual

Jonathan Isaac · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 6 actual

Paolo Banchero · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 3 · both teams together expected to score about 218.5 points · odds to win: DEN 1.69, ORL 2.30

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 17:17 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

ORL also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 272 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Christian Braun · rebounds 3.5 → 7 · 3.5 above the line · played 21.2 min · no final price

Anthony Black · points 5.5 → 0 · 5.5 below the line · played 15.5 min · no final price

Goga Bitadze · rebounds 6.5 → 12 · 5.5 above the line · played 31.6 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 4.5 → 1 · 3.5 below the line · played 36.7 min · no final price

Franz Wagner · assists 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 31.2 min · no final price

Jalen Suggs · assists 2.5 → 4 · 1.5 above the line · played 28.5 min · no final price

Jonathan Isaac · rebounds 4.5 → 6 · 1.5 above the line · played 14.4 min · no final price

Paolo Banchero · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.7 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · rebounds 12.5 → 13 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ORL vs DEN · last 14 games · DEN leads · ORL record 5–9 · average score 109.1–114.0 · ORL has lost by 4.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 3, expected total 218.5 (Thu 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 48 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 68 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 154 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 254 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 253 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 265 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 278 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 307 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 310 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 315 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 358 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 359 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 378 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 97 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 99 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 180 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 182 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 187 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 188 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 432 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 194 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 212 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 218 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 229 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 231 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 277 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 309 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 315 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 328 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 342 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 692 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1095 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1043 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1112 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1200 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1221 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1223 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1223 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1223 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1224 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1243 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.