NBA · Dec 20 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Toronto Raptors

FinalDEN 113 – TOR 104Page updated 04:04 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes6 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

points 13.5 → 12 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

points 6.5 → 3 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

points 19.5 → 20 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

points 25.5 → 31 actual

Toronto Raptors

Jakob Poeltl · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 4 actual

Scottie Barnes · minutes unknown

points 20.5 → 30 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 3.5 · both teams together expected to score about 229 points · odds to win: DEN 1.63, TOR 2.43

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Thu 00:35 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 04:04 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

Both teams had at least two days between their last game and this one.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 283 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 1 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

6 other players with a posted line

Jakob Poeltl · points 10.5 → 4 · 6.5 below the line · played 19.4 min · no final price

Christian Braun · points 6.5 → 3 · 3.5 below the line · played 16.9 min · no final price

Scottie Barnes · points 20.5 → 30 · 9.5 above the line · played 33.1 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · points 25.5 → 31 · 5.5 above the line · played 38.1 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · points 13.5 → 12 · 1.5 below the line · played 30.2 min · no final price

Jamal Murray · points 19.5 → 20 · 0.5 above the line · played 32.1 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

TOR vs DEN · last 13 games · DEN leads · TOR record 3–10 · average score 117.2–117.8 · TOR has lost by 0.6 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

20 Mar · TOR 115 at DEN 121TOR lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 3.5, expected total 229 (Thu 00:35 UTC) and had not changed it by Thu 00:35 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 37

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 44 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 155 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 156 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 158 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 159 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 1 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 161 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 161 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 26 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 267 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 275 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 275 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 278 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 296 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 331 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 341 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 312 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 188 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 193 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 199 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 200 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 204 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 203 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 228 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 240 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 249 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 256 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 263 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 820 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1019 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 876 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 920 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 944 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1007 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1010 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1015 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.