NBA · Dec 16 gameAll props Full sheet

Indiana Pacers at Minnesota Timberwolves

FinalIND 109 – MIN 127Page updated 05:45 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith · minutes unknown

points 11.5 → 17 actual

Obi Toppin · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 4 actual

T.J. McConnell · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 10 actual

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 4 actual

Jaden McDaniels · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 1 actual

Rudy Gobert · minutes unknown

points 14.5 → 5 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

MIN expected to win by about 10.5 · both teams together expected to score about 239 points · odds to win: IND 4.78, MIN 1.22

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 01:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 05:45 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

IND also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 359 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Rudy Gobert · points 14.5 → 5 · 9.5 below the line · played 25.2 min · no final price

Jaden McDaniels · rebounds 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 17.7 min · no final price

Aaron Nesmith · points 11.5 → 17 · 5.5 above the line · played 26.2 min · no final price

Anthony Edwards · assists 5.5 → 4 · 1.5 below the line · played 33.6 min · no final price

T.J. McConnell · points 8.5 → 10 · 1.5 above the line · played 25.7 min · no final price

Obi Toppin · rebounds 3.5 → 4 · 0.5 above the line · played 16.8 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

MIN vs IND · last 13 games · MIN leads · MIN record 8–4 · average score 118.5–115.1 · MIN has won by 3.4 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

7 Apr · MIN 124 at IND 104MIN won

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had MIN expected to win by 10.5, expected total 239 (Sun 01:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 01:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 53 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 70 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 158 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 245 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 258 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 260 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 266 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 8 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 9 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 292 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 295 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 296 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 297 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 299 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 51 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 333 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 326 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 381 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 133 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 173 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 174 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 176 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 202 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 210 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 263 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 279 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 291 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 689 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 716 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 604 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 676 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 678 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 681 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 698 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 859 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.