NBA · Dec 16 gameAll props Full sheet

Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets

FinalOKC 118 – DEN 117Page updated 05:48 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes9 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Cason Wallace · minutes unknown

3-pointers 0.5 → 0 actual

Chet Holmgren · minutes unknown

3-pointers 1.5 → 1 actual

Jalen Williams · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 1 actual

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · minutes unknown

rebounds 5.5 → 6 actual

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 5 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 2 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

assists 5.5 → 5 actual

Julian Strawther · minutes unknown

rebounds 2.5 → 1 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

assists 9.5 → 12 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 5.5 · both teams together expected to score about 238.5 points · odds to win: OKC 2.82, DEN 1.49

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 02:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 05:48 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 230 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 0 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

9 other players with a posted line

Cason Wallace · 3-pointers 0.5 → 0 · 0.5 below the line · played 18.3 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 2.5 → 5 · 2.5 above the line · played 32.9 min · no final price

Jalen Williams · rebounds 4.5 → 1 · 3.5 below the line · played 32.9 min · no final price

Julian Strawther · rebounds 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 14.7 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 3.5 → 2 · 1.5 below the line · played 25.4 min · no final price

Chet Holmgren · 3-pointers 1.5 → 1 · 0.5 below the line · played 32.4 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · assists 9.5 → 12 · 2.5 above the line · played 37.4 min · no final price

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · rebounds 5.5 → 6 · 0.5 above the line · played 36.9 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · assists 5.5 → 5 · 0.5 below the line · played 27.5 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

DEN vs OKC · last 32 games · DEN leads · DEN record 17–15 · average score 111.9–112.4 · DEN has lost by 0.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

10 Apr · OKC 107 at DEN 127DEN won

9 Mar · DEN 126 at OKC 129DEN lost

27 Feb · DEN 121 at OKC 127DEN lost

1 Feb · OKC 121 at DEN 111DEN lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 5.5, expected total 238.5 (Sun 02:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 02:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 46

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 59 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 75 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 135 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 171 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 251 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 253 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 262 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 265 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 6 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 7 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 295 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 306 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 330 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 328 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 336 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 361 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 363 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 195 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 198 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 233 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 246 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 250 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 259 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 262 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 274 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 283 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 308 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 330 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 363 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (three_pointers_made)ok 200 · 368 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 372 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 383 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 396 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 711 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 841 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 600 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 660 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 661 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 668 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 669 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 911 ms

odds player timeline (threes)ok 200 · 919 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 917 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 931 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.