NBA · Nov 30 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Miami Heat

FinalIND 132 – MIA 142Page updated 13:17 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Andrew Nembhard · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 5 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Tyrese Haliburton · minutes unknown

assists 10.5 → 10 actual

Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 2 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIA expected to win by about 4 · both teams together expected to score about 238.5 points · odds to win: IND 2.46, MIA 1.61

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Fri 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 13:17 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 302 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Bam Adebayo · assists 4.5 → 2 · 2.5 below the line · played 12.5 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 22.6 min · no final price

Andrew Nembhard · assists 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 22.4 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.3 min · no final price

Tyrese Haliburton · assists 10.5 → 10 · 0.5 below the line · played 39.7 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIA vs IND · last 26 games · MIA leads · MIA record 15–11 · average score 107.3–105.9 · MIA has won by 1.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

29 Mar · MIA 118 at IND 135MIA lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIA expected to win by 4, expected total 238.5 (Fri 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Fri 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 84 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 86 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 87 ms

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 102 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 125 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 216 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 217 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 218 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 220 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 220 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 221 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 223 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 127 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 241 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 37 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 38 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 90 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 103 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 104 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 103 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 196 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 323 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 384 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 392 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 398 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 862 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 883 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 794 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 796 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 798 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 797 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 800 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.