NBA · Dec 2 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Sacramento Kings

FinalDEN 117 – SAC 123Page updated 11:52 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 3 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 3 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 9.5 → 14 actual

Sacramento Kings

Domantas Sabonis · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 7 actual

Keegan Murray · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 8 actual

Malik Monk · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

SAC expected to win by about 3.5 · both teams together expected to score about 234.5 points · odds to win: DEN 2.38, SAC 1.65

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 02:55 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 11:52 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DEN also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 247 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Nikola Jokić · assists 9.5 → 14 · 4.5 above the line · played 38.2 min · no final price

Keegan Murray · points 13.5 → 8 · 5.5 below the line · played 23.4 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.7 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 3.5 → 3 · 0.5 below the line · played 17.1 min · no final price

Malik Monk · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 28.1 min · no final price

Domantas Sabonis · assists 6.5 → 7 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

SAC vs DEN · last 25 games · DEN leads · SAC record 9–16 · average score 113.4–117.5 · SAC has lost by 4.1 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had SAC expected to win by 3.5, expected total 234.5 (Sun 02:55 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 02:55 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 22 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 22 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 51 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 89 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 94 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 113 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 115 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 115 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 115 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 116 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 129 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 40 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 147 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 51 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 157 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 160 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 70 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 223 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 225 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 236 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 238 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 255 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 471 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 598 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 778 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 693 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 697 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 705 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 728 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 781 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.