NBA · Dec 23 gameAll props Full sheet

Denver Nuggets at Charlotte Hornets

FinalDEN 102 – CHA 95Page updated 04:04 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes5 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon · minutes unknown

assists 2.5 → 1 actual

Christian Braun · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 7 actual

Jamal Murray · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 12 actual

Nikola Jokić · minutes unknown

points 27.5 → 18 actual

Charlotte Hornets

Brandon Miller · minutes unknown

rebounds 4.5 → 1 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

DEN expected to win by about 11 · both teams together expected to score about 224 points · odds to win: DEN 1.19, CHA 5.27

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 04:04 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

DEN also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 289 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 3 of 3 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

5 other players with a posted line

Jamal Murray · rebounds 3.5 → 12 · 8.5 above the line · played 33.3 min · no final price

Christian Braun · rebounds 3.5 → 7 · 3.5 above the line · played 17.7 min · no final price

Brandon Miller · rebounds 4.5 → 1 · 3.5 below the line · played 10.8 min · no final price

Aaron Gordon · assists 2.5 → 1 · 1.5 below the line · played 31.8 min · no final price

Nikola Jokić · points 27.5 → 18 · 9.5 below the line · played 35.6 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

CHA vs DEN · last 14 games · DEN leads · CHA record 2–12 · average score 105.8–112.1 · CHA has lost by 6.3 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

No finished games between these teams on file.

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had DEN expected to win by 11, expected total 224 (Sun 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 34

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 162 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 173 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 335 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 397 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 399 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 401 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 400 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 402 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 405 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 406 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 405 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 407 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 410 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 409 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 21 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 22 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 358 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 175 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 334 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 336 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 341 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 344 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 346 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 369 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 375 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 393 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 442 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 959 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 1030 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1045 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1052 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1221 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1222 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1268 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.