NBA · Dec 19 gameAll props Full sheet

Boston Celtics at Golden State Warriors

FinalBOS 126 – GSW 132Page updated 04:52 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Boston Celtics

Jayson Tatum · minutes unknown

points 30.5 → 15 actual

Golden State Warriors

Al Horford · minutes unknown

points 9.5 → 13 actual

Brandin Podziemski · minutes unknown

assists 3.5 → 1 actual

Moses Moody · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 10 actual

Stephen Curry · minutes unknown

points 29.5 → 33 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

BOS expected to win by about 4.5 · both teams together expected to score about 233.5 points · odds to win: BOS 1.52, GSW 2.72

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Wed 03:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 04:52 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 201 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Brandin Podziemski · assists 3.5 → 1 · 2.5 below the line · played 16.3 min · no final price

Moses Moody · points 6.5 → 10 · 3.5 above the line · played 16.6 min · no final price

Jayson Tatum · points 30.5 → 15 · 15.5 below the line · played 41 min · no final price

Al Horford · points 9.5 → 13 · 3.5 above the line · played 38.4 min · no final price

Stephen Curry · points 29.5 → 33 · 3.5 above the line · played 38.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

GSW vs BOS · last 19 games · BOS leads · GSW record 8–11 · average score 106.4–112.1 · GSW has lost by 5.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

18 Mar · GSW 99 at BOS 120GSW lost

19 Feb · BOS 121 at GSW 110GSW lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had BOS expected to win by 4.5, expected total 233.5 (Wed 03:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Wed 03:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 39 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 58 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 77 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 215 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 220 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 224 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 226 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 248 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 250 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 259 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 264 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 60 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 62 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 292 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 324 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 292 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 335 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 72 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 209 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 211 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 230 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 257 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 263 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 302 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 346 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 399 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 719 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 822 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 669 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 674 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 707 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 719 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 921 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.