NBA · Dec 11 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Atlanta Hawks

FinalDEN 129 – ATL 122Page updated 10:03 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes3 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 6.5 → 4 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 2 actual

Atlanta Hawks

Onyeka Okongwu · minutes unknown

rebounds 7.5 → 6 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 3.5 · both teams together expected to score about 241.5 points · odds to win: DEN 1.68, ATL 2.33

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Tue 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 10:03 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 155 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

3 other players with a posted line

Nikola Jokić · blocks 0.5 → 2 · 1.5 above the line · played 36 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · assists 6.5 → 4 · 2.5 below the line · played 29 min · no final price

Onyeka Okongwu · rebounds 7.5 → 6 · 1.5 below the line · played 28.4 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

ATL vs DEN · last 14 games · DEN leads · ATL record 4–10 · average score 114.8–123.7 · ATL has lost by 8.9 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 3.5, expected total 241.5 (Tue 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Tue 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 28

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 27 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 42 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 69 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 252 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 253 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 254 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 259 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 262 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 265 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 279 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 289 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 30 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 296 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 303 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 310 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 132 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 140 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 143 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 161 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 213 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 236 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 660 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 877 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 681 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 772 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 825 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.