NBA · Dec 23 gameAll props Full sheet

Houston Rockets at New Orleans Pelicans

FinalHOU 106 – NOP 104Page updated 04:04 UTC

Original picks and recorded results

No saved picks to grade.

Saved picks

0Posted odds · decimal

Check minutes

No playing-time estimates are available.

We had no picks in this game.

How to read the prices

Over means more than the posted line; Under means fewer. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked, including the stake. Row order follows lineup status and available prices, not a confidence ranking.

Getting a better price than most bookmakers offer is the only thing that made money in our past tests, measured on WNBA bets; NBA has not been measured yet. Player rates are context, not tips.

Players and minutes8 players in the available roster

Minutes are source estimates, not guaranteed playing time. Historical hit rates describe past games; they are not a forecast.

Houston Rockets

Alperen Sengun · minutes unknown

rebounds 8.5 → 11 actual

Fred VanVleet · minutes unknown

points 17.5 → 10 actual

Jabari Smith Jr. · minutes unknown

blocks 0.5 → 1 actual

Jae'Sean Tate · minutes unknown

rebounds 3.5 → 5 actual

Tari Eason · minutes unknown

points 10.5 → 8 actual

New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones · minutes unknown

points 8.5 → 6 actual

Trey Murphy III · minutes unknown

points + rebounds 16.5 → 20 actual

Zion Williamson · minutes unknown

assists 4.5 → 4 actual

Explore every player and prop

Availability and game contextGame odds, lineups, workload and rest

Game odds

NOP expected to win by about 7.5 · both teams together expected to score about 226.5 points · odds to win: HOU 3.41, NOP 1.36

Game odds from Pinnacle (the bookmaker we use as the reference) · observed Sun 00:05 UTC

What could go wrong

updated 04:04 UTC

Who is out

Injury report not checked yet: none has reached us for this game, so an empty list here does not mean everyone plays.

Lineups

Expected starting lineup, not yet confirmed

Playing time

No playing-time estimates are available.

Rest

HOU also played the day before this game.

Bookmakers

The reference bookmaker, Pinnacle, offers 0 of the 338 lines; the rest rely on other bookmakers.

Every pick is priced by at least 2 bookmakers.

When a player is out, that player's lines are removed: in our past results this helped. Guessing which teammates benefit was also tested and lost money, so nothing else on this page is adjusted for it.

Your reads and game resultsPredictions closed at game start

What happened

In 2 of 4 cases where a player's past record disagreed with the bookmakers' price, the past record was right in this game. One game proves nothing.

FinalWe had no picks in this game · every posted line is still scored below

8 other players with a posted line

Jabari Smith Jr. · blocks 0.5 → 1 · 0.5 above the line · played 37.3 min · no final price

Fred VanVleet · points 17.5 → 10 · 7.5 below the line · played 35.8 min · no final price

Jae'Sean Tate · rebounds 3.5 → 5 · 1.5 above the line · played 10.7 min · no final price

Alperen Sengun · rebounds 8.5 → 11 · 2.5 above the line · played 38.4 min · no final price

Herbert Jones · points 8.5 → 6 · 2.5 below the line · played 18.2 min · no final price

Tari Eason · points 10.5 → 8 · 2.5 below the line · played 20.4 min · no final price

Trey Murphy III · points + rebounds 16.5 → 20 · 3.5 above the line · played 34.4 min · no final price

Zion Williamson · assists 4.5 → 4 · 0.5 below the line · played 34.3 min · no final price

Each prediction is recorded as if you had staked 1 at the line you saw, and your record is shown here. One game tells you nothing yet.

Open My reads

More context

Head to head

NOP vs HOU · last 26 games · HOU leads · NOP record 12–14 · average score 115.2–114.7 · NOP has won by 0.5 on average

Team results are background only; they say nothing about any single player's line.

29 Mar · HOU 134 at NOP 102NOP lost

13 Mar · NOP 105 at HOU 107NOP lost

18 Jan · NOP 110 at HOU 119NOP lost

What each defense gives up per game

Team defense unavailable right now.

Defense by position

How much this is worth

Defense-by-position numbers are mostly random from season to season; shown for context only. We tested it: a team's defense-by-position numbers from one half of the season do not predict the other half, so treat them as noise.

Defense by position unavailable right now.

How the game odds moved

Pinnacle first had NOP expected to win by 7.5, expected total 226.5 (Sun 00:05 UTC) and had not changed it by Sun 00:05 UTC.

The odds at the top of the page are the latest we have, from every bookmaker on file; this is one bookmaker's own history.

Data log (technical)

Technical detail for auditing; the plain version is above. Internal ids and formula names print here only.

Line-shopping measurement: project_conditional_minutes_refuted

Our picks, raw · 0

No raw pick rows for this game.

Checked results, raw (basketball-stats shorthand) · 0

No graded rows for this game.

Data fetches · 43

grading picks/nightlyok 200 · 20 ms

sds schedule/team (meetings)ok · 36 ms

grading verdict/boardok 200 · 124 ms

sds games/{id}ok 200 · 166 ms

sds lineups/{id}ok 200 · 167 ms

sds rest/team (home)ok 200 · 170 ms

sds rest/team (away)ok 200 · 172 ms

sds injuries/game/{id}ok 200 · 174 ms

sds games/{id}/boxscoreok 200 · 178 ms

sds history (h2h)ok · 179 ms

grading clv/picksok 200 · 166 ms

sds players/team (home)ok 200 · 23 ms

sds players/team (away)ok 200 · 27 ms

sds defense/team (away)failed 500 · 242 ms

sds defense/team (home)failed 500 · 276 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (home)failed 400 · 277 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 111 ms

sds analytics opponent_defense (away)failed 400 · 309 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (blocks)ok 200 · 120 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 178 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 226 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 245 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 276 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (assists)ok 200 · 284 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 290 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 306 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 313 ms

sds analytics player_vs_teamok 200 · 318 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 326 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (points)ok 200 · 334 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (pr)ok 200 · 350 ms

sds analytics player_vs_line (rebounds)ok 200 · 357 ms

dh lineups/{id}/deltaok 200 · 695 ms

odds game timelineok 200 · 962 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1090 ms

odds player timeline (blocks)ok 200 · 1088 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1155 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1167 ms

odds player timeline (pr)ok 200 · 1166 ms

odds player timeline (rebounds)ok 200 · 1166 ms

odds player timeline (assists)ok 200 · 1267 ms

odds player timeline (points)ok 200 · 1265 ms

Classic view →

The older, longer version of this page is still available as the classic view. Nothing there is tracked in our results; this page is.